M80 vs timbermen — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 27 Sep 2024 15:17 UTC

M80

Elo 1479

1 – 0

Winner: M80

timbermen

Elo 1535

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF WRONG

M80 42.5% 57.5% timbermen

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

slaxz-

kills

ADR 104.0

Top Assist

s1n

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

DARE

104.2

avg dmg/rd

22K 20D

Best KAST

slaxz-

90.9%

KAST

23K 9D

Most HS

snav

headshots

59% HS rate

Best K/D

slaxz-

2.56

K/D ratio

23K 9D

ancient

13 – 8

9ct|4tvs5ct|3t

M80 WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
DARE	22	20	3	1.10	32%	104.2	77.3%	0.57
snav	17	16	7	1.06	59%	96.4	86.4%	0.58
Shane	16	16	5	1.00	44%	87.1	90.9%	0.53
NEROie	12	15	3	0.80	33%	63.0	81.8%	0.39
alephjk	9	15	5	0.60	78%	61.4	68.2%	0.36
CT SIDE
slaxz-	23	9	3	2.56	9%	104.0	90.9%	0.74
1Lake	19	18	4	1.06	47%	87.8	68.2%	0.52
reck	15	14	5	1.07	67%	91.7	81.8%	0.56
s1n	13	16	9	0.81	62%	95.9	72.7%	0.47
Swisher	11	18	8	0.61	45%	83.2	63.6%	0.33

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
DARE	10	13	0	10%	78.3	69.2%	0.35
snav	9	11	5	67%	88.6	76.9%	0.48
Shane	7	10	3	29%	68.0	84.6%	0.37
NEROie	4	9	3	50%	41.6	76.9%	0.26
alephjk	8	10	3	75%	80.5	61.5%	0.43
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
slaxz-	15	2	1	0%	110.2	100.0%	0.89
1Lake	15	9	2	33%	107.5	76.9%	0.71
reck	9	6	2	67%	76.9	84.6%	0.6
s1n	8	9	8	75%	117.5	76.9%	0.55
Swisher	5	11	6	20%	88.7	69.2%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
DARE	12	7	3	50%	141.7	88.9%	0.88
snav	8	5	2	50%	107.7	100.0%	0.72
Shane	9	6	2	56%	114.8	100.0%	0.76
NEROie	8	6	0	25%	94.0	88.9%	0.6
alephjk	1	5	2	100%	33.8	77.8%	0.28
2ND HALF — T SIDE
slaxz-	8	7	2	25%	95.1	77.8%	0.54
1Lake	4	9	2	100%	59.3	55.6%	0.28
reck	6	8	3	67%	113.0	77.8%	0.5
s1n	5	7	1	40%	64.7	66.7%	0.34
Swisher	6	7	2	67%	75.3	55.6%	0.42

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ slaxz- t1	23	9	3	2.56	9%	104.0	90.9%	22
DARE t2	22	20	3	1.10	32%	104.2	77.3%	22
1Lake t1	19	18	4	1.06	47%	87.8	68.2%	22
snav t2	17	16	7	1.06	59%	96.4	86.4%	22
Shane t2	16	16	5	1.00	44%	87.1	90.9%	22
reck t1	15	14	5	1.07	67%	91.7	81.8%	22
s1n t1	13	16	9	0.81	62%	95.9	72.7%	22
NEROie t2	12	15	3	0.80	33%	63.0	81.8%	22
Swisher t1	11	18	8	0.61	45%	83.2	63.6%	22
alephjk t2	9	15	5	0.60	78%	61.4	68.2%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

slaxz-

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

slaxz-

9% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ DARE	22	20	3	1.10	32%	104.2	77.3%	0.57
snav	17	16	7	1.06	59%	96.4	86.4%	0.58
Shane	16	16	5	1.00	44%	87.1	90.9%	0.53
NEROie	12	15	3	0.80	33%	63.0	81.8%	0.39
alephjk	9	15	5	0.60	78%	61.4	68.2%	0.36
slaxz-	23	9	3	2.56	9%	104.0	90.9%	0.74
1Lake	19	18	4	1.06	47%	87.8	68.2%	0.52
reck	15	14	5	1.07	67%	91.7	81.8%	0.56
s1n	13	16	9	0.81	62%	95.9	72.7%	0.47
Swisher	11	18	8	0.61	45%	83.2	63.6%	0.33

ancient 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4250 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $2100 | CT $18450

Round 4

T $22600 | CT $25100

Round 5

T $5700 | CT $27400

Round 6

T $27850 | CT $29300

Round 7

T $28050 | CT $27600

Round 8

T $27550 | CT $13900

Round 9

T $27350 | CT $29450

Round 10

T $26650 | CT $30000

Round 11

T $27550 | CT $26350

Round 12

T $24900 | CT $28850

Round 13

T $21300 | CT $29500

Round 14

T $3550 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $17850 | CT $11600

Round 16

T $19850 | CT $12550

Round 17

T $26650 | CT $16850

Round 18

T $13350 | CT $30750

Round 19

T $3600 | CT $29850

Round 20

T $23400 | CT $33800

Round 21

T $10150 | CT $33400

Round 22

T $26250 | CT $32100

M80 Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$17898

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

timbermen Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$22652

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 38.2% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

66.7% vs 38.5%

WR 90d

52.2% vs 38.5%

Rating 30d

1.08 vs 1.19

Form Slope

↓-0.110 vs ↑0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

49.8% vs 51.3%

T WR 90d

58.2% vs 48.2%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.72 vs 0.43

Elo Δ -175

Elo Win% 26.8%

M80

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

timbermen

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 38.2% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

M80

2 – 0

timbermen

Recent Meetings

M80 1 – 0 timbermen Sep 2024 timbermen 0 – 1 M80 Sep 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $2100 | CT $18450

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22600 | CT $25100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $5700 | CT $27400

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $29300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $27600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $13900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $29450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26650 | CT $30000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $26350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $24900 | CT $28850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $21300 | CT $29500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $3550 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $17850 | CT $11600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $19850 | CT $12550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $26650 | CT $16850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $13350 | CT $30750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $3600 | CT $29850

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $23400 | CT $33800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $10150 | CT $33400

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $26250 | CT $32100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted