The MongolZ vs BLEED — CounterQuant

Skyesports Championship 2024· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 25 Jul 2024 20:45 UTC

The MongolZ

Elo 1463

0 – 1

Winner: BLEED

BLEED

Elo 1427

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 79% CONF CORRECT

The MongolZ 21.2% 78.8% BLEED

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

nawwk

kills

ADR 91.1

Top Assist

bLitz

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

bLitz

106.4

avg dmg/rd

19K 16D

Best KAST

RavenMe1sTeR

100.0%

KAST

0K 0D

Most HS

Mzinho

headshots

87% HS rate

Best K/D

910

1.36

K/D ratio

19K 14D

mirage

11 – 13

5ct|6tvs6ct|7t

BLEED WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
nawwk	22	17	7	1.29	18%	91.1	68.0%	0.53
hampus	19	15	3	1.27	58%	90.2	80.0%	0.58
jkaem	15	18	9	0.83	73%	81.4	72.0%	0.47
CYPHER	14	18	4	0.78	43%	66.8	68.0%	0.37
nexa	11	16	2	0.69	45%	50.2	76.0%	0.34
CT SIDE
910	19	14	2	1.36	32%	71.9	68.0%	0.5
Senzu	19	17	7	1.12	53%	92.2	72.0%	0.54
bLitz	19	16	9	1.19	47%	106.4	76.0%	0.57
Mzinho	15	19	4	0.79	87%	81.4	84.0%	0.5
Techno4K	13	16	1	0.81	69%	54.4	80.0%	0.43

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
nawwk	13	9	5	31%	98.2	69.2%	0.61
hampus	13	9	2	46%	120.6	69.2%	0.67
jkaem	6	9	6	67%	72.0	76.9%	0.4
CYPHER	4	9	2	75%	37.1	69.2%	0.27
nexa	4	9	1	25%	37.3	69.2%	0.2
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
910	9	7	1	33%	73.4	61.5%	0.46
Senzu	7	10	5	43%	81.7	76.9%	0.39
bLitz	11	8	5	27%	116.6	76.9%	0.6
Mzinho	11	8	2	82%	99.8	84.6%	0.68
Techno4K	7	7	0	43%	52.0	84.6%	0.43

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
nawwk	9	8	2	0%	83.4	66.7%	0.43
hampus	6	6	1	83%	57.2	91.7%	0.51
jkaem	9	9	3	78%	91.6	66.7%	0.53
CYPHER	10	9	2	30%	99.0	66.7%	0.51
nexa	7	7	1	57%	64.2	83.3%	0.48
2ND HALF — T SIDE
910	10	7	1	30%	70.3	75.0%	0.54
Senzu	12	7	2	58%	103.6	66.7%	0.68
bLitz	8	8	4	75%	95.4	75.0%	0.54
Mzinho	4	11	2	100%	61.4	83.3%	0.33
Techno4K	6	9	1	100%	57.0	75.0%	0.42

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ nawwk t1	22	17	7	1.29	18%	91.1	68.0%	25
hampus t1	19	15	3	1.27	58%	90.2	80.0%	25
910 t2	19	14	2	1.36	32%	71.9	68.0%	25
Senzu t2	19	17	7	1.12	53%	92.2	72.0%	25
bLitz t2	19	16	9	1.19	47%	106.4	76.0%	25
jkaem t1	15	18	9	0.83	73%	81.4	72.0%	25
Mzinho t2	15	19	4	0.79	87%	81.4	84.0%	25
CYPHER t1	14	18	4	0.78	43%	66.8	68.0%	25
Techno4K t2	13	16	1	0.81	69%	54.4	80.0%	25
nexa t1	11	16	2	0.69	45%	50.2	76.0%	25
RavenMe1sTeR t2	0	0	0	0.00	0%	—	100.0%	1

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

nawwk

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

nawwk

18% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ nawwk	22	17	7	1.29	18%	91.1	68.0%	0.53
hampus	19	15	3	1.27	58%	90.2	80.0%	0.58
jkaem	15	18	9	0.83	73%	81.4	72.0%	0.47
CYPHER	14	18	4	0.78	43%	66.8	68.0%	0.37
nexa	11	16	2	0.69	45%	50.2	76.0%	0.34
910	19	14	2	1.36	32%	71.9	68.0%	0.5
Senzu	19	17	7	1.12	53%	92.2	72.0%	0.54
bLitz	19	16	9	1.19	47%	106.4	76.0%	0.57
Mzinho	15	19	4	0.79	87%	81.4	84.0%	0.5
Techno4K	13	16	1	0.81	69%	54.4	80.0%	0.43

mirage 26 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 3

T $4250 | CT $4350

Round 4

T $21000 | CT $1200

Round 5

T $25400 | CT $23450

Round 6

T $20650 | CT $26550

Round 7

T $1600 | CT $28650

Round 8

T $22400 | CT $29750

Round 9

T $6350 | CT $29750

Round 10

T $25400 | CT $29500

Round 11

T $21900 | CT $29550

Round 12

T $27850 | CT $25150

Round 13

T $28150 | CT $8400

Round 14

T $30400 | CT $26700

Round 15

T $4650 | CT $4100

Round 16

T $18500 | CT $1700

Round 17

T $23100 | CT $23800

Round 18

T $14000 | CT $27200

Round 19

T $1000 | CT $29350

Round 20

T $23400 | CT $30050

Round 21

T $22200 | CT $29000

Round 22

T $8800 | CT $29750

Round 23

T $23900 | CT $32800

Round 24

T $24200 | CT $28700

Round 25

T $26150 | CT $28000

Round 26

T $29050 | CT $16250

The MongolZ Eco Rating: 11.5

Eco rounds

3/5 W (60%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$18302

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

67%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 39%

Headshot% 55%

BLEED Eco Rating: 4.7

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

18 rounds

Avg Equip

$21878

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

54%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 27%

Headshot% 47%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 36.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

20.0% vs 40.0%

WR 90d

21.4% vs 40.0%

Rating 30d

1.14 vs 1.16

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.300

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.8% vs 49.2%

T WR 90d

51.5% vs 51.4%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.26 vs 0.46

Elo Δ -171

Elo Win% 27.2%

The MongolZ Eco Rating: 11.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

60%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

55%

Trade Rate

39%

Opening K/Rd

67%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 57

BLEED Eco Rating: 4.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

27%

Opening K/Rd

54%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 64

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 36.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

The MongolZ

2 – 1

BLEED

Recent Meetings

The MongolZ 0 – 1 BLEED Jul 2024 The MongolZ 4 – 0 BLEED Jun 2024 The MongolZ 2 – 0 BLEED Jun 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 26 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4350

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $21000 | CT $1200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $23450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $20650 | CT $26550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $1600 | CT $28650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $22400 | CT $29750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $6350 | CT $29750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $21900 | CT $29550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $25150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $8400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $30400 | CT $26700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4650 | CT $4100

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $18500 | CT $1700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23100 | CT $23800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $14000 | CT $27200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $1000 | CT $29350

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $23400 | CT $30050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $22200 | CT $29000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $8800 | CT $29750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $23900 | CT $32800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $24200 | CT $28700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $26150 | CT $28000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 26 26 — 2nd half

T $29050 | CT $16250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted