ENCE vs Nexus — CounterQuant

YaLLa Compass Spring 2025· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 17 Apr 2025 20:48 UTC

ENCE

Elo 1527

0 – 1

Winner: Nexus

Nexus

Elo 1652

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 68% CONF CORRECT

ENCE 32.3% 67.7% Nexus

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

ADRON

kills

ADR 95.2

Top Assist

BTN

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

podi

97.3

avg dmg/rd

17K 11D

Best KAST

podi

90.0%

KAST

17K 11D

Most HS

ADRON

headshots

59% HS rate

Best K/D

ADRON

1.55

K/D ratio

17K 11D

anubis

7 – 13

3ct|4tvs4ct|9t

Nexus WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
ADRON	17	11	3	1.55	59%	95.2	85.0%	0.66
XELLOW	14	10	2	1.40	50%	81.2	75.0%	0.55
BTN	12	11	7	1.09	42%	72.5	90.0%	0.5
s0und	11	11	4	1.00	73%	70.8	80.0%	0.5
ragga	10	12	7	0.83	40%	74.0	80.0%	0.42
CT SIDE
podi	17	11	3	1.55	41%	97.3	90.0%	0.65
Neityu	14	11	3	1.27	57%	75.2	85.0%	0.56
gla1ve	10	14	2	0.71	70%	54.1	75.0%	0.39
sdy	8	12	4	0.67	25%	61.0	60.0%	0.28
xKacpersky	7	17	4	0.41	71%	57.2	65.0%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
ADRON	12	7	2	67%	116.2	83.3%	0.76
XELLOW	10	5	1	40%	83.9	75.0%	0.62
BTN	4	7	7	100%	64.6	83.3%	0.43
s0und	7	6	2	71%	75.3	66.7%	0.5
ragga	5	7	3	20%	44.7	75.0%	0.3
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
podi	11	7	3	55%	113.2	91.7%	0.72
Neityu	7	6	2	57%	63.2	83.3%	0.5
gla1ve	5	9	1	100%	45.8	66.7%	0.35
sdy	4	7	2	25%	51.3	50.0%	0.21
xKacpersky	5	9	1	60%	60.0	66.7%	0.31

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
ADRON	5	4	1	40%	63.5	87.5%	0.51
XELLOW	4	5	1	75%	77.2	75.0%	0.45
BTN	8	4	0	12%	84.2	100.0%	0.69
s0und	4	5	2	75%	64.1	100.0%	0.5
ragga	5	5	4	60%	117.9	87.5%	0.58
2ND HALF — T SIDE
podi	6	4	0	17%	73.4	87.5%	0.54
Neityu	7	5	1	57%	93.2	87.5%	0.65
gla1ve	5	5	1	40%	66.8	87.5%	0.47
sdy	4	5	2	25%	75.6	75.0%	0.38
xKacpersky	2	8	3	100%	53.1	62.5%	0.2

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ ADRON t2	17	11	3	1.55	59%	95.2	85.0%	20
podi t1	17	11	3	1.55	41%	97.3	90.0%	20
XELLOW t2	14	10	2	1.40	50%	81.2	75.0%	20
Neityu t1	14	11	3	1.27	57%	75.2	85.0%	20
BTN t2	12	11	7	1.09	42%	72.5	90.0%	20
s0und t2	11	11	4	1.00	73%	70.8	80.0%	20
ragga t2	10	12	7	0.83	40%	74.0	80.0%	20
gla1ve t1	10	14	2	0.71	70%	54.1	75.0%	20
sdy t1	8	12	4	0.67	25%	61.0	60.0%	20
xKacpersky t1	7	17	4	0.41	71%	57.2	65.0%	20

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

ADRON

17 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

ADRON

59% HS

17K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ ADRON	17	11	3	1.55	59%	95.2	85.0%	0.66
XELLOW	14	10	2	1.40	50%	81.2	75.0%	0.55
BTN	12	11	7	1.09	42%	72.5	90.0%	0.5
s0und	11	11	4	1.00	73%	70.8	80.0%	0.5
ragga	10	12	7	0.83	40%	74.0	80.0%	0.42
podi	17	11	3	1.55	41%	97.3	90.0%	0.65
Neityu	14	11	3	1.27	57%	75.2	85.0%	0.56
gla1ve	10	14	2	0.71	70%	54.1	75.0%	0.39
sdy	8	12	4	0.67	25%	61.0	60.0%	0.28
xKacpersky	7	17	4	0.41	71%	57.2	65.0%	0.26

anubis 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $0 | CT $0

Round 3

T $4250 | CT $4500

Round 4

T $1000 | CT $21250

Round 5

T $22900 | CT $25950

Round 6

T $20850 | CT $21550

Round 7

T $26950 | CT $18700

Round 8

T $19200 | CT $27700

Round 9

T $22950 | CT $9400

Round 10

T $22750 | CT $8400

Round 11

T $25000 | CT $21950

Round 12

T $26750 | CT $23200

Round 13

T $26350 | CT $26900

Round 14

T $28050 | CT $19350

Round 15

T $4350 | CT $4200

Round 16

T $11050 | CT $19500

Round 17

T $13500 | CT $24450

Round 18

T $15000 | CT $24650

Round 19

T $25500 | CT $27900

Round 20

T $26300 | CT $9400

Round 21

T $27950 | CT $24700

Round 22

T $27850 | CT $26050

ENCE Eco Rating: 4.7

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$19925

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

75%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 46%

Headshot% 47%

Nexus Eco Rating: 15.0

Eco rounds

2/2 W (100%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$19485

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

71%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 50%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 32.4% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

61.5% vs 57.1%

WR 90d

46.9% vs 32.3%

Rating 30d

1.21 vs 1.09

Form Slope

↑0.030 vs ↑0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

51.8% vs 42.0%

T WR 90d

51.4% vs 48.3%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 3.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.51 vs 0.43

Elo Δ -238

Elo Win% 20.3%

ENCE Eco Rating: 4.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

46%

Opening K/Rd

75%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 48

Nexus Eco Rating: 15.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

100%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

50%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

71%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 42

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 32.4% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

ENCE

6 – 2

Nexus

Recent Meetings

ENCE 2 – 0 Nexus Nov 2025 ENCE 0 – 1 Nexus Nov 2025 Nexus 0 – 2 ENCE Aug 2025 Nexus 0 – 3 ENCE May 2025 ENCE 3 – 0 Nexus May 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4500

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $21250

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22900 | CT $25950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $20850 | CT $21550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26950 | CT $18700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $19200 | CT $27700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $22950 | CT $9400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22750 | CT $8400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25000 | CT $21950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $23200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $26900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $19350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $11050 | CT $19500

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $13500 | CT $24450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $15000 | CT $24650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $27900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $26300 | CT $9400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $24700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $26050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted