Aurora vs PARIVISION — CounterQuant

Skyesports Championship 2024· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 24 Jul 2024 21:47 UTC

Aurora

Elo 1359

1 – 0

Winner: Aurora

PARIVISION

Elo 1406

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 60% CONF WRONG

Aurora 39.8% 60.2% PARIVISION

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

deko

kills

ADR 111.0

Top Assist

Lack1

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

BELCHONOKK

112.5

avg dmg/rd

23K 17D

Best KAST

Norwi

90.9%

KAST

19K 12D

Most HS

Norwi

headshots

84% HS rate

Best K/D

deko

2.45

K/D ratio

27K 11D

anubis

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs4ct|4t

Aurora WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
BELCHONOKK	23	17	5	1.35	39%	112.5	81.8%	0.67
Qikert	18	20	3	0.90	78%	83.2	81.8%	0.54
ArtFr0st	17	18	4	0.94	18%	100.5	77.3%	0.47
alpha	9	20	2	0.45	56%	58.5	72.7%	0.26
Patsi	7	21	4	0.33	57%	54.0	68.2%	0.19
CT SIDE
deko	27	11	5	2.45	44%	111.0	81.8%	0.84
r3salt	22	18	6	1.22	50%	108.8	77.3%	0.64
Norwi	19	12	7	1.58	84%	100.8	90.9%	0.73
KENSi	15	14	3	1.07	73%	65.2	77.3%	0.52
Lack1	12	19	8	0.63	17%	82.0	86.4%	0.35

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
BELCHONOKK	9	7	2	33%	97.9	80.0%	0.59
Qikert	6	8	2	67%	65.7	80.0%	0.43
ArtFr0st	4	8	2	0%	67.2	80.0%	0.24
alpha	2	8	0	50%	30.5	60.0%	0.12
Patsi	7	9	2	57%	97.1	80.0%	0.48
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
deko	9	4	2	0%	90.8	90.0%	0.65
r3salt	13	6	4	31%	134.8	90.0%	0.88
Norwi	8	5	4	88%	95.1	90.0%	0.71
KENSi	6	4	1	67%	68.7	90.0%	0.58
Lack1	4	9	4	0%	75.9	80.0%	0.22

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
BELCHONOKK	14	10	3	43%	124.8	83.3%	0.73
Qikert	12	12	1	83%	97.8	83.3%	0.63
ArtFr0st	13	10	2	23%	128.3	75.0%	0.65
alpha	7	12	2	57%	81.8	83.3%	0.38
Patsi	0	12	2	0%	18.0	58.3%	-0.13
2ND HALF — T SIDE
deko	18	7	3	67%	127.8	75.0%	0.98
r3salt	9	12	2	78%	87.2	66.7%	0.45
Norwi	11	7	3	82%	105.6	91.7%	0.75
KENSi	9	10	2	78%	62.3	66.7%	0.46
Lack1	8	10	4	25%	87.2	91.7%	0.45

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ deko t2	27	11	5	2.45	44%	111.0	81.8%	22
BELCHONOKK t1	23	17	5	1.35	39%	112.5	81.8%	22
r3salt t2	22	18	6	1.22	50%	108.8	77.3%	22
Norwi t2	19	12	7	1.58	84%	100.8	90.9%	22
Qikert t1	18	20	3	0.90	78%	83.2	81.8%	22
ArtFr0st t1	17	18	4	0.94	18%	100.5	77.3%	22
KENSi t2	15	14	3	1.07	73%	65.2	77.3%	22
Lack1 t2	12	19	8	0.63	17%	82.0	86.4%	22
alpha t1	9	20	2	0.45	56%	58.5	72.7%	22
Patsi t1	7	21	4	0.33	57%	54.0	68.2%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

deko

27 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

deko

44% HS

27K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ BELCHONOKK	23	17	5	1.35	39%	112.5	81.8%	0.67
Qikert	18	20	3	0.90	78%	83.2	81.8%	0.54
ArtFr0st	17	18	4	0.94	18%	100.5	77.3%	0.47
alpha	9	20	2	0.45	56%	58.5	72.7%	0.26
Patsi	7	21	4	0.33	57%	54.0	68.2%	0.19
deko	27	11	5	2.45	44%	111.0	81.8%	0.84
r3salt	22	18	6	1.22	50%	108.8	77.3%	0.64
Norwi	19	12	7	1.58	84%	100.8	90.9%	0.73
KENSi	15	14	3	1.07	73%	65.2	77.3%	0.52
Lack1	12	19	8	0.63	17%	82.0	86.4%	0.35

anubis 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 3

T $4600 | CT $4000

Round 4

T $10100 | CT $19300

Round 5

T $4150 | CT $24150

Round 6

T $24700 | CT $31650

Round 7

T $25000 | CT $2900

Round 8

T $25200 | CT $22350

Round 9

T $25500 | CT $7100

Round 10

T $27550 | CT $27950

Round 11

T $27750 | CT $29700

Round 12

T $26950 | CT $21750

Round 13

T $27650 | CT $11650

Round 14

T $25900 | CT $30650

Round 15

T $4250 | CT $4800

Round 16

T $20050 | CT $12100

Round 17

T $23950 | CT $3400

Round 18

T $26450 | CT $27350

Round 19

T $8500 | CT $27250

Round 20

T $21550 | CT $29300

Round 21

T $3000 | CT $29550

Round 22

T $27650 | CT $27750

Round 23

T $15100 | CT $29300

Aurora Eco Rating: 9.1

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$18582

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

47%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 35%

Headshot% 51%

PARIVISION Eco Rating: 9.2

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$19418

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

68%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 52%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 39.3% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

— vs —

WR 90d

50.0% vs 52.2%

Rating 30d

1.33 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

52.2% vs 50.9%

T WR 90d

50.6% vs 50.9%

Pool Depth

1.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

6.0d vs 40.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.51 vs —

Elo Δ +180

Elo Win% 73.8%

Aurora Eco Rating: 9.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

35%

Opening K/Rd

47%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 50

PARIVISION Eco Rating: 9.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

52%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

68%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 60

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 39.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Aurora

7 – 5

PARIVISION

Recent Meetings

PARIVISION 0 – 2 Aurora May 2026 Aurora 0 – 3 PARIVISION Jan 2026 PARIVISION 1 – 0 Aurora Nov 2025 Aurora 0 – 2 PARIVISION Mar 2025 Aurora 0 – 2 PARIVISION Oct 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4600 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $10100 | CT $19300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $4150 | CT $24150

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24700 | CT $31650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25000 | CT $2900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $22350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $7100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $27950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $29700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26950 | CT $21750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $11650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $25900 | CT $30650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4800

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20050 | CT $12100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23950 | CT $3400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26450 | CT $27350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $8500 | CT $27250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $21550 | CT $29300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $3000 | CT $29550

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $27750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $15100 | CT $29300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy