Smoke vs paiN — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 31 Jul 2024 21:55 UTC

Smoke

Elo 1509

0 – 1

Winner: paiN

paiN

Elo 1456

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 66% CONF WRONG

Smoke 65.6% 34.4% paiN

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

nqz-

kills

ADR 83.7

Top Assist

biguzera-

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

biguzera-

106.6

avg dmg/rd

19K 11D

Best KAST

snow_-_

95.8%

KAST

17K 12D

Most HS

biguzera-

headshots

74% HS rate

Best K/D

nqz-

2.50

K/D ratio

20K 8D

nuke

8 – 13

4ct|4tvs8ct|5t

paiN WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
dok-	15	18	4	0.83	67%	82.8	75.0%	0.47
zpinnie	12	18	0	0.67	67%	61.3	54.2%	0.33
MITHPUTTINI	11	17	2	0.65	27%	53.0	62.5%	0.27
dezoitinho	10	20	4	0.50	50%	60.9	50.0%	0.23
s1cko--	8	17	3	0.47	25%	48.8	70.8%	0.23
CT SIDE
nqz-	20	8	1	2.50	35%	83.7	87.5%	0.67
biguzera-	19	11	10	1.73	74%	106.6	87.5%	0.71
lux1-	18	15	1	1.20	56%	77.6	70.8%	0.53
snow_-_	17	12	3	1.42	35%	78.4	95.8%	0.58
kauez_	16	11	3	1.45	62%	71.3	79.2%	0.56

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
dok-	7	10	4	100%	86.1	69.2%	0.46
zpinnie	2	10	0	50%	34.0	38.5%	0.06
MITHPUTTINI	7	9	1	43%	61.8	61.5%	0.35
dezoitinho	3	12	2	33%	36.0	30.8%	0.01
s1cko--	1	11	1	0%	24.8	53.8%	-0.05
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
nqz-	13	2	1	31%	100.9	92.3%	0.83
biguzera-	8	3	6	75%	89.8	100.0%	0.7
lux1-	9	6	0	33%	69.2	76.9%	0.52
snow_-_	11	5	1	36%	86.2	100.0%	0.7
kauez_	11	4	2	55%	85.6	84.6%	0.71

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
dok-	8	8	0	38%	78.9	81.8%	0.49
zpinnie	10	8	0	70%	93.6	72.7%	0.62
MITHPUTTINI	4	8	1	0%	42.6	63.6%	0.17
dezoitinho	7	8	2	57%	90.3	72.7%	0.47
s1cko--	7	6	2	29%	77.3	90.9%	0.51
2ND HALF — T SIDE
nqz-	7	6	0	43%	63.3	81.8%	0.49
biguzera-	11	8	4	73%	126.5	72.7%	0.71
lux1-	9	9	1	78%	87.5	63.6%	0.53
snow_-_	6	7	2	33%	69.2	90.9%	0.44
kauez_	5	7	1	80%	54.5	72.7%	0.4

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ nqz- t1	20	8	1	2.50	35%	83.7	87.5%	24
biguzera- t1	19	11	10	1.73	74%	106.6	87.5%	24
lux1- t1	18	15	1	1.20	56%	77.6	70.8%	24
snow_-_ t1	17	12	3	1.42	35%	78.4	95.8%	24
kauez_ t1	16	11	3	1.45	62%	71.3	79.2%	24
dok- t2	15	18	4	0.83	67%	82.8	75.0%	24
zpinnie t2	12	18	0	0.67	67%	61.3	54.2%	24
MITHPUTTINI t2	11	17	2	0.65	27%	53.0	62.5%	24
dezoitinho t2	10	20	4	0.50	50%	60.9	50.0%	24
s1cko-- t2	8	17	3	0.47	25%	48.8	70.8%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

nqz-

20 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

nqz-

35% HS

20K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ dok-	15	18	4	0.83	67%	82.8	75.0%	0.47
zpinnie	12	18	0	0.67	67%	61.3	54.2%	0.33
MITHPUTTINI	11	17	2	0.65	27%	53.0	62.5%	0.27
dezoitinho	10	20	4	0.50	50%	60.9	50.0%	0.23
s1cko--	8	17	3	0.47	25%	48.8	70.8%	0.23
nqz-	20	8	1	2.50	35%	83.7	87.5%	0.67
biguzera-	19	11	10	1.73	74%	106.6	87.5%	0.71
lux1-	18	15	1	1.20	56%	77.6	70.8%	0.53
snow_-_	17	12	3	1.42	35%	78.4	95.8%	0.58
kauez_	16	11	3	1.45	62%	71.3	79.2%	0.56

nuke 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4750 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $1200 | CT $17000

Round 4

T $23000 | CT $24500

Round 5

T $25200 | CT $26800

Round 6

T $5500 | CT $26850

Round 7

T $26750 | CT $30700

Round 8

T $5900 | CT $30550

Round 9

T $26450 | CT $31450

Round 10

T $26750 | CT $30750

Round 11

T $25400 | CT $28600

Round 12

T $25300 | CT $27500

Round 13

T $25500 | CT $30450

Round 14

T $4200 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $2950 | CT $21950

Round 16

T $24400 | CT $28350

Round 17

T $25300 | CT $6400

Round 18

T $22550 | CT $27950

Round 19

T $5000 | CT $28700

Round 20

T $5000 | CT $28700

Round 21

T $10400 | CT $28600

Round 22

T $23850 | CT $27550

Round 23

T $26250 | CT $16100

Round 24

T $27350 | CT $10800

paiN Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$22571

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

Smoke Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/5 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$16758

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 40.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

57.1% vs 36.8%

WR 90d

57.1% vs 40.4%

Rating 30d

0.91 vs 1.18

Form Slope

↑0.070 vs ↓-0.010

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

44.6% vs 57.5%

T WR 90d

46.4% vs 53.7%

Pool Depth

— vs 5.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

3.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

2.21 vs 0.46

Elo Δ +247

Elo Win% 80.5%

paiN

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Smoke

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 40.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Smoke

0 – 2

paiN

Recent Meetings

paiN 1 – 0 Smoke Jul 2024 Smoke 0 – 1 paiN Jul 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4750 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $17000

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23000 | CT $24500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $26800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $5500 | CT $26850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $30700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $5900 | CT $30550

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26450 | CT $31450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $30750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $28600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $27500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $2950 | CT $21950

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $24400 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $6400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $22550 | CT $27950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $5000 | CT $28700

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $5000 | CT $28700

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $10400 | CT $28600

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $27550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26250 | CT $16100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $10800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted