TSM vs ALTERNATE aTTaX — CounterQuant

Elisa Invitational Fall 2024· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Sep 2024 21:53 UTC

TSM

Elo 1570

2 – 0

Winner: TSM

ALTERNATE aTTaX

Elo 1509

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 68% CONF WRONG

TSM 32.3% 67.7% ALTERNATE aTTaX

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

niko

kills

ADR 99.4

Top Assist

valde

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

Zyphon

112.3

avg dmg/rd

38K 18D

Best KAST

acoR

84.6%

KAST

30K 17D

Most HS

niko

headshots

59% HS rate

Best K/D

Zyphon

2.11

K/D ratio

38K 18D

inferno

13 – 5

TSM WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
PerX	14	14	4	1.00	71%	107.1	70.6%	0.57
hyped	7	14	3	0.50	29%	58.4	70.6%	0.25
FreeZe	7	14	3	0.50	29%	44.8	64.7%	0.21
awzek	7	16	2	0.44	29%	67.5	58.8%	0.19
ArroW	4	15	4	0.27	100%	45.3	76.5%	0.25
CT SIDE
niko	19	12	3	1.58	47%	105.7	82.4%	0.73
Zyphon	19	6	4	3.17	42%	116.2	82.4%	0.84
acoR	15	6	4	2.50	40%	95.5	94.1%	0.73
valde	12	8	13	1.50	67%	108.4	88.2%	0.66
Altekz	8	8	4	1.00	50%	58.9	70.6%	0.41

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
PerX	10	9	4	80%	113.5	72.7%	0.64
hyped	5	8	2	20%	52.7	81.8%	0.3
FreeZe	5	9	2	20%	46.0	63.6%	0.22
awzek	3	10	2	33%	57.2	63.6%	0.14
ArroW	2	10	3	100%	45.0	81.8%	0.23
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
niko	12	7	3	33%	99.5	81.8%	0.7
Zyphon	12	4	1	25%	101.9	72.7%	0.75
acoR	8	4	3	25%	88.4	90.9%	0.62
valde	9	5	6	67%	121.1	90.9%	0.74
Altekz	5	6	4	40%	60.3	72.7%	0.37

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
PerX	4	5	0	50%	95.3	66.7%	0.43
hyped	2	6	1	50%	68.8	50.0%	0.15
FreeZe	2	5	1	50%	42.7	66.7%	0.21
awzek	4	6	0	25%	86.5	50.0%	0.29
ArroW	2	5	1	100%	45.8	66.7%	0.29
2ND HALF — T SIDE
niko	7	5	0	71%	117.2	83.3%	0.77
Zyphon	7	2	3	71%	142.5	100.0%	1.0
acoR	7	2	1	57%	108.7	100.0%	0.92
valde	3	3	7	67%	85.2	83.3%	0.51
Altekz	3	2	0	67%	56.3	66.7%	0.48

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

dust2

13 – 10

6ct|7tvs4ct|6t

TSM WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
awzek	17	14	3	1.21	82%	82.0	77.3%	0.6
FreeZe	14	16	10	0.88	50%	87.0	77.3%	0.47
hyped	14	15	4	0.93	36%	76.7	63.6%	0.41
ArroW	11	15	4	0.73	82%	60.8	72.7%	0.42
PerX	9	15	6	0.60	44%	65.0	68.2%	0.31
CT SIDE
niko	20	14	2	1.43	70%	94.6	81.8%	0.67
Zyphon	19	12	5	1.58	47%	109.3	77.3%	0.65
acoR	15	11	8	1.36	20%	82.5	77.3%	0.5
valde	14	14	4	1.00	57%	73.6	77.3%	0.48
Altekz	7	14	4	0.50	29%	46.5	72.7%	0.25

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
awzek	11	8	2	100%	108.8	72.7%	0.73
FreeZe	6	7	4	100%	71.5	81.8%	0.52
hyped	7	8	1	14%	66.0	81.8%	0.39
ArroW	5	6	1	80%	61.3	72.7%	0.43
PerX	5	7	2	40%	59.5	81.8%	0.37
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
niko	10	7	0	70%	96.4	81.8%	0.67
Zyphon	12	7	3	33%	128.0	72.7%	0.72
acoR	8	6	4	12%	83.5	72.7%	0.49
valde	5	8	1	60%	63.2	72.7%	0.35
Altekz	1	6	2	0%	27.5	72.7%	0.1

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
awzek	6	6	1	50%	55.2	81.8%	0.44
FreeZe	8	9	6	12%	102.5	72.7%	0.44
hyped	7	7	3	57%	87.4	45.5%	0.43
ArroW	6	9	3	83%	60.4	72.7%	0.4
PerX	4	8	4	50%	70.5	54.5%	0.26
2ND HALF — T SIDE
niko	10	7	2	70%	92.8	81.8%	0.67
Zyphon	7	5	2	71%	90.6	81.8%	0.6
acoR	7	5	4	29%	81.5	81.8%	0.52
valde	9	6	3	56%	84.0	81.8%	0.62
Altekz	6	8	2	33%	65.4	72.7%	0.36

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ niko t1	39	26	5	1.50	59%	99.4	82.1%	39
Zyphon t1	38	18	9	2.11	45%	112.3	79.5%	39
acoR t1	30	17	12	1.76	30%	88.2	84.6%	39
valde t1	26	22	17	1.18	62%	88.8	82.1%	39
awzek t2	24	30	5	0.80	67%	75.7	69.2%	39
PerX t2	23	29	10	0.79	61%	83.4	69.2%	39
FreeZe t2	21	30	13	0.70	43%	68.6	71.8%	39
hyped t2	21	29	7	0.72	33%	68.7	66.7%	39
ArroW t2	15	30	8	0.50	87%	54.1	74.4%	39
Altekz t1	15	22	8	0.68	40%	51.9	71.8%	39

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

niko

39 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

niko

59% HS

39K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

inferno 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ PerX	14	14	4	1.00	71%	107.1	70.6%	0.57
hyped	7	14	3	0.50	29%	58.4	70.6%	0.25
FreeZe	7	14	3	0.50	29%	44.8	64.7%	0.21
awzek	7	16	2	0.44	29%	67.5	58.8%	0.19
ArroW	4	15	4	0.27	100%	45.3	76.5%	0.25
niko	19	12	3	1.58	47%	105.7	82.4%	0.73
Zyphon	19	6	4	3.17	42%	116.2	82.4%	0.84
acoR	15	6	4	2.50	40%	95.5	94.1%	0.73
valde	12	8	13	1.50	67%	108.4	88.2%	0.66
Altekz	8	8	4	1.00	50%	58.9	70.6%	0.41

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ awzek	17	14	3	1.21	82%	82.0	77.3%	0.6
FreeZe	14	16	10	0.88	50%	87.0	77.3%	0.47
hyped	14	15	4	0.93	36%	76.7	63.6%	0.41
ArroW	11	15	4	0.73	82%	60.8	72.7%	0.42
PerX	9	15	6	0.60	44%	65.0	68.2%	0.31
niko	20	14	2	1.43	70%	94.6	81.8%	0.67
Zyphon	19	12	5	1.58	47%	109.3	77.3%	0.65
acoR	15	11	8	1.36	20%	82.5	77.3%	0.5
valde	14	14	4	1.00	57%	73.6	77.3%	0.48
Altekz	7	14	4	0.50	29%	46.5	72.7%	0.25

dust2 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $0 | CT $0

Round 3

T $4400 | CT $19550

Round 4

T $22000 | CT $23500

Round 5

T $22200 | CT $22350

Round 6

T $1000 | CT $26800

Round 7

T $24700 | CT $27900

Round 8

T $6500 | CT $29650

Round 9

T $26100 | CT $30050

Round 10

T $27450 | CT $28150

Round 11

T $27450 | CT $10950

Round 12

T $28150 | CT $25200

Round 13

T $28950 | CT $17200

Round 14

T $4250 | CT $3950

Round 15

T $18800 | CT $9850

Round 16

T $10250 | CT $25900

Round 17

T $1000 | CT $26400

Round 18

T $23500 | CT $30000

Round 19

T $25000 | CT $29200

Round 20

T $22300 | CT $6350

Round 21

T $26300 | CT $25500

Round 22

T $27350 | CT $7450

Round 23

T $27050 | CT $29000

Round 24

T $27050 | CT $25850

inferno 19 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $0 | CT $0

Round 3

T $21150 | CT $12750

Round 4

T $6650 | CT $20750

Round 5

T $24050 | CT $12950

Round 6

T $22450 | CT $5850

Round 7

T $23650 | CT $24500

Round 8

T $9700 | CT $26850

Round 9

T $1500 | CT $26400

Round 10

T $22900 | CT $29350

Round 11

T $25500 | CT $29100

Round 12

T $21500 | CT $29850

Round 13

T $12700 | CT $32450

Round 14

T $3900 | CT $5350

Round 15

T $19800 | CT $1000

Round 16

T $22450 | CT $23800

Round 17

T $25900 | CT $14750

Round 18

T $26000 | CT $28350

Round 19

T $26200 | CT $22000

TSM Eco Rating: 11.9

Eco rounds

2/6 W (33%)

Force buy

1/4 W (25%)

Full buy

19 rounds

Avg Equip

$19173

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

34%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 61%

ALTERNATE aTTaX Eco Rating: 7.8

Eco rounds

0/2 W (0%)

Force buy

2/6 W (33%)

Full buy

23 rounds

Avg Equip

$21200

Util Dmg

4.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

42%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 37%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 31.5% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

64.7% vs 44.0%

WR 90d

52.0% vs 46.5%

Rating 30d

1.16 vs 0.98

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.010

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

53.9% vs 45.5%

T WR 90d

53.5% vs 52.2%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 5.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.6 vs 1.06

Elo Δ -12

Elo Win% 48.3%

TSM Eco Rating: 11.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

25%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

61%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

34%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 81

ALTERNATE aTTaX Eco Rating: 7.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

37%

Opening K/Rd

42%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 77

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 31.5% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

TSM

3 – 1

ALTERNATE aTTaX

Recent Meetings

TSM 0 – 3 ALTERNATE aTTaX Oct 2024 TSM 2 – 0 ALTERNATE aTTaX Sep 2024 TSM 3 – 0 ALTERNATE aTTaX Aug 2024 ALTERNATE aTTaX 0 – 2 TSM Feb 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $19550

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22000 | CT $23500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22200 | CT $22350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $26800

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24700 | CT $27900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $6500 | CT $29650

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $30050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $28150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $10950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $25200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28950 | CT $17200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $3950

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18800 | CT $9850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $10250 | CT $25900

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $1000 | CT $26400

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23500 | CT $30000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25000 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $22300 | CT $6350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $26300 | CT $25500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $7450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $29000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $25850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

inferno 19 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $21150 | CT $12750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $6650 | CT $20750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $24050 | CT $12950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22450 | CT $5850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23650 | CT $24500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $9700 | CT $26850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $26400

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22900 | CT $29350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $29100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $21500 | CT $29850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $12700 | CT $32450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $3900 | CT $5350

T buy: eco CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19800 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22450 | CT $23800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25900 | CT $14750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26000 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $26200 | CT $22000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted