paiN vs Case — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 18 Jul 2024 11:30 UTC

paiN

Elo 1597

1 – 0

Winner: paiN

Case

Elo 1505

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 68% CONF WRONG

paiN 32.3% 67.7% Case

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

nqz-

kills

ADR 113.4

Top Assist

biguzera-

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

nqz-

113.4

avg dmg/rd

25K 13D

Best KAST

urban0-_-

83.3%

KAST

20K 16D

Most HS

urban0-_-

headshots

60% HS rate

Best K/D

nqz-

1.92

K/D ratio

25K 13D

nuke

13 – 10

7ct|6tvs6ct|4t

paiN WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
nqz-	25	13	3	1.92	32%	113.4	79.2%	0.72
lux1-	16	17	5	0.94	56%	80.9	83.3%	0.5
kauez_	14	15	1	0.93	50%	58.8	62.5%	0.39
biguzera-	13	17	15	0.76	69%	92.4	75.0%	0.46
snow_-_	12	16	3	0.75	58%	66.9	70.8%	0.39
CT SIDE
urban0-_-	20	16	4	1.25	60%	87.5	83.3%	0.6
bsd--	19	17	5	1.12	16%	90.0	66.7%	0.47
yepz	15	13	3	1.15	40%	70.0	79.2%	0.48
RICIOLI	14	16	9	0.88	43%	83.0	70.8%	0.43
nyezin	9	19	8	0.47	44%	56.6	70.8%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
nqz-	16	7	2	44%	142.5	76.9%	0.86
lux1-	6	11	3	83%	66.8	76.9%	0.37
kauez_	7	10	0	29%	48.2	46.2%	0.24
biguzera-	6	10	6	67%	74.5	61.5%	0.34
snow_-_	2	11	2	50%	38.7	61.5%	0.1
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
urban0-_-	12	8	3	50%	101.1	100.0%	0.71
bsd--	14	7	3	14%	119.2	76.9%	0.72
yepz	7	5	3	29%	62.5	92.3%	0.49
RICIOLI	8	8	5	38%	88.6	84.6%	0.49
nyezin	7	10	2	43%	61.6	61.5%	0.32

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
nqz-	9	6	1	11%	79.1	81.8%	0.54
lux1-	10	6	2	40%	97.5	90.9%	0.68
kauez_	7	5	1	71%	71.3	81.8%	0.57
biguzera-	7	7	9	71%	113.5	90.9%	0.6
snow_-_	10	5	1	60%	100.3	81.8%	0.72
2ND HALF — T SIDE
urban0-_-	8	8	1	75%	71.5	63.6%	0.49
bsd--	5	10	2	20%	55.6	54.5%	0.18
yepz	8	8	0	50%	78.8	63.6%	0.46
RICIOLI	6	8	4	50%	76.4	54.5%	0.35
nyezin	2	9	6	50%	50.6	81.8%	0.19

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ nqz- t2	25	13	3	1.92	32%	113.4	79.2%	24
urban0-_- t1	20	16	4	1.25	60%	87.5	83.3%	24
bsd-- t1	19	17	5	1.12	16%	90.0	66.7%	24
lux1- t2	16	17	5	0.94	56%	80.9	83.3%	24
yepz t1	15	13	3	1.15	40%	70.0	79.2%	24
kauez_ t2	14	15	1	0.93	50%	58.8	62.5%	24
RICIOLI t1	14	16	9	0.88	43%	83.0	70.8%	24
biguzera- t2	13	17	15	0.76	69%	92.4	75.0%	24
snow_-_ t2	12	16	3	0.75	58%	66.9	70.8%	24
nyezin t1	9	19	8	0.47	44%	56.6	70.8%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

nqz-

25 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

nqz-

32% HS

25K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ nqz-	25	13	3	1.92	32%	113.4	79.2%	0.72
lux1-	16	17	5	0.94	56%	80.9	83.3%	0.5
kauez_	14	15	1	0.93	50%	58.8	62.5%	0.39
biguzera-	13	17	15	0.76	69%	92.4	75.0%	0.46
snow_-_	12	16	3	0.75	58%	66.9	70.8%	0.39
urban0-_-	20	16	4	1.25	60%	87.5	83.3%	0.6
bsd--	19	17	5	1.12	16%	90.0	66.7%	0.47
yepz	15	13	3	1.15	40%	70.0	79.2%	0.48
RICIOLI	14	16	9	0.88	43%	83.0	70.8%	0.43
nyezin	9	19	8	0.47	44%	56.6	70.8%	0.26

nuke 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $3650

Round 3

T $19000 | CT $10100

Round 4

T $1200 | CT $23800

Round 5

T $22300 | CT $25600

Round 6

T $2000 | CT $29850

Round 7

T $24700 | CT $30950

Round 8

T $25300 | CT $31050

Round 9

T $24100 | CT $31850

Round 10

T $27450 | CT $29700

Round 11

T $27450 | CT $28650

Round 12

T $25400 | CT $18050

Round 13

T $23300 | CT $30200

Round 14

T $5550 | CT $4000

Round 15

T $19250 | CT $11950

Round 16

T $20350 | CT $3100

Round 17

T $24500 | CT $27850

Round 18

T $25700 | CT $26200

Round 19

T $27450 | CT $29100

Round 20

T $7650 | CT $30050

Round 21

T $24100 | CT $30450

Round 22

T $7600 | CT $30050

Round 23

T $26250 | CT $31250

Round 24

T $19600 | CT $31050

Case Eco Rating: 7.5

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$22990

Util Dmg

459.00

20.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

paiN Eco Rating: 5.8

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$18235

Util Dmg

500.00

26.3/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 39.3% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 25.0%

WR 90d

45.3% vs 45.1%

Rating 30d

1.17 vs 1.08

Form Slope

↓-0.100 vs ↑0.060

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.9% vs 48.5%

T WR 90d

54.0% vs 49.8%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.52 vs 0.62

Elo Δ -226

Elo Win% 21.4%

Case Eco Rating: 7.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

20.0

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

paiN Eco Rating: 5.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

26.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 39.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

paiN

8 – 1

Case

Recent Meetings

paiN 2 – 0 Case Jul 2024 Case 0 – 1 paiN Jul 2024 paiN 1 – 0 Case Jul 2024 paiN 1 – 0 Case Apr 2024 Case 0 – 1 paiN Apr 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $3650

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19000 | CT $10100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $23800

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22300 | CT $25600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $2000 | CT $29850

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24700 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $31050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $31850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $29700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $28650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $18050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $23300 | CT $30200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $5550 | CT $4000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19250 | CT $11950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20350 | CT $3100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24500 | CT $27850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25700 | CT $26200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $29100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $7650 | CT $30050

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $24100 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $7600 | CT $30050

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26250 | CT $31250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $19600 | CT $31050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted