ex-TALON vs SemperFi — CounterQuant

DFRAG Invitational 2025· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 23 Mar 2025 13:49 UTC

ex-TALON

Elo 1523

0 – 2

Winner: SemperFi

SemperFi

Elo 1431

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF CORRECT

ex-TALON 46.0% 54.0% SemperFi

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

shadiy

kills

ADR 105.1

Top Assist

aliStair

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

shadiy

105.1

avg dmg/rd

36K 17D

Best KAST

shadiy

92.1%

KAST

36K 17D

Most HS

SaVage

headshots

64% HS rate

Best K/D

shadiy

2.12

K/D ratio

36K 17D

nuke

3 – 13

2ct|1tvs3ct|10t

SemperFi WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
shadiy	18	8	2	2.25	22%	110.7	87.5%	0.77
Valiance	15	8	3	1.88	60%	106.4	87.5%	0.74
SaVage	13	8	3	1.62	62%	102.2	87.5%	0.68
aliStair	11	7	6	1.57	36%	92.6	87.5%	0.59
keen	11	9	3	1.22	45%	70.4	93.8%	0.55
CT SIDE
ADDICT	10	12	3	0.83	50%	76.0	56.2%	0.39
hazr	9	13	0	0.69	67%	64.6	56.2%	0.35
malta	9	15	2	0.60	78%	75.6	62.5%	0.36
nettik	7	16	3	0.44	57%	76.8	56.2%	0.24
sterling	5	13	2	0.38	40%	44.5	43.8%	0.13

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
shadiy	16	6	1	19%	125.3	91.7%	0.9
Valiance	6	7	3	50%	60.5	83.3%	0.42
SaVage	11	7	3	64%	119.7	91.7%	0.74
aliStair	11	4	3	36%	108.7	83.3%	0.74
keen	7	7	2	71%	62.8	91.7%	0.52
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
ADDICT	9	8	2	44%	89.9	58.3%	0.48
hazr	4	10	0	100%	40.8	50.0%	0.24
malta	8	12	1	75%	77.8	75.0%	0.42
nettik	6	12	2	50%	83.1	58.3%	0.27
sterling	4	10	1	50%	47.1	41.7%	0.15

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
shadiy	2	2	1	50%	66.8	75.0%	0.44
Valiance	9	1	0	67%	244.2	100.0%	1.65
SaVage	2	1	0	50%	50.0	75.0%	0.49
aliStair	0	3	3	0%	44.2	100.0%	0.09
keen	4	2	1	0%	93.0	100.0%	0.69
2ND HALF — T SIDE
ADDICT	1	4	1	100%	34.2	50.0%	0.14
hazr	5	3	0	40%	136.2	75.0%	0.79
malta	1	3	1	100%	69.0	25.0%	0.2
nettik	1	4	1	100%	58.0	50.0%	0.17
sterling	1	3	1	0%	36.8	50.0%	0.07

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

inferno

9 – 13

3ct|6tvs6ct|7t

SemperFi WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
sterling	13	19	2	0.68	31%	66.0	72.7%	0.33
malta	12	16	5	0.75	8%	86.6	54.5%	0.31
nettik	11	17	4	0.65	45%	68.1	59.1%	0.31
ADDICT	10	17	6	0.59	60%	53.6	68.2%	0.31
hazr	7	18	4	0.39	43%	55.2	59.1%	0.19
CT SIDE
keen	21	14	7	1.50	43%	109.8	90.9%	0.7
aliStair	18	12	6	1.50	28%	96.5	90.9%	0.62
shadiy	18	9	9	2.00	39%	101.0	95.5%	0.69
SaVage	15	10	6	1.50	67%	92.1	86.4%	0.63
Valiance	14	11	6	1.27	36%	78.8	90.9%	0.54

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
sterling	8	11	1	38%	70.3	75.0%	0.37
malta	7	9	3	0%	92.4	50.0%	0.3
nettik	6	10	4	50%	69.0	58.3%	0.3
ADDICT	4	11	4	50%	45.7	58.3%	0.16
hazr	4	12	1	25%	53.5	50.0%	0.09
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
keen	16	9	4	31%	145.0	91.7%	0.87
aliStair	8	7	4	38%	89.6	83.3%	0.52
shadiy	12	5	5	33%	111.7	100.0%	0.79
SaVage	10	5	4	80%	111.6	91.7%	0.77
Valiance	6	6	2	67%	64.2	83.3%	0.48

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
sterling	5	8	1	20%	60.8	70.0%	0.28
malta	5	7	2	20%	79.7	60.0%	0.31
nettik	5	7	0	40%	67.0	60.0%	0.33
ADDICT	6	6	2	67%	63.2	80.0%	0.49
hazr	3	6	3	67%	57.3	70.0%	0.32
2ND HALF — T SIDE
keen	5	5	3	80%	67.5	90.0%	0.52
aliStair	10	5	2	20%	104.7	100.0%	0.74
shadiy	6	4	4	50%	88.1	90.0%	0.58
SaVage	5	5	2	40%	68.8	80.0%	0.44
Valiance	8	5	4	12%	96.4	100.0%	0.62

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ shadiy t2	36	17	11	2.12	31%	105.1	92.1%	38
keen t2	32	23	10	1.39	44%	93.2	92.1%	38
Valiance t2	29	19	9	1.53	48%	90.4	89.5%	38
aliStair t2	29	19	12	1.53	31%	94.8	89.5%	38
SaVage t2	28	18	9	1.56	64%	96.4	86.8%	38
malta t1	21	31	7	0.68	38%	82.0	57.9%	38
ADDICT t1	20	29	9	0.69	55%	63.1	63.2%	38
nettik t1	18	33	7	0.55	50%	71.8	57.9%	38
sterling t1	18	32	4	0.56	33%	56.9	60.5%	38
hazr t1	16	31	4	0.52	56%	59.2	57.9%	38

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

shadiy

36 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

shadiy

31% HS

36K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ shadiy	18	8	2	2.25	22%	110.7	87.5%	0.77
Valiance	15	8	3	1.88	60%	106.4	87.5%	0.74
SaVage	13	8	3	1.62	62%	102.2	87.5%	0.68
aliStair	11	7	6	1.57	36%	92.6	87.5%	0.59
keen	11	9	3	1.22	45%	70.4	93.8%	0.55
ADDICT	10	12	3	0.83	50%	76.0	56.2%	0.39
hazr	9	13	0	0.69	67%	64.6	56.2%	0.35
malta	9	15	2	0.60	78%	75.6	62.5%	0.36
nettik	7	16	3	0.44	57%	76.8	56.2%	0.24
sterling	5	13	2	0.38	40%	44.5	43.8%	0.13

inferno 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ sterling	13	19	2	0.68	31%	66.0	72.7%	0.33
malta	12	16	5	0.75	8%	86.6	54.5%	0.31
nettik	11	17	4	0.65	45%	68.1	59.1%	0.31
ADDICT	10	17	6	0.59	60%	53.6	68.2%	0.31
hazr	7	18	4	0.39	43%	55.2	59.1%	0.19
keen	21	14	7	1.50	43%	109.8	90.9%	0.7
aliStair	18	12	6	1.50	28%	96.5	90.9%	0.62
shadiy	18	9	9	2.00	39%	101.0	95.5%	0.69
SaVage	15	10	6	1.50	67%	92.1	86.4%	0.63
Valiance	14	11	6	1.27	36%	78.8	90.9%	0.54

inferno 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4650 | CT $4450

Round 2

T $3500 | CT $22850

Round 3

T $22500 | CT $26150

Round 4

T $25700 | CT $27700

Round 5

T $21000 | CT $28600

Round 6

T $1900 | CT $30550

Round 7

T $27750 | CT $26600

Round 8

T $3800 | CT $26200

Round 9

T $25250 | CT $28900

Round 10

T $20850 | CT $9800

Round 11

T $20750 | CT $6350

Round 12

T $19950 | CT $26450

Round 13

T $4300 | CT $4300

Round 14

T $9450 | CT $21300

Round 15

T $3200 | CT $26050

Round 16

T $26850 | CT $28000

Round 17

T $27350 | CT $15600

Round 18

T $27350 | CT $8000

Round 19

T $27650 | CT $26350

Round 20

T $27750 | CT $5950

Round 21

T $27550 | CT $30100

Round 22

T $27650 | CT $19400

nuke 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4800 | CT $4300

Round 2

T $13900 | CT $21550

Round 3

T $22050 | CT $8000

Round 4

T $25100 | CT $1000

Round 5

T $26950 | CT $23700

Round 6

T $27750 | CT $9900

Round 7

T $27550 | CT $27800

Round 8

T $27250 | CT $27750

Round 9

T $27350 | CT $6700

Round 10

T $27550 | CT $27300

Round 11

T $27350 | CT $22850

Round 12

T $27750 | CT $20400

Round 13

T $4400 | CT $4250

Round 14

T $3000 | CT $20850

Round 15

T $22000 | CT $27150

Round 16

T $25300 | CT $11950

SemperFi Eco Rating: 14.3

Eco rounds

4/5 W (80%)

Force buy

1/8 W (12%)

Full buy

19 rounds

Avg Equip

$18818

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

19%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 49%

Headshot% 51%

ex-TALON Eco Rating: 5.6

Eco rounds

1/9 W (11%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

21 rounds

Avg Equip

$19651

Util Dmg

5.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

55%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 55%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 43.5% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 57.1%

WR 90d

40.0% vs 52.4%

Rating 30d

1.28 vs 1.13

Form Slope

↑0.300 vs ↓-0.110

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

55.6% vs 51.3%

T WR 90d

48.8% vs 55.9%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs 6.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.42 vs 0.64

Elo Δ +99

Elo Win% 63.9%

SemperFi Eco Rating: 14.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

80%

Force Win%

12%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

49%

Opening K/Rd

19%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 68

ex-TALON Eco Rating: 5.6

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

11%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

55%

Opening K/Rd

55%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 77

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 43.5% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

ex-TALON

2 – 5

SemperFi

Recent Meetings

SemperFi 0 – 1 ex-TALON Aug 2025 SemperFi 2 – 0 ex-TALON Jul 2025 SemperFi 2 – 0 ex-TALON Apr 2025 SemperFi 2 – 0 ex-TALON Apr 2025 SemperFi 3 – 0 ex-TALON Mar 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

inferno 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4650 | CT $4450

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3500 | CT $22850

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $26150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25700 | CT $27700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21000 | CT $28600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $1900 | CT $30550

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $26600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $3800 | CT $26200

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25250 | CT $28900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $20850 | CT $9800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $20750 | CT $6350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $19950 | CT $26450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $9450 | CT $21300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $3200 | CT $26050

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $26850 | CT $28000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $15600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $8000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $26350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27750 | CT $5950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $30100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $19400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

nuke 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4800 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $13900 | CT $21550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $22050 | CT $8000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $26950 | CT $23700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $9900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $27800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $27750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $6700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $27300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $22850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $20400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $3000 | CT $20850

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $22000 | CT $27150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $11950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy