Fluxo vs Solid — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 14 Aug 2024 20:50 UTC

Fluxo

Elo 1437

0 – 1

Winner: Solid

Solid

Elo 1482

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 70% CONF CORRECT

Fluxo 29.6% 70.4% Solid

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

lcm-

kills

ADR 96.0

Top Assist

DeStlNy-

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

DeStlNy-

105.4

avg dmg/rd

21K 17D

Best KAST

DeStlNy-

84.0%

KAST

21K 17D

Most HS

nicks

headshots

48% HS rate

Best K/D

lcm-

1.53

K/D ratio

23K 15D

mirage

11 – 13

6ct|5tvs7ct|6t

Solid WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
nicks	21	16	6	1.31	48%	95.6	80.0%	0.6
-zevy-	21	16	5	1.31	24%	90.0	76.0%	0.55
arT	18	17	6	1.06	50%	86.5	76.0%	0.51
kye111	16	17	3	0.94	56%	72.6	72.0%	0.46
Lucaozy	8	18	5	0.44	25%	45.6	72.0%	0.21
CT SIDE
lcm-	23	15	4	1.53	35%	96.0	80.0%	0.63
DeStlNy-	21	17	10	1.24	38%	105.4	84.0%	0.6
ALLE-	14	17	3	0.82	71%	64.5	72.0%	0.43
drg---	14	18	9	0.78	50%	72.2	76.0%	0.41
gbb-	12	17	7	0.71	67%	72.8	76.0%	0.41

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
nicks	11	10	3	55%	89.1	69.2%	0.54
-zevy-	11	9	3	36%	94.9	76.9%	0.56
arT	9	10	4	56%	92.2	69.2%	0.48
kye111	7	9	2	43%	51.5	69.2%	0.35
Lucaozy	5	10	5	20%	64.8	69.2%	0.24
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
lcm-	11	8	2	18%	98.5	69.2%	0.54
DeStlNy-	12	9	6	33%	112.1	84.6%	0.64
ALLE-	9	7	0	56%	71.3	69.2%	0.51
drg---	8	10	3	38%	82.6	69.2%	0.4
gbb-	8	9	6	62%	91.3	84.6%	0.51

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
nicks	10	6	3	40%	102.6	91.7%	0.67
-zevy-	10	7	2	10%	84.6	75.0%	0.53
arT	9	7	2	44%	80.3	83.3%	0.56
kye111	9	8	1	67%	95.6	75.0%	0.57
Lucaozy	3	8	0	33%	24.8	75.0%	0.19
2ND HALF — T SIDE
lcm-	12	7	2	50%	93.3	91.7%	0.72
DeStlNy-	9	8	4	44%	98.2	83.3%	0.56
ALLE-	5	10	3	100%	57.2	75.0%	0.36
drg---	6	8	6	67%	60.8	83.3%	0.42
gbb-	4	8	1	75%	52.8	66.7%	0.31

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ lcm- t2	23	15	4	1.53	35%	96.0	80.0%	25
nicks t1	21	16	6	1.31	48%	95.6	80.0%	25
-zevy- t1	21	16	5	1.31	24%	90.0	76.0%	25
DeStlNy- t2	21	17	10	1.24	38%	105.4	84.0%	25
arT t1	18	17	6	1.06	50%	86.5	76.0%	25
kye111 t1	16	17	3	0.94	56%	72.6	72.0%	25
ALLE- t2	14	17	3	0.82	71%	64.5	72.0%	25
drg--- t2	14	18	9	0.78	50%	72.2	76.0%	25
gbb- t2	12	17	7	0.71	67%	72.8	76.0%	25
Lucaozy t1	8	18	5	0.44	25%	45.6	72.0%	25

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

lcm-

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

lcm-

35% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ nicks	21	16	6	1.31	48%	95.6	80.0%	0.6
-zevy-	21	16	5	1.31	24%	90.0	76.0%	0.55
arT	18	17	6	1.06	50%	86.5	76.0%	0.51
kye111	16	17	3	0.94	56%	72.6	72.0%	0.46
Lucaozy	8	18	5	0.44	25%	45.6	72.0%	0.21
lcm-	23	15	4	1.53	35%	96.0	80.0%	0.63
DeStlNy-	21	17	10	1.24	38%	105.4	84.0%	0.6
ALLE-	14	17	3	0.82	71%	64.5	72.0%	0.43
drg---	14	18	9	0.78	50%	72.2	76.0%	0.41
gbb-	12	17	7	0.71	67%	72.8	76.0%	0.41

mirage 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4650 | CT $4750

Round 3

T $5500 | CT $22600

Round 4

T $22650 | CT $25550

Round 5

T $25100 | CT $23850

Round 6

T $25300 | CT $1100

Round 7

T $27250 | CT $26050

Round 8

T $23300 | CT $28350

Round 9

T $2100 | CT $29850

Round 10

T $24300 | CT $32400

Round 11

T $26750 | CT $25300

Round 12

T $27250 | CT $1200

Round 13

T $27550 | CT $27350

Round 14

T $5600 | CT $4050

Round 15

T $11600 | CT $19450

Round 16

T $1400 | CT $24500

Round 17

T $25100 | CT $29500

Round 18

T $24000 | CT $30150

Round 19

T $23800 | CT $27350

Round 20

T $10800 | CT $29550

Round 21

T $26850 | CT $29200

Round 22

T $27150 | CT $24050

Round 23

T $27350 | CT $1000

Round 24

T $27650 | CT $23700

Round 25

T $27850 | CT $19550

Fluxo Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$19364

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

Solid Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/6 W (0%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$20546

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 32.0% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

42.9% vs 51.7%

WR 90d

44.0% vs 48.1%

Rating 30d

1.11 vs 1.13

Form Slope

↓-0.010 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

53.7% vs 50.6%

T WR 90d

50.7% vs 51.0%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

11.0d vs 4.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.56 vs 0.59

Elo Δ -65

Elo Win% 40.7%

Fluxo

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Solid

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 32.0% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Fluxo

13 – 7

Solid

Recent Meetings

Fluxo 2 – 0 Solid May 2025 Fluxo 2 – 0 Solid May 2025 Solid 1 – 0 Fluxo Apr 2025 Fluxo 0 – 1 Solid Apr 2025 Fluxo 3 – 0 Solid Mar 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4650 | CT $4750

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $5500 | CT $22600

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22650 | CT $25550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $23850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $1100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $26050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23300 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $2100 | CT $29850

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $24300 | CT $32400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $25300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $1200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $27350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $5600 | CT $4050

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $11600 | CT $19450

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $1400 | CT $24500

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25100 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $24000 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23800 | CT $27350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $10800 | CT $29550

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $26850 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $24050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $23700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $19550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy