THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak

DFRAG Open Series 2· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 14 Dec 2025 18:09 UTC

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Elo 1528

2 – 0

Winner: THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Mindfreak

Elo 1483

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 68% CONF WRONG

THUNDER dOWNUNDER 32.3% 67.7% Mindfreak

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

--dexter---

kills

ADR 114.0

Top Assist

--dexter---

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

--dexter---

114.0

avg dmg/rd

37K 23D

Best KAST

ALISTAIR

89.5%

KAST

32K 21D

Most HS

--dexter---

headshots

70% HS rate

Best K/D

--dexter---

1.61

K/D ratio

37K 23D

nuke

13 – 3

3ct|10tvs2ct|1t

THUNDER dOWNUNDER WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Texta	12	14	1	0.86	50%	87.7	70.6%	0.45
dpr	12	13	2	0.92	67%	84.8	76.5%	0.51
swerzieN-	10	14	3	0.71	60%	70.6	52.9%	0.35
zune-	9	15	2	0.60	44%	66.1	64.7%	0.3
tucks	4	16	5	0.25	0%	48.9	47.1%	0.01
CT SIDE
TjP-	18	8	6	2.25	50%	101.1	94.1%	0.8
asap--	17	8	5	2.12	53%	107.6	82.4%	0.76
ALISTAIR	15	9	6	1.67	7%	94.3	100.0%	0.64
--dexter---	13	11	9	1.18	54%	98.9	70.6%	0.56
liazz	9	11	7	0.82	56%	77.6	82.4%	0.45

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Texta	6	4	1	67%	119.6	80.0%	0.78
dpr	5	4	2	80%	135.0	100.0%	0.78
swerzieN-	3	4	1	0%	71.6	60.0%	0.29
zune-	3	5	1	67%	56.4	60.0%	0.31
tucks	1	5	3	0%	46.0	60.0%	0.01
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
TjP-	8	3	1	50%	142.8	100.0%	1.08
asap--	3	3	2	67%	88.2	80.0%	0.52
ALISTAIR	4	5	3	0%	100.4	100.0%	0.46
--dexter---	3	4	2	0%	49.2	60.0%	0.25
liazz	4	3	2	25%	102.0	80.0%	0.57

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Texta	6	10	0	33%	74.4	66.7%	0.3
dpr	7	9	0	57%	63.9	66.7%	0.39
swerzieN-	7	10	2	86%	70.2	50.0%	0.37
zune-	6	10	1	33%	70.2	66.7%	0.3
tucks	3	11	2	0%	50.1	41.7%	0.02
2ND HALF — T SIDE
TjP-	10	5	5	50%	83.8	91.7%	0.68
asap--	14	5	3	50%	115.8	83.3%	0.86
ALISTAIR	11	4	3	9%	91.8	100.0%	0.71
--dexter---	10	7	7	70%	119.7	75.0%	0.67
liazz	5	8	5	80%	67.4	83.3%	0.42

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

dust2

13 – 7

6ct|7tvs1ct|6t

THUNDER dOWNUNDER WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
dpr	21	15	3	1.40	57%	101.9	81.0%	0.68
swerzieN-	15	17	2	0.88	33%	74.2	71.4%	0.42
zune-	13	17	3	0.76	77%	71.8	66.7%	0.43
Texta	8	17	3	0.47	62%	50.0	52.4%	0.23
tucks	8	17	5	0.47	62%	67.3	61.9%	0.28
CT SIDE
--dexter---	24	12	5	2.00	79%	126.1	81.0%	0.85
ALISTAIR	17	12	6	1.42	24%	94.5	81.0%	0.57
asap--	13	11	2	1.18	62%	66.0	71.4%	0.49
TjP-	13	14	5	0.93	62%	74.4	81.0%	0.49
liazz	12	15	5	0.80	42%	84.3	61.9%	0.39

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
dpr	12	8	2	58%	90.9	76.9%	0.65
swerzieN-	7	10	2	57%	66.2	69.2%	0.37
zune-	8	11	2	75%	60.9	61.5%	0.38
Texta	8	10	1	62%	68.5	69.2%	0.41
tucks	7	11	4	71%	88.9	53.8%	0.36
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
--dexter---	13	9	4	62%	111.0	76.9%	0.69
ALISTAIR	13	6	3	23%	111.3	92.3%	0.74
asap--	7	8	1	57%	66.1	69.2%	0.42
TjP-	8	7	3	75%	76.8	84.6%	0.55
liazz	6	10	1	33%	66.3	61.5%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
dpr	9	7	1	56%	119.8	87.5%	0.73
swerzieN-	8	7	0	12%	87.2	75.0%	0.52
zune-	5	6	1	80%	89.5	75.0%	0.5
Texta	0	7	2	0%	19.8	25.0%	-0.17
tucks	1	6	1	0%	32.2	75.0%	0.07
2ND HALF — T SIDE
--dexter---	11	3	1	100%	150.8	87.5%	1.1
ALISTAIR	4	6	3	25%	67.2	62.5%	0.29
asap--	6	3	1	67%	65.8	75.0%	0.61
TjP-	5	7	2	40%	70.6	75.0%	0.37
liazz	6	5	4	50%	113.6	62.5%	0.55

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ --dexter--- t2	37	23	14	1.61	70%	114.0	76.3%	38
dpr t1	33	28	5	1.18	61%	94.3	78.9%	38
ALISTAIR t2	32	21	12	1.52	16%	94.4	89.5%	38
TjP- t2	31	22	11	1.41	55%	86.4	86.8%	38
asap-- t2	30	19	7	1.58	57%	84.6	76.3%	38
swerzieN- t1	25	31	5	0.81	44%	72.6	63.2%	38
zune- t1	22	32	5	0.69	64%	69.3	65.8%	38
liazz t2	21	26	12	0.81	48%	81.3	71.1%	38
Texta t1	20	31	4	0.65	55%	66.8	60.5%	38
tucks t1	12	33	10	0.36	42%	59.1	55.3%	38

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

--dexter---

37 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

--dexter---

70% HS

37K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Texta	12	14	1	0.86	50%	87.7	70.6%	0.45
dpr	12	13	2	0.92	67%	84.8	76.5%	0.51
swerzieN-	10	14	3	0.71	60%	70.6	52.9%	0.35
zune-	9	15	2	0.60	44%	66.1	64.7%	0.3
tucks	4	16	5	0.25	0%	48.9	47.1%	0.01
TjP-	18	8	6	2.25	50%	101.1	94.1%	0.8
asap--	17	8	5	2.12	53%	107.6	82.4%	0.76
ALISTAIR	15	9	6	1.67	7%	94.3	100.0%	0.64
--dexter---	13	11	9	1.18	54%	98.9	70.6%	0.56
liazz	9	11	7	0.82	56%	77.6	82.4%	0.45

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ dpr	21	15	3	1.40	57%	101.9	81.0%	0.68
swerzieN-	15	17	2	0.88	33%	74.2	71.4%	0.42
zune-	13	17	3	0.76	77%	71.8	66.7%	0.43
Texta	8	17	3	0.47	62%	50.0	52.4%	0.23
tucks	8	17	5	0.47	62%	67.3	61.9%	0.28
--dexter---	24	12	5	2.00	79%	126.1	81.0%	0.85
ALISTAIR	17	12	6	1.42	24%	94.5	81.0%	0.57
asap--	13	11	2	1.18	62%	66.0	71.4%	0.49
TjP-	13	14	5	0.93	62%	74.4	81.0%	0.49
liazz	12	15	5	0.80	42%	84.3	61.9%	0.39

dust2 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 3

T $4400 | CT $4200

Round 4

T $1500 | CT $20850

Round 5

T $22500 | CT $26300

Round 6

T $5700 | CT $29600

Round 7

T $27750 | CT $31350

Round 8

T $27850 | CT $1500

Round 9

T $28250 | CT $24800

Round 10

T $27850 | CT $25750

Round 11

T $27550 | CT $28150

Round 12

T $27450 | CT $21650

Round 13

T $27850 | CT $30150

Round 14

T $13400 | CT $33000

Round 15

T $5150 | CT $4500

Round 16

T $19100 | CT $1500

Round 17

T $23000 | CT $25800

Round 18

T $27250 | CT $6850

Round 19

T $27050 | CT $27200

Round 20

T $23250 | CT $30600

Round 21

T $27150 | CT $31200

Round 22

T $26250 | CT $27500

nuke 18 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 3

T $5500 | CT $4000

Round 4

T $18800 | CT $10400

Round 5

T $22000 | CT $9400

Round 6

T $25750 | CT $27600

Round 7

T $18150 | CT $27100

Round 8

T $28050 | CT $27700

Round 9

T $25500 | CT $9650

Round 10

T $25800 | CT $27000

Round 11

T $27250 | CT $10100

Round 12

T $27250 | CT $26750

Round 13

T $25200 | CT $25800

Round 14

T $28150 | CT $18250

Round 15

T $4350 | CT $4000

Round 16

T $20250 | CT $11550

Round 17

T $6800 | CT $23950

Round 18

T $14400 | CT $28200

THUNDER dOWNUNDER Eco Rating: 10.0

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

2/2 W (100%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$20167

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

Mindfreak Eco Rating: 4.0

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$20748

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 38.4% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

60.0% vs 44.4%

WR 90d

60.0% vs 50.0%

Rating 30d

1.24 vs 1.06

Form Slope

↓-0.040 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

55.4% vs 53.4%

T WR 90d

53.9% vs 50.4%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.64 vs 0.76

Elo Δ -45

Elo Win% 43.5%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER Eco Rating: 10.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Mindfreak Eco Rating: 4.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 38.4% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

8 – 1

Mindfreak

Recent Meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2 – 0 Mindfreak Mar 2026 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0 – 1 Mindfreak Feb 2026 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2 – 0 Mindfreak Feb 2026 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2 – 0 Mindfreak Feb 2026 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2 – 0 Mindfreak Feb 2026

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $20850

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $26300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $5700 | CT $29600

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $31350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $1500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $24800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $25750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $28150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $21650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $13400 | CT $33000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $5150 | CT $4500

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $19100 | CT $1500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23000 | CT $25800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $6850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $23250 | CT $30600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $31200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $26250 | CT $27500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

nuke 18 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $5500 | CT $4000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $18800 | CT $10400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22000 | CT $9400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25750 | CT $27600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $18150 | CT $27100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $27700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $9650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25800 | CT $27000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $10100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $26750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $25800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $18250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20250 | CT $11550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $6800 | CT $23950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $14400 | CT $28200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy