NRG vs Nouns — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 19 Mar 2025 22:38 UTC

NRG

Elo 1552

1 – 0

Winner: NRG

Nouns

Elo 1520

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 69% CONF WRONG

NRG 30.7% 69.3% Nouns

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

-_BR0

kills

ADR 106.5

Top Assist

HexT

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

-_BR0

106.5

avg dmg/rd

22K 16D

Best KAST

RUSH

87.5%

KAST

11K 15D

Most HS

HexT

headshots

74% HS rate

Best K/D

1junior

1.40

K/D ratio

21K 15D

mirage

13 – 10

7ct|6tvs6ct|4t

NRG WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
1junior	21	15	6	1.40	43%	85.5	66.7%	0.57
Cryptic	18	16	6	1.12	78%	94.1	83.3%	0.6
Peeping	16	19	3	0.84	38%	60.3	66.7%	0.38
CLASIA	13	16	6	0.81	38%	64.1	75.0%	0.38
RUSH	11	15	8	0.73	45%	56.5	87.5%	0.39
CT SIDE
-_BR0	22	16	4	1.38	32%	106.5	79.2%	0.62
HexT	19	18	8	1.06	74%	95.1	79.2%	0.58
nitr0	15	12	3	1.25	73%	74.1	66.7%	0.52
jeorge	13	16	8	0.81	38%	72.7	62.5%	0.37
oSee	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.3	79.2%	0.34

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
1junior	11	7	5	55%	85.1	66.7%	0.61
Cryptic	5	11	5	80%	71.9	83.3%	0.35
Peeping	10	9	1	40%	67.8	75.0%	0.5
CLASIA	5	8	5	60%	62.9	75.0%	0.36
RUSH	5	9	2	40%	45.8	75.0%	0.28
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
-_BR0	10	9	2	30%	99.7	75.0%	0.53
HexT	7	7	6	43%	73.5	66.7%	0.43
nitr0	9	5	2	67%	85.8	75.0%	0.63
jeorge	9	7	3	44%	74.5	83.3%	0.55
oSee	8	7	3	25%	91.6	91.7%	0.53

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
1junior	10	8	1	30%	85.9	66.7%	0.52
Cryptic	13	5	1	77%	116.2	83.3%	0.86
Peeping	6	10	2	33%	52.8	58.3%	0.25
CLASIA	8	8	1	25%	65.3	75.0%	0.42
RUSH	6	6	6	50%	67.2	100.0%	0.5
2ND HALF — T SIDE
-_BR0	12	7	2	33%	113.3	83.3%	0.7
HexT	12	11	2	92%	116.7	91.7%	0.72
nitr0	6	7	1	83%	62.3	58.3%	0.41
jeorge	4	9	5	25%	70.8	41.7%	0.17
oSee	3	9	2	33%	35.1	66.7%	0.16

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ -_BR0 t2	22	16	4	1.38	32%	106.5	79.2%	24
1junior t1	21	15	6	1.40	43%	85.5	66.7%	24
HexT t2	19	18	8	1.06	74%	95.1	79.2%	24
Cryptic t1	18	16	6	1.12	78%	94.1	83.3%	24
Peeping t1	16	19	3	0.84	38%	60.3	66.7%	24
nitr0 t2	15	12	3	1.25	73%	74.1	66.7%	24
CLASIA t1	13	16	6	0.81	38%	64.1	75.0%	24
jeorge t2	13	16	8	0.81	38%	72.7	62.5%	24
RUSH t1	11	15	8	0.73	45%	56.5	87.5%	24
oSee t2	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.3	79.2%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

-_BR0

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

-_BR0

32% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ 1junior	21	15	6	1.40	43%	85.5	66.7%	0.57
Cryptic	18	16	6	1.12	78%	94.1	83.3%	0.6
Peeping	16	19	3	0.84	38%	60.3	66.7%	0.38
CLASIA	13	16	6	0.81	38%	64.1	75.0%	0.38
RUSH	11	15	8	0.73	45%	56.5	87.5%	0.39
-_BR0	22	16	4	1.38	32%	106.5	79.2%	0.62
HexT	19	18	8	1.06	74%	95.1	79.2%	0.58
nitr0	15	12	3	1.25	73%	74.1	66.7%	0.52
jeorge	13	16	8	0.81	38%	72.7	62.5%	0.37
oSee	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.3	79.2%	0.34

mirage 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4250 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $13400 | CT $22800

Round 4

T $3350 | CT $24650

Round 5

T $24300 | CT $29800

Round 6

T $23900 | CT $30350

Round 7

T $25400 | CT $29700

Round 8

T $27350 | CT $10000

Round 9

T $25400 | CT $25000

Round 10

T $25400 | CT $5900

Round 11

T $26000 | CT $27550

Round 12

T $27550 | CT $29700

Round 13

T $21200 | CT $30650

Round 14

T $4350 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $18700 | CT $1000

Round 16

T $18000 | CT $24300

Round 17

T $24050 | CT $4050

Round 18

T $25600 | CT $27400

Round 19

T $26750 | CT $26200

Round 20

T $25850 | CT $28600

Round 21

T $6800 | CT $29600

Round 22

T $22900 | CT $30100

Round 23

T $15700 | CT $30450

Round 24

T $17550 | CT $30850

NRG Eco Rating: 10.6

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$19042

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

50%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 51%

Headshot% 56%

Nouns Eco Rating: 6.3

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$21265

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

67%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 43%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 35.0% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

100.0% vs 61.5%

WR 90d

43.5% vs 46.7%

Rating 30d

1.05 vs 1.23

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.040

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

51.9% vs 57.1%

T WR 90d

54.4% vs 53.3%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

14.0d vs 9.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.68 vs 0.5

Elo Δ -274

Elo Win% 17.2%

NRG Eco Rating: 10.6

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

56%

Trade Rate

51%

Opening K/Rd

50%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 52

Nouns Eco Rating: 6.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

67%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 64

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 35.0% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

NRG

13 – 7

Nouns

Recent Meetings

NRG 2 – 0 Nouns May 2025 NRG 2 – 0 Nouns May 2025 Nouns 0 – 2 NRG May 2025 NRG 2 – 0 Nouns Apr 2025 NRG 3 – 0 Nouns Mar 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $13400 | CT $22800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $3350 | CT $24650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $24300 | CT $29800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23900 | CT $30350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $29700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $10000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $25000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $5900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26000 | CT $27550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $29700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $21200 | CT $30650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18700 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $18000 | CT $24300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24050 | CT $4050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $27400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $26750 | CT $26200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25850 | CT $28600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $6800 | CT $29600

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $22900 | CT $30100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $15700 | CT $30450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $17550 | CT $30850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy