Nouns vs Marsborne — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 19 Feb 2025 22:44 UTC

Nouns

Elo 1444

1 – 0

Winner: Nouns

Marsborne

Elo 1471

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Nouns 46.0% 54.0% Marsborne

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

motm

kills

ADR 120.7

Top Assist

cJ-dA-K1nG

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

minus

120.9

avg dmg/rd

20K 18D

Best KAST

motm

87.0%

KAST

28K 16D

Most HS

motm

headshots

57% HS rate

Best K/D

motm

1.75

K/D ratio

28K 16D

ancient

13 – 9

3ct|10tvs2ct|7t

Nouns WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
motm	28	16	2	1.75	57%	120.7	87.0%	0.82
minus	20	18	8	1.11	45%	120.9	82.6%	0.61
WolfY	15	15	4	1.00	67%	77.5	78.3%	0.51
steel	11	18	7	0.61	45%	73.4	78.3%	0.35
Chop	4	19	4	0.21	25%	42.7	56.5%	0.07
CT SIDE
Cryptic	23	16	5	1.44	48%	99.7	78.3%	0.66
1junior	21	18	5	1.17	24%	100.0	78.3%	0.56
RUSH	19	15	2	1.27	53%	80.2	69.6%	0.55
cJ-dA-K1nG	14	16	10	0.88	36%	85.5	73.9%	0.43
Peeping	9	17	5	0.53	89%	54.1	73.9%	0.35

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
motm	15	7	0	53%	134.3	81.8%	0.91
minus	13	9	4	62%	149.4	90.9%	0.83
WolfY	7	6	2	71%	71.7	81.8%	0.54
steel	8	7	5	50%	100.4	81.8%	0.57
Chop	1	7	2	0%	32.3	72.7%	0.08
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Cryptic	11	8	2	36%	104.7	72.7%	0.62
1junior	7	10	1	14%	77.8	54.5%	0.29
RUSH	6	9	2	50%	49.4	63.6%	0.31
cJ-dA-K1nG	8	9	5	38%	101.9	63.6%	0.45
Peeping	4	10	4	100%	53.3	72.7%	0.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
motm	13	9	2	62%	108.2	91.7%	0.75
minus	7	9	4	14%	94.8	75.0%	0.39
WolfY	8	9	2	62%	82.8	75.0%	0.48
steel	3	11	2	33%	48.8	75.0%	0.15
Chop	3	12	2	33%	52.2	41.7%	0.04
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Cryptic	12	8	3	58%	95.1	83.3%	0.69
1junior	14	8	4	29%	120.3	100.0%	0.8
RUSH	13	6	0	54%	108.4	75.0%	0.77
cJ-dA-K1nG	6	7	5	33%	70.4	83.3%	0.41
Peeping	5	7	1	80%	54.8	75.0%	0.4

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ motm t1	28	16	2	1.75	57%	120.7	87.0%	23
Cryptic t2	23	16	5	1.44	48%	99.7	78.3%	23
1junior t2	21	18	5	1.17	24%	100.0	78.3%	23
minus t1	20	18	8	1.11	45%	120.9	82.6%	23
RUSH t2	19	15	2	1.27	53%	80.2	69.6%	23
WolfY t1	15	15	4	1.00	67%	77.5	78.3%	23
cJ-dA-K1nG t2	14	16	10	0.88	36%	85.5	73.9%	23
steel t1	11	18	7	0.61	45%	73.4	78.3%	23
Peeping t2	9	17	5	0.53	89%	54.1	73.9%	23
Chop t1	4	19	4	0.21	25%	42.7	56.5%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

motm

28 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

motm

57% HS

28K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ motm	28	16	2	1.75	57%	120.7	87.0%	0.82
minus	20	18	8	1.11	45%	120.9	82.6%	0.61
WolfY	15	15	4	1.00	67%	77.5	78.3%	0.51
steel	11	18	7	0.61	45%	73.4	78.3%	0.35
Chop	4	19	4	0.21	25%	42.7	56.5%	0.07
Cryptic	23	16	5	1.44	48%	99.7	78.3%	0.66
1junior	21	18	5	1.17	24%	100.0	78.3%	0.56
RUSH	19	15	2	1.27	53%	80.2	69.6%	0.55
cJ-dA-K1nG	14	16	10	0.88	36%	85.5	73.9%	0.43
Peeping	9	17	5	0.53	89%	54.1	73.9%	0.35

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4750 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $18650 | CT $11700

Round 4

T $21200 | CT $3250

Round 5

T $25950 | CT $27200

Round 6

T $21600 | CT $25300

Round 7

T $25600 | CT $18650

Round 8

T $27450 | CT $25050

Round 9

T $27550 | CT $13000

Round 10

T $27850 | CT $28600

Round 11

T $25150 | CT $28900

Round 12

T $26350 | CT $24050

Round 13

T $27550 | CT $20250

Round 14

T $4350 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $19650 | CT $2000

Round 16

T $20650 | CT $22050

Round 17

T $25400 | CT $5800

Round 18

T $25800 | CT $27450

Round 19

T $27150 | CT $27750

Round 20

T $21750 | CT $8650

Round 21

T $24550 | CT $27550

Round 22

T $15500 | CT $30350

Round 23

T $23800 | CT $24500

Marsborne Eco Rating: 4.3

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$17996

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

53%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 43%

Nouns Eco Rating: 15.2

Eco rounds

3/3 W (100%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$21370

Util Dmg

6.00

0.4/rd

Opening K

88%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 33%

Headshot% 52%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 37.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

35.3% vs 57.9%

WR 90d

37.0% vs 57.9%

Rating 30d

1.21 vs 1.21

Form Slope

↓-0.010 vs ↑0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.3% vs 54.5%

T WR 90d

52.3% vs 50.6%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

5.0d vs 7.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.4 vs 0.63

Elo Δ +102

Elo Win% 64.2%

Marsborne Eco Rating: 4.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

53%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 50

Nouns Eco Rating: 15.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

100%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

52%

Trade Rate

33%

Opening K/Rd

88%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 71

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 37.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Nouns

5 – 4

Marsborne

Recent Meetings

Nouns 2 – 0 Marsborne May 2025 Marsborne 1 – 0 Nouns May 2025 Marsborne 2 – 0 Nouns May 2025 Marsborne 0 – 2 Nouns Apr 2025 Marsborne 2 – 0 Nouns Apr 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4750 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $18650 | CT $11700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $21200 | CT $3250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25950 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $21600 | CT $25300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25600 | CT $18650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $25050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $13000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $28600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25150 | CT $28900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $24050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $20250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19650 | CT $2000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20650 | CT $22050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25400 | CT $5800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25800 | CT $27450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $27750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $21750 | CT $8650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $24550 | CT $27550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $15500 | CT $30350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $23800 | CT $24500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy