Party Astronauts vs timbermen

ESL Challenger League Season 48 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 04 Oct 2024 21:53 UTC

Party Astronauts

Elo 1485

0 – 1

Winner: timbermen

timbermen

Elo 1535

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Party Astronauts 53.5% 46.5% timbermen

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

snav

kills

ADR 112.1

Top Assist

Peeping

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

snav

112.1

avg dmg/rd

23K 13D

Best KAST

neroIE

91.3%

KAST

19K 13D

Most HS

FaNg

headshots

61% HS rate

Best K/D

snav

1.77

K/D ratio

23K 13D

mirage

9 – 13

7ct|2tvs10ct|3t

timbermen WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
snav	23	13	6	1.77	52%	112.1	87.0%	0.74
neroIE	19	13	5	1.46	11%	85.0	91.3%	0.57
DARE	18	20	4	0.90	56%	86.4	73.9%	0.49
Shane	14	17	4	0.82	71%	75.5	60.9%	0.42
alephjk	8	16	1	0.50	50%	45.6	78.3%	0.29
CT SIDE
FaNg	23	17	4	1.35	61%	105.8	87.0%	0.7
Peeping	16	18	10	0.89	62%	94.9	78.3%	0.51
-ogwizard-	16	18	7	0.89	38%	90.4	87.0%	0.49
Infinite	12	14	4	0.86	50%	67.1	82.6%	0.43
ben1337	12	15	7	0.80	33%	67.9	87.0%	0.41

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
snav	10	8	0	40%	92.8	72.7%	0.57
neroIE	5	9	4	20%	64.7	90.9%	0.31
DARE	6	9	1	33%	52.4	54.5%	0.26
Shane	6	9	3	67%	80.9	45.5%	0.34
alephjk	3	11	0	33%	35.6	63.6%	0.08
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
FaNg	15	6	3	53%	137.6	90.9%	0.96
Peeping	11	6	7	64%	129.1	100.0%	0.83
-ogwizard-	8	8	5	25%	109.0	90.9%	0.54
Infinite	5	4	1	40%	46.7	81.8%	0.43
ben1337	7	6	6	14%	73.3	90.9%	0.48

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
snav	13	5	6	62%	129.8	100.0%	0.9
neroIE	14	4	1	7%	103.6	91.7%	0.82
DARE	12	11	3	67%	117.7	91.7%	0.68
Shane	8	8	1	75%	70.5	75.0%	0.51
alephjk	5	5	1	60%	54.8	91.7%	0.46
2ND HALF — T SIDE
FaNg	8	11	1	75%	76.6	83.3%	0.46
Peeping	5	12	3	60%	63.6	58.3%	0.22
-ogwizard-	8	10	2	50%	73.3	83.3%	0.44
Infinite	7	10	3	57%	85.8	83.3%	0.43
ben1337	5	9	1	60%	62.9	83.3%	0.36

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ snav t1	23	13	6	1.77	52%	112.1	87.0%	23
FaNg t2	23	17	4	1.35	61%	105.8	87.0%	23
neroIE t1	19	13	5	1.46	11%	85.0	91.3%	23
DARE t1	18	20	4	0.90	56%	86.4	73.9%	23
Peeping t2	16	18	10	0.89	62%	94.9	78.3%	23
-ogwizard- t2	16	18	7	0.89	38%	90.4	87.0%	23
Shane t1	14	17	4	0.82	71%	75.5	60.9%	23
Infinite t2	12	14	4	0.86	50%	67.1	82.6%	23
ben1337 t2	12	15	7	0.80	33%	67.9	87.0%	23
alephjk t1	8	16	1	0.50	50%	45.6	78.3%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

snav

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

snav

52% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ snav	23	13	6	1.77	52%	112.1	87.0%	0.74
neroIE	19	13	5	1.46	11%	85.0	91.3%	0.57
DARE	18	20	4	0.90	56%	86.4	73.9%	0.49
Shane	14	17	4	0.82	71%	75.5	60.9%	0.42
alephjk	8	16	1	0.50	50%	45.6	78.3%	0.29
FaNg	23	17	4	1.35	61%	105.8	87.0%	0.7
Peeping	16	18	10	0.89	62%	94.9	78.3%	0.51
-ogwizard-	16	18	7	0.89	38%	90.4	87.0%	0.49
Infinite	12	14	4	0.86	50%	67.1	82.6%	0.43
ben1337	12	15	7	0.80	33%	67.9	87.0%	0.41

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4900

Round 3

T $2300 | CT $17200

Round 4

T $22700 | CT $21250

Round 5

T $6950 | CT $27800

Round 6

T $25500 | CT $28850

Round 7

T $23500 | CT $29400

Round 8

T $25200 | CT $26900

Round 9

T $27250 | CT $29400

Round 10

T $25250 | CT $29200

Round 11

T $12400 | CT $29300

Round 12

T $26650 | CT $29800

Round 13

T $19100 | CT $31250

Round 14

T $4450 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $1300 | CT $19750

Round 16

T $23400 | CT $24500

Round 17

T $6500 | CT $28300

Round 18

T $27350 | CT $21400

Round 19

T $27450 | CT $10850

Round 20

T $9350 | CT $29400

Round 21

T $25650 | CT $30550

Round 22

T $5500 | CT $33200

Round 23

T $26250 | CT $33500

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/5 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$16589

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

timbermen Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

15 rounds

Avg Equip

$23661

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 36.3% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 37.5%

WR 90d

40.5% vs 37.5%

Rating 30d

1.09 vs 1.19

Form Slope

↓-0.020 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

48.5% vs 51.0%

T WR 90d

54.0% vs 47.7%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

2.0d vs 2.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.55 vs 0.42

Elo Δ -79

Elo Win% 38.8%

Party Astronauts

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

timbermen

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 36.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Party Astronauts

3 – 3

timbermen

Recent Meetings

Party Astronauts 0 – 3 timbermen Nov 2024 timbermen 0 – 1 Party Astronauts Oct 2024 Party Astronauts 0 – 1 timbermen Oct 2024 Party Astronauts 2 – 0 timbermen Jul 2023 Party Astronauts 0 – 1 timbermen Apr 2023

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4900

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $2300 | CT $17200

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22700 | CT $21250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $6950 | CT $27800

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $28850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $29400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $26900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $29400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25250 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $12400 | CT $29300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26650 | CT $29800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $19100 | CT $31250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4450 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1300 | CT $19750

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23400 | CT $24500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $6500 | CT $28300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $21400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $10850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $9350 | CT $29400

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25650 | CT $30550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $5500 | CT $33200

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26250 | CT $33500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted