Case vs BESTIA — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 02 Oct 2024 21:58 UTC

Case

Elo 1505

0 – 1

Winner: BESTIA

BESTIA

Elo 1358

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 51% CONF WRONG

Case 51.0% 49.0% BESTIA

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

nyezin

kills

ADR 108.1

Top Assist

noki

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

nyezin

108.1

avg dmg/rd

33K 23D

Best KAST

-zock

87.9%

KAST

32K 21D

Most HS

tomaszin

headshots

55% HS rate

Best K/D

-zock

1.52

K/D ratio

32K 21D

mirage

14 – 16

5ct|7tvs5ct|7t

BESTIA WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
-zock	32	21	7	1.52	47%	102.1	87.9%	0.69
tomaszin	29	25	5	1.16	55%	98.4	78.8%	0.6
naz_-	24	25	2	0.96	42%	70.9	84.8%	0.48
noki	21	21	13	1.00	29%	87.9	84.8%	0.48
luchov	17	28	9	0.61	65%	75.0	78.8%	0.38
CT SIDE
nyezin	33	23	8	1.43	33%	108.1	81.8%	0.66
urban0-_-	28	27	10	1.04	46%	97.9	72.7%	0.53
RICIOLI	20	22	8	0.91	35%	74.0	66.7%	0.4
yepz	20	28	5	0.71	50%	71.9	66.7%	0.37
bsd--	18	24	6	0.75	39%	62.5	78.8%	0.38

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
-zock	11	10	3	45%	82.2	81.2%	0.52
tomaszin	13	13	2	62%	97.4	81.2%	0.56
naz_-	10	14	1	50%	62.3	81.2%	0.39
noki	8	10	8	50%	71.2	87.5%	0.44
luchov	8	14	3	88%	64.2	75.0%	0.38
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
nyezin	21	8	4	38%	133.5	87.5%	0.92
urban0-_-	13	12	5	54%	97.9	75.0%	0.56
RICIOLI	10	8	4	40%	78.4	68.8%	0.48
yepz	8	12	3	75%	61.6	75.0%	0.39
bsd--	8	11	2	12%	54.8	87.5%	0.34

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
-zock	21	11	4	48%	120.8	94.1%	0.85
tomaszin	16	12	3	50%	99.3	76.5%	0.63
naz_-	14	11	1	36%	78.9	88.2%	0.57
noki	13	11	5	15%	103.6	82.4%	0.53
luchov	9	14	6	44%	85.2	82.4%	0.39
2ND HALF — T SIDE
nyezin	12	15	4	25%	84.2	76.5%	0.41
urban0-_-	15	15	5	40%	97.9	70.6%	0.52
RICIOLI	10	14	4	30%	69.8	64.7%	0.33
yepz	12	16	2	33%	81.6	58.8%	0.35
bsd--	10	13	4	60%	69.8	70.6%	0.41

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ nyezin t2	33	23	8	1.43	33%	108.1	81.8%	33
-zock t1	32	21	7	1.52	47%	102.1	87.9%	33
tomaszin t1	29	25	5	1.16	55%	98.4	78.8%	33
urban0-_- t2	28	27	10	1.04	46%	97.9	72.7%	33
naz_- t1	24	25	2	0.96	42%	70.9	84.8%	33
noki t1	21	21	13	1.00	29%	87.9	84.8%	33
RICIOLI t2	20	22	8	0.91	35%	74.0	66.7%	33
yepz t2	20	28	5	0.71	50%	71.9	66.7%	33
bsd-- t2	18	24	6	0.75	39%	62.5	78.8%	33
luchov t1	17	28	9	0.61	65%	75.0	78.8%	33

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

nyezin

33 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

nyezin

33% HS

33K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ -zock	32	21	7	1.52	47%	102.1	87.9%	0.69
tomaszin	29	25	5	1.16	55%	98.4	78.8%	0.6
naz_-	24	25	2	0.96	42%	70.9	84.8%	0.48
noki	21	21	13	1.00	29%	87.9	84.8%	0.48
luchov	17	28	9	0.61	65%	75.0	78.8%	0.38
nyezin	33	23	8	1.43	33%	108.1	81.8%	0.66
urban0-_-	28	27	10	1.04	46%	97.9	72.7%	0.53
RICIOLI	20	22	8	0.91	35%	74.0	66.7%	0.4
yepz	20	28	5	0.71	50%	71.9	66.7%	0.37
bsd--	18	24	6	0.75	39%	62.5	78.8%	0.38

mirage 33 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $19600 | CT $1000

Round 4

T $22500 | CT $25350

Round 5

T $24400 | CT $7000

Round 6

T $27450 | CT $27500

Round 7

T $7750 | CT $23850

Round 8

T $20550 | CT $30400

Round 9

T $8100 | CT $30750

Round 10

T $22050 | CT $30650

Round 11

T $26350 | CT $27400

Round 12

T $27250 | CT $16400

Round 13

T $28650 | CT $30700

Round 14

T $4850 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $13600 | CT $22750

Round 16

T $17150 | CT $27000

Round 17

T $21850 | CT $11250

Round 18

T $1200 | CT $25250

Round 19

T $22600 | CT $26250

Round 20

T $16950 | CT $30250

Round 21

T $24300 | CT $24800

Round 22

T $24900 | CT $1800

Round 23

T $23600 | CT $24000

Round 24

T $25300 | CT $6950

Round 25

T $27850 | CT $26200

Round 26

T $27650 | CT $29000

Round 27

T $27150 | CT $29600

Round 28

T $27150 | CT $29600

Round 29

T $27350 | CT $30950

Round 30

T $24800 | CT $31650

Round 31

T $27350 | CT $32100

Round 32

T $27250 | CT $32250

Round 33

T $25700 | CT $31950

Case Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

20 rounds

Avg Equip

$20629

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

BESTIA Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

24 rounds

Avg Equip

$22306

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 31.8% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 52.6%

WR 90d

47.8% vs 46.3%

Rating 30d

1.06 vs 1.18

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs ↑0.010

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

46.8% vs 54.3%

T WR 90d

51.8% vs 51.3%

Pool Depth

1.0 vs 5.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.72 vs 0.52

Elo Δ +231

Elo Win% 79.1%

Case

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

BESTIA

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 31.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Case

1 – 8

BESTIA

Recent Meetings

Case 0 – 1 BESTIA Oct 2024 BESTIA 1 – 0 Case Oct 2024 Case 0 – 3 BESTIA Aug 2024 BESTIA 3 – 0 Case Aug 2024 BESTIA 1 – 0 Case May 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 33 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19600 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $25350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $24400 | CT $7000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $27500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $7750 | CT $23850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $20550 | CT $30400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $8100 | CT $30750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22050 | CT $30650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $27400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $16400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28650 | CT $30700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4850 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $13600 | CT $22750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $17150 | CT $27000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $21850 | CT $11250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $1200 | CT $25250

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $22600 | CT $26250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $16950 | CT $30250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $24300 | CT $24800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $24900 | CT $1800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $23600 | CT $24000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $6950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $26200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 26 26 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $29000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 27 27 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $29600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 28 28 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $29600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 29 29 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 30 30 — 2nd half

T $24800 | CT $31650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 31 31 — OT

T $27350 | CT $32100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 32 32 — OT

T $27250 | CT $32250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 33 33 — OT

T $25700 | CT $31950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted