Alliance vs Lemondogs — CounterQuant

Svenska Elitserien Fall 2023· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 21 Nov 2023 21:14 UTC

Alliance

Elo 1428

2 – 0

Winner: Alliance

Lemondogs

Elo 1497

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 52% CONF CORRECT

Alliance 52.1% 47.9% Lemondogs

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

PlesseN

kills

ADR 96.4

Top Assist

b0denmaster

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

flaw

98.0

avg dmg/rd

38K 32D

Best KAST

avid

77.8%

KAST

39K 27D

Most HS

avid

headshots

56% HS rate

Best K/D

avid

1.44

K/D ratio

39K 27D

mirage

13 – 9

Alliance WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
flaw	19	14	1	1.36	47%	95.7	63.6%	0.57
xelos	14	13	4	1.08	71%	81.9	63.6%	0.5
pyth =DD	10	14	5	0.71	60%	54.2	72.7%	0.37
Radifaction	9	16	2	0.56	44%	60.0	59.1%	0.27
hemzk9	6	17	3	0.35	67%	51.4	40.9%	0.17
CT SIDE
avid	23	12	1	1.92	65%	107.5	77.3%	0.76
PlesseN	20	12	6	1.67	55%	104.7	72.7%	0.67
twist	13	11	0	1.18	46%	55.1	68.2%	0.44
robiin	13	12	7	1.08	46%	77.3	77.3%	0.48
b0denmaster	5	11	7	0.45	40%	37.7	72.7%	0.25

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
flaw	9	8	0	78%	76.3	58.3%	0.51
xelos	9	7	2	56%	95.2	50.0%	0.51
pyth =DD	5	8	3	80%	50.8	75.0%	0.37
Radifaction	6	10	2	33%	70.5	66.7%	0.3
hemzk9	4	9	3	50%	55.5	50.0%	0.21
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
avid	13	7	0	69%	110.8	75.0%	0.77
PlesseN	10	6	3	60%	106.2	75.0%	0.66
twist	8	7	0	38%	64.2	66.7%	0.45
robiin	8	7	2	38%	80.6	75.0%	0.49
b0denmaster	3	6	4	33%	48.1	75.0%	0.27

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
flaw	10	6	1	20%	119.0	70.0%	0.65
xelos	5	6	2	100%	66.0	80.0%	0.49
pyth =DD	5	6	2	40%	58.3	70.0%	0.37
Radifaction	3	6	0	67%	47.3	50.0%	0.25
hemzk9	2	8	0	100%	46.5	30.0%	0.14
2ND HALF — T SIDE
avid	10	5	1	60%	103.7	80.0%	0.75
PlesseN	10	6	3	50%	102.8	70.0%	0.67
twist	5	4	0	60%	44.1	70.0%	0.44
robiin	5	5	5	60%	73.4	80.0%	0.48
b0denmaster	2	5	3	50%	25.2	70.0%	0.23

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anubis

13 – 10

Alliance WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
PlesseN	20	17	3	1.18	40%	88.5	69.6%	0.54
twist	19	13	8	1.46	58%	99.0	87.0%	0.66
b0denmaster	18	20	7	0.90	33%	74.4	79.2%	0.45
avid	16	15	3	1.07	44%	76.2	78.3%	0.49
robiin	13	16	5	0.81	54%	61.6	78.3%	0.41
CT SIDE
flaw	19	18	4	1.06	58%	100.2	73.9%	0.56
xelos	16	14	3	1.14	38%	80.7	82.6%	0.51
pyth =DD	14	16	2	0.88	64%	65.1	56.5%	0.4
Radifaction	13	15	5	0.87	54%	71.4	73.9%	0.43
hemzk9	13	18	5	0.72	31%	64.7	65.2%	0.33

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
PlesseN	10	10	2	40%	81.3	66.7%	0.47
twist	10	5	3	60%	92.8	91.7%	0.71
b0denmaster	13	14	5	46%	97.0	76.9%	0.53
avid	8	7	2	62%	68.7	75.0%	0.51
robiin	6	7	2	67%	53.2	75.0%	0.42
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
flaw	6	10	3	100%	90.4	66.7%	0.43
xelos	8	8	1	38%	77.0	83.3%	0.48
pyth =DD	4	9	0	75%	38.2	25.0%	0.16
Radifaction	9	7	2	56%	73.2	66.7%	0.52
hemzk9	10	8	0	20%	86.1	66.7%	0.5

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
PlesseN	10	7	1	40%	96.4	72.7%	0.6
twist	9	8	5	56%	105.8	81.8%	0.6
b0denmaster	5	6	2	0%	47.7	81.8%	0.32
avid	8	8	1	25%	84.5	81.8%	0.48
robiin	7	9	3	43%	70.6	81.8%	0.42
2ND HALF — T SIDE
flaw	13	8	1	38%	110.9	81.8%	0.74
xelos	8	6	2	38%	84.7	81.8%	0.55
pyth =DD	10	7	2	60%	94.5	90.9%	0.68
Radifaction	4	8	3	50%	69.4	81.8%	0.33
hemzk9	3	10	5	67%	41.5	63.6%	0.17

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Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ PlesseN t1	40	29	9	1.38	48%	96.4	71.1%	45
avid t1	39	27	4	1.44	56%	91.5	77.8%	45
flaw t2	38	32	5	1.19	53%	98.0	68.9%	45
twist t1	32	24	8	1.33	53%	77.5	77.8%	45
xelos t2	30	27	7	1.11	53%	81.3	73.3%	45
robiin t1	26	28	12	0.93	50%	69.3	77.8%	45
pyth =DD t2	24	30	7	0.80	62%	59.8	64.4%	45
b0denmaster t1	23	31	14	0.74	35%	56.8	76.1%	46
Radifaction t2	22	31	7	0.71	50%	65.8	66.7%	45
hemzk9 t2	19	35	8	0.54	42%	58.2	53.3%	45

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

PlesseN

40 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

PlesseN

48% HS

40K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ flaw	19	14	1	1.36	47%	95.7	63.6%	0.57
xelos	14	13	4	1.08	71%	81.9	63.6%	0.5
pyth =DD	10	14	5	0.71	60%	54.2	72.7%	0.37
Radifaction	9	16	2	0.56	44%	60.0	59.1%	0.27
hemzk9	6	17	3	0.35	67%	51.4	40.9%	0.17
avid	23	12	1	1.92	65%	107.5	77.3%	0.76
PlesseN	20	12	6	1.67	55%	104.7	72.7%	0.67
twist	13	11	0	1.18	46%	55.1	68.2%	0.44
robiin	13	12	7	1.08	46%	77.3	77.3%	0.48
b0denmaster	5	11	7	0.45	40%	37.7	72.7%	0.25

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ PlesseN	20	17	3	1.18	40%	88.5	69.6%	0.54
twist	19	13	8	1.46	58%	99.0	87.0%	0.66
b0denmaster	18	20	7	0.90	33%	74.4	79.2%	0.45
avid	16	15	3	1.07	44%	76.2	78.3%	0.49
robiin	13	16	5	0.81	54%	61.6	78.3%	0.41
flaw	19	18	4	1.06	58%	100.2	73.9%	0.56
xelos	16	14	3	1.14	38%	80.7	82.6%	0.51
pyth =DD	14	16	2	0.88	64%	65.1	56.5%	0.4
Radifaction	13	15	5	0.87	54%	71.4	73.9%	0.43
hemzk9	13	18	5	0.72	31%	64.7	65.2%	0.33

anubis 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3400 | CT $0

Round 3

T $4350 | CT $4250

Round 4

T $15650 | CT $20200

Round 5

T $22450 | CT $13350

Round 6

T $23850 | CT $1300

Round 7

T $26350 | CT $24000

Round 8

T $23800 | CT $27550

Round 9

T $27550 | CT $3050

Round 10

T $1100 | CT $30650

Round 11

T $21950 | CT $32050

Round 12

T $25600 | CT $31300

Round 13

T $27450 | CT $13900

Round 14

T $28650 | CT $27050

Round 15

T $4300 | CT $4300

Round 16

T $16350 | CT $1000

Round 17

T $23500 | CT $23800

Round 18

T $24900 | CT $4800

Round 19

T $25100 | CT $28200

Round 20

T $21900 | CT $29450

Round 21

T $5100 | CT $29750

Round 22

T $22500 | CT $31850

Round 23

T $24200 | CT $31000

Round 24

T $22300 | CT $21400

Round 25

T $18550 | CT $24350

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $2100 | CT $18850

Round 4

T $22200 | CT $23550

Round 5

T $25100 | CT $19600

Round 6

T $23900 | CT $22300

Round 7

T $4150 | CT $30500

Round 8

T $23150 | CT $30250

Round 9

T $7850 | CT $31100

Round 10

T $27850 | CT $29100

Round 11

T $27650 | CT $12250

Round 12

T $25250 | CT $21850

Round 13

T $28250 | CT $15400

Round 14

T $4550 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $1500 | CT $15650

Round 16

T $22700 | CT $27200

Round 17

T $23850 | CT $2100

Round 18

T $23850 | CT $21400

Round 19

T $27350 | CT $17000

Round 20

T $26850 | CT $31500

Round 21

T $27150 | CT $23050

Round 22

T $26650 | CT $25100

Round 23

T $27250 | CT $14700

Lemondogs Eco Rating: 9.2

Eco rounds

4/9 W (44%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

22 rounds

Avg Equip

$19989

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

34%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 48%

Alliance Eco Rating: 11.5

Eco rounds

1/8 W (12%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

27 rounds

Avg Equip

$19418

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

38%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 53%

Lemondogs Eco Rating: 9.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

44%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

48%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

34%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 91

Alliance Eco Rating: 11.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

12%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

53%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

38%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 86

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Alliance

1 – 0

Lemondogs

Recent Meetings

Alliance 2 – 0 Lemondogs Nov 2023

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3400 | CT $0

T buy: half_buy CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $15650 | CT $20200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22450 | CT $13350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23850 | CT $1300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $24000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23800 | CT $27550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $3050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $1100 | CT $30650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $21950 | CT $32050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25600 | CT $31300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $13900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $28650 | CT $27050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $16350 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23500 | CT $23800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $24900 | CT $4800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25100 | CT $28200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $21900 | CT $29450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $5100 | CT $29750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $22500 | CT $31850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $24200 | CT $31000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $22300 | CT $21400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $18550 | CT $24350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $2100 | CT $18850

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22200 | CT $23550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $19600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23900 | CT $22300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $4150 | CT $30500

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23150 | CT $30250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $7850 | CT $31100

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $29100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $12250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25250 | CT $21850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $15400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4550 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $15650

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22700 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $2100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $21400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $17000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $26850 | CT $31500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $23050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $26650 | CT $25100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $14700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy