paiN vs BESTIA — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 19 Sep 2024 21:47 UTC

paiN

Elo 1597

1 – 0

Winner: paiN

BESTIA

Elo 1358

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 74% CONF WRONG

paiN 25.8% 74.2% BESTIA

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

lux1-

kills

ADR 120.5

Top Assist

biguzera-

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

lux1-

120.5

avg dmg/rd

25K 12D

Best KAST

biguzera-

87.5%

KAST

19K 15D

Most HS

lux1-

headshots

40% HS rate

Best K/D

lux1-

2.08

K/D ratio

25K 12D

dust2

13 – 10

7ct|6tvs5ct|5t

paiN WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Noktse	16	17	0	0.94	25%	93.3	54.2%	0.4
-zock	14	19	7	0.74	36%	73.6	75.0%	0.38
luchov	14	18	2	0.78	57%	64.7	50.0%	0.35
tomaszin	11	20	3	0.55	45%	68.3	58.3%	0.27
naz_-	9	21	5	0.43	78%	46.0	66.7%	0.26
CT SIDE
lux1-	25	12	6	2.08	40%	120.5	79.2%	0.76
nqz-	22	11	2	2.00	32%	82.5	83.3%	0.66
biguzera-	19	15	12	1.27	37%	103.0	87.5%	0.6
snow_-_	15	14	5	1.07	33%	72.9	83.3%	0.47
kauez_	14	12	8	1.17	50%	74.2	75.0%	0.49

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Noktse	8	10	0	12%	105.0	46.2%	0.34
-zock	6	11	4	67%	61.4	69.2%	0.32
luchov	4	11	1	75%	36.5	46.2%	0.17
tomaszin	6	11	2	33%	62.4	53.8%	0.23
naz_-	4	12	3	75%	39.2	69.2%	0.21
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
lux1-	16	5	6	38%	147.4	76.9%	0.91
nqz-	16	5	0	25%	106.1	92.3%	0.87
biguzera-	9	6	8	22%	80.5	92.3%	0.56
snow_-_	10	6	2	30%	91.5	92.3%	0.62
kauez_	4	6	3	25%	45.0	69.2%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Noktse	8	7	0	38%	79.5	63.6%	0.47
-zock	8	8	3	12%	88.1	81.8%	0.46
luchov	10	7	1	50%	97.9	54.5%	0.58
tomaszin	5	9	1	60%	75.3	63.6%	0.32
naz_-	5	9	2	80%	54.1	63.6%	0.32
2ND HALF — T SIDE
lux1-	9	7	0	44%	88.8	81.8%	0.58
nqz-	6	6	2	50%	54.6	72.7%	0.42
biguzera-	10	9	4	50%	129.7	81.8%	0.64
snow_-_	5	8	3	40%	50.8	72.7%	0.3
kauez_	10	6	5	60%	108.6	81.8%	0.7

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ lux1- t1	25	12	6	2.08	40%	120.5	79.2%	24
nqz- t1	22	11	2	2.00	32%	82.5	83.3%	24
biguzera- t1	19	15	12	1.27	37%	103.0	87.5%	24
Noktse t2	16	17	0	0.94	25%	93.3	54.2%	24
snow_-_ t1	15	14	5	1.07	33%	72.9	83.3%	24
-zock t2	14	19	7	0.74	36%	73.6	75.0%	24
luchov t2	14	18	2	0.78	57%	64.7	50.0%	24
kauez_ t1	14	12	8	1.17	50%	74.2	75.0%	24
tomaszin t2	11	20	3	0.55	45%	68.3	58.3%	24
naz_- t2	9	21	5	0.43	78%	46.0	66.7%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

lux1-

25 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

lux1-

40% HS

25K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Noktse	16	17	0	0.94	25%	93.3	54.2%	0.4
-zock	14	19	7	0.74	36%	73.6	75.0%	0.38
luchov	14	18	2	0.78	57%	64.7	50.0%	0.35
tomaszin	11	20	3	0.55	45%	68.3	58.3%	0.27
naz_-	9	21	5	0.43	78%	46.0	66.7%	0.26
lux1-	25	12	6	2.08	40%	120.5	79.2%	0.76
nqz-	22	11	2	2.00	32%	82.5	83.3%	0.66
biguzera-	19	15	12	1.27	37%	103.0	87.5%	0.6
snow_-_	15	14	5	1.07	33%	72.9	83.3%	0.47
kauez_	14	12	8	1.17	50%	74.2	75.0%	0.49

dust2 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $8100 | CT $19600

Round 4

T $5200 | CT $23150

Round 5

T $21600 | CT $26000

Round 6

T $22700 | CT $29400

Round 7

T $10150 | CT $29100

Round 8

T $21750 | CT $31150

Round 9

T $10350 | CT $31250

Round 10

T $27450 | CT $30900

Round 11

T $20950 | CT $31450

Round 12

T $26450 | CT $23350

Round 13

T $28550 | CT $20150

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $2700 | CT $19500

Round 16

T $20950 | CT $19900

Round 17

T $24400 | CT $21800

Round 18

T $25400 | CT $1000

Round 19

T $27250 | CT $23900

Round 20

T $25450 | CT $27850

Round 21

T $3700 | CT $30650

Round 22

T $25250 | CT $27850

Round 23

T $26050 | CT $8850

Round 24

T $27350 | CT $10650

paiN Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$17650

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

BESTIA Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$20800

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 31.3% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

66.7% vs 41.7%

WR 90d

48.9% vs 43.6%

Rating 30d

1.07 vs 1.25

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

55.2% vs 54.9%

T WR 90d

54.4% vs 51.3%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

19.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.71 vs 0.46

Elo Δ +5

Elo Win% 50.7%

paiN

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

BESTIA

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 31.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

paiN

6 – 5

BESTIA

Recent Meetings

paiN 0 – 2 BESTIA Oct 2024 BESTIA 0 – 1 paiN Sep 2024 paiN 1 – 0 BESTIA Sep 2024 paiN 1 – 0 BESTIA Jun 2024 paiN 2 – 0 BESTIA Jun 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $8100 | CT $19600

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $5200 | CT $23150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21600 | CT $26000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22700 | CT $29400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $10150 | CT $29100

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $21750 | CT $31150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $10350 | CT $31250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $30900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $20950 | CT $31450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26450 | CT $23350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28550 | CT $20150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $2700 | CT $19500

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20950 | CT $19900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24400 | CT $21800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25400 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $23900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25450 | CT $27850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $3700 | CT $30650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25250 | CT $27850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26050 | CT $8850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $10650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy