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ESL Challenger Melbourne 2024 Oceania Open Qualifier· A-TIER ONLINE BO3
FINAL 13 Feb 2024 22:47 UTC
MA
MAKING HISTORY
Elo 1488
1 – 0
Winner: MAKING HISTORY
DI
disciples
Elo 1500
CS2
CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP
AUC 0.702 52% CONF CORRECT
MAKING HISTORY 52.1% 47.9% disciples
Why this prediction?
+100.0 Elo advantage
+84.2 Elo implied probability
+75.5 Elo win probability
−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge
−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff
+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1
+29.3 Days since last match (T1)
+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)
+25.2 Elo (T1)
+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)
anubis
13 – 11
9|4vs8|3
MAKING HISTORY
Match Highlights Demo parsed
Top Performers
Top Fragger
apocdud
24
kills
ADR 112.9
Top Assist
kobe
14
assists
2 flash
Best ADR
apocdud
112.9
avg dmg/rd
24K 17D
Best KAST
Texta
84.0%
KAST
22K 17D
Most HS
-SaVage
13
headshots
59% HS rate
Best K/D
-SaVage
1.69
K/D ratio
22K 13D
de_anubis
anubis
13 – 11
MAKING HISTORY WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round — Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
Texta
 22 17 5 1.29 45% 103.6 84.0% 0.62
mswagbabyy
 20 18 6 1.11 45% 87.0 76.0% 0.53
PvtPorker
 18 19 7 0.95 56% 82.7 84.0% 0.51
git-push-f
 14 18 2 0.78 43% 65.4 84.0% 0.41
clapincheeks
 13 18 5 0.72 31% 72.5 56.0% 0.31
CT SIDE
apocdud
 24 17 7 1.41 29% 112.9 80.0% 0.64
-SaVage
 22 13 2 1.69 59% 90.7 80.0% 0.66
damyo
 22 19 7 1.16 50% 105.7 84.0% 0.61
foggers
 12 17 6 0.71 33% 58.3 80.0% 0.35
kobe
 9 20 14 0.45 67% 75.8 84.0% 0.35
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Texta
 6 11 2 50% 60.8 76.9% 0.31
mswagbabyy
 9 11 3 33% 74.3 61.5% 0.37
PvtPorker
 10 10 2 50% 81.8 76.9% 0.51
git-push-f
 5 12 2 60% 60.2 76.9% 0.27
clapincheeks
 5 10 2 40% 63.4 46.2% 0.21
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
apocdud
 17 7 5 24% 149.7 84.6% 0.9
-SaVage
 9 5 1 56% 70.2 84.6% 0.6
damyo
 14 9 4 43% 119.2 92.3% 0.75
foggers
 8 5 3 25% 64.5 92.3% 0.53
kobe
 5 8 9 80% 79.0 92.3% 0.46
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Texta
 16 6 3 44% 150.0 91.7% 0.97
mswagbabyy
 11 7 3 55% 100.7 91.7% 0.7
PvtPorker
 8 9 5 62% 83.7 91.7% 0.52
git-push-f
 9 6 0 33% 71.1 91.7% 0.57
clapincheeks
 8 8 3 25% 82.3 66.7% 0.43
2ND HALF — T SIDE
apocdud
 7 10 2 43% 73.1 75.0% 0.37
-SaVage
 13 8 1 62% 113.0 75.0% 0.74
damyo
 8 10 3 62% 91.1 75.0% 0.47
foggers
 4 12 3 50% 51.5 66.7% 0.17
kobe
 4 12 5 50% 72.2 75.0% 0.22
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Rds
⭐ apocdud t1
24 17 7 1.41 29% 112.9 80.0% 25
Texta t2
22 17 5 1.29 45% 103.6 84.0% 25
-SaVage t1
22 13 2 1.69 59% 90.7 80.0% 25
damyo t1
22 19 7 1.16 50% 105.7 84.0% 25
mswagbabyy t2
20 18 6 1.11 45% 87.0 76.0% 25
PvtPorker t2
18 19 7 0.95 56% 82.7 84.0% 25
git-push-f t2
14 18 2 0.78 43% 65.4 84.0% 25
clapincheeks t2
13 18 5 0.72 31% 72.5 56.0% 25
foggers t1
12 17 6 0.71 33% 58.3 80.0% 25
kobe t1
9 20 14 0.45 67% 75.8 84.0% 25
Player Awards
🔫
Top Fragger
apocdud
24 kills
🎯
Headshot Machine
apocdud
29% HS
24K
Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills
de_anubis anubis 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
Texta
22 17 5 1.29 45% 103.6 84.0% 0.62
mswagbabyy
20 18 6 1.11 45% 87.0 76.0% 0.53
PvtPorker
18 19 7 0.95 56% 82.7 84.0% 0.51
git-push-f
14 18 2 0.78 43% 65.4 84.0% 0.41
clapincheeks
13 18 5 0.72 31% 72.5 56.0% 0.31
apocdud
24 17 7 1.41 29% 112.9 80.0% 0.64
-SaVage
22 13 2 1.69 59% 90.7 80.0% 0.66
damyo
22 19 7 1.16 50% 105.7 84.0% 0.61
foggers
12 17 6 0.71 33% 58.3 80.0% 0.35
kobe
9 20 14 0.45 67% 75.8 84.0% 0.35
de_anubis anubis 25 rounds
■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $3250 | CT $3250
Round 2
T $4300 | CT $4300
Round 3
T $1800 | CT $19200
Round 4
T $22100 | CT $27200
Round 5
T $6550 | CT $29200
Round 6
T $25500 | CT $31450
Round 7
T $12350 | CT $30850
Round 8
T $25500 | CT $32700
Round 9
T $25500 | CT $31200
Round 10
T $27450 | CT $7750
Round 11
T $27750 | CT $26950
Round 12
T $26450 | CT $27850
Round 13
T $15650 | CT $31100
Round 14
T $4700 | CT $4000
Round 15
T $9850 | CT $19600
HT
Round 16
T $22200 | CT $9650
Round 17
T $10700 | CT $27150
Round 18
T $1200 | CT $27750
Round 19
T $23850 | CT $30100
Round 20
T $6650 | CT $28700
Round 21
T $25300 | CT $29800
Round 22
T $9400 | CT $29900
Round 23
T $26900 | CT $30700
Round 24
T $27850 | CT $15950
Round 25
T $24850 | CT $28900
disciples Eco Rating: 15.9
Eco rounds
2/3 W (67%)
Force buy
1/2 W (50%)
Full buy
17 rounds
Avg Equip
$23408
Util Dmg
0.00
0.0/rd
Opening K
15
68%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 46%
Headshot% 42%
2K
5
3K
1
4K
3
5K
16
MAKING HISTORY Eco Rating: 10.2
Eco rounds
1/5 W (20%)
Force buy
2/6 W (33%)
Full buy
11 rounds
Avg Equip
$16704
Util Dmg
1.00
0.0/rd
Opening K
11
50%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 46%
Headshot% 49%
2K
9
3K
5
4K
2
5K
6
disciples Eco Rating: 15.9
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
67%
Force Win%
50%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
42%
Trade Rate
46%
Opening K/Rd
68%
Util Dmg/Rd
—
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
5
3K
1
4K
3
5K
16
Multi-Kill Score: 80
MAKING HISTORY Eco Rating: 10.2
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
20%
Force Win%
33%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
49%
Trade Rate
46%
Opening K/Rd
50%
Util Dmg/Rd
—
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
9
3K
5
4K
2
5K
6
Multi-Kill Score: 49
Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

MAKING HISTORY
2 – 0
disciples
Recent Meetings
MAKING HISTORY 1 – 0 disciples Feb 2024 disciples 0 – 1 MAKING HISTORY Jan 2024
Player Performance
DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact
Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15  |  KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round  |  Source: awpy + demoparser2
de_anubis anubis 25 rounds
■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 — 1st half
T $3250 | CT $3250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 2 2 — 1st half
T $4300 | CT $4300
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 — 1st half
T $1800 | CT $19200
T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy
Round 4 4 — 1st half
T $22100 | CT $27200
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 5 5 — 1st half
T $6550 | CT $29200
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 6 6 — 1st half
T $25500 | CT $31450
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 7 7 — 1st half
T $12350 | CT $30850
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 8 8 — 1st half
T $25500 | CT $32700
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 9 9 — 1st half
T $25500 | CT $31200
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 10 10 — 1st half
T $27450 | CT $7750
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 11 11 — 1st half
T $27750 | CT $26950
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 12 12 — 1st half
T $26450 | CT $27850
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 13 13 — 1st half
T $15650 | CT $31100
T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 14 14 — 1st half
T $4700 | CT $4000
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 15 15 — 1st half
T $9850 | CT $19600
T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
HT
Round 16 16 — 2nd half
T $22200 | CT $9650
T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy
Round 17 17 — 2nd half
T $10700 | CT $27150
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 18 18 — 2nd half
T $1200 | CT $27750
T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy
Round 19 19 — 2nd half
T $23850 | CT $30100
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 20 20 — 2nd half
T $6650 | CT $28700
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 21 21 — 2nd half
T $25300 | CT $29800
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 22 22 — 2nd half
T $9400 | CT $29900
T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 23 23 — 2nd half
T $26900 | CT $30700
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 24 24 — 2nd half
T $27850 | CT $15950
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 25 25 — 2nd half
T $24850 | CT $28900
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted