timbermen vs E-Xolos LAZER

ESL Challenger League Season 48 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 24 Sep 2024 21:57 UTC

timbermen

Elo 1535

0 – 1

Winner: E-Xolos LAZER

E-Xolos LAZER

Elo 1448

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF CORRECT

timbermen 42.5% 57.5% E-Xolos LAZER

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

mawthzera

kills

ADR 112.1

Top Assist

land1n

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

mawthzera

112.1

avg dmg/rd

21K 10D

Best KAST

mawthzera

95.5%

KAST

21K 10D

Most HS

danoco

headshots

42% HS rate

Best K/D

mawthzera

2.10

K/D ratio

21K 10D

ancient

8 – 13

5ct|3tvs6ct|7t

E-Xolos LAZER WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
mawthzera	21	10	6	2.10	24%	112.1	95.5%	0.74
w1__	20	15	5	1.33	35%	97.2	81.8%	0.61
danoco	19	16	7	1.19	42%	104.8	81.8%	0.6
tatazin-	13	12	6	1.08	46%	76.8	86.4%	0.5
land1n	11	11	9	1.00	27%	72.1	77.3%	0.42
CT SIDE
Shane	16	19	4	0.84	50%	84.5	72.7%	0.45
DARE	15	17	6	0.88	40%	76.8	68.2%	0.42
fthrsmcgraw	14	17	4	0.82	50%	73.6	77.3%	0.43
NEROie	10	14	8	0.71	40%	67.5	81.8%	0.38
snav	10	18	6	0.56	30%	68.5	72.7%	0.29

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
mawthzera	10	5	5	30%	117.7	100.0%	0.7
w1__	14	10	2	36%	104.8	76.9%	0.66
danoco	8	11	4	50%	79.2	69.2%	0.39
tatazin-	9	7	2	33%	80.0	84.6%	0.53
land1n	6	7	5	33%	74.8	69.2%	0.38
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Shane	10	11	2	50%	95.5	69.2%	0.48
DARE	9	9	6	22%	85.8	76.9%	0.46
fthrsmcgraw	8	10	4	50%	75.9	84.6%	0.45
NEROie	6	7	4	17%	64.1	76.9%	0.36
snav	7	10	3	29%	69.8	76.9%	0.35

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
mawthzera	11	5	1	18%	104.1	88.9%	0.79
w1__	6	5	3	33%	86.2	88.9%	0.53
danoco	11	5	3	36%	141.8	100.0%	0.9
tatazin-	4	5	4	75%	72.1	88.9%	0.48
land1n	5	4	4	20%	68.1	88.9%	0.47
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Shane	6	8	2	50%	68.7	77.8%	0.41
DARE	6	8	0	67%	63.9	55.6%	0.37
fthrsmcgraw	6	7	0	50%	70.2	66.7%	0.41
NEROie	4	7	4	75%	72.3	88.9%	0.41
snav	3	8	3	33%	66.6	66.7%	0.2

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ mawthzera t2	21	10	6	2.10	24%	112.1	95.5%	22
w1__ t2	20	15	5	1.33	35%	97.2	81.8%	22
danoco t2	19	16	7	1.19	42%	104.8	81.8%	22
Shane t1	16	19	4	0.84	50%	84.5	72.7%	22
DARE t1	15	17	6	0.88	40%	76.8	68.2%	22
fthrsmcgraw t1	14	17	4	0.82	50%	73.6	77.3%	22
tatazin- t2	13	12	6	1.08	46%	76.8	86.4%	22
land1n t2	11	11	9	1.00	27%	72.1	77.3%	22
NEROie t1	10	14	8	0.71	40%	67.5	81.8%	22
snav t1	10	18	6	0.56	30%	68.5	72.7%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

mawthzera

21 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

mawthzera

24% HS

21K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ mawthzera	21	10	6	2.10	24%	112.1	95.5%	0.74
w1__	20	15	5	1.33	35%	97.2	81.8%	0.61
danoco	19	16	7	1.19	42%	104.8	81.8%	0.6
tatazin-	13	12	6	1.08	46%	76.8	86.4%	0.5
land1n	11	11	9	1.00	27%	72.1	77.3%	0.42
Shane	16	19	4	0.84	50%	84.5	72.7%	0.45
DARE	15	17	6	0.88	40%	76.8	68.2%	0.42
fthrsmcgraw	14	17	4	0.82	50%	73.6	77.3%	0.43
NEROie	10	14	8	0.71	40%	67.5	81.8%	0.38
snav	10	18	6	0.56	30%	68.5	72.7%	0.29

ancient 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4550 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $10200 | CT $19800

Round 4

T $17500 | CT $23450

Round 5

T $10650 | CT $29550

Round 6

T $27150 | CT $30850

Round 7

T $27850 | CT $14450

Round 8

T $28050 | CT $21700

Round 9

T $26100 | CT $4500

Round 10

T $28250 | CT $25350

Round 11

T $28250 | CT $28200

Round 12

T $28250 | CT $1650

Round 13

T $28350 | CT $26900

Round 14

T $4200 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $1200 | CT $19850

Round 16

T $23300 | CT $25000

Round 17

T $22600 | CT $21300

Round 18

T $20050 | CT $21600

Round 19

T $7050 | CT $25900

Round 20

T $27000 | CT $23650

Round 21

T $22150 | CT $25900

Round 22

T $21650 | CT $8850

timbermen Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$18982

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

E-Xolos LAZER Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$18645

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 39.1% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

33.3% vs 25.0%

WR 90d

33.3% vs 38.7%

Rating 30d

1.29 vs 1.13

Form Slope

— vs ↓-0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

52.8% vs 41.2%

T WR 90d

54.1% vs 55.2%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

2.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.34 vs 0.47

Elo Δ +55

Elo Win% 57.9%

timbermen

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

E-Xolos LAZER

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 39.1% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

timbermen

1 – 3

E-Xolos LAZER

Recent Meetings

E-Xolos LAZER 2 – 0 timbermen Oct 2024 timbermen 3 – 0 E-Xolos LAZER Oct 2024 E-Xolos LAZER 1 – 0 timbermen Sep 2024 timbermen 0 – 1 E-Xolos LAZER Sep 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4550 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $10200 | CT $19800

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $17500 | CT $23450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $10650 | CT $29550

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $14450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $21700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $4500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $25350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $28200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $1650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $26900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $19850

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23300 | CT $25000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $22600 | CT $21300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $20050 | CT $21600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $7050 | CT $25900

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27000 | CT $23650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $22150 | CT $25900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $21650 | CT $8850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy