timbermen vs Limitless — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Oct 2024 21:10 UTC

timbermen

Elo 1535

0 – 1

Winner: Limitless

Limitless

Elo 1465

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF CORRECT

timbermen 42.0% 58.0% Limitless

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

1Sandman

kills

ADR 106.9

Top Assist

tender272

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

1Sandman

106.9

avg dmg/rd

22K 13D

Best KAST

1Cyrix

90.5%

KAST

15K 11D

Most HS

1Sandman

headshots

55% HS rate

Best K/D

1Sandman

1.69

K/D ratio

22K 13D

mirage

7 – 13

5ct|2tvs6ct|7t

Limitless WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
1Sandman	22	13	2	1.69	55%	106.9	76.2%	0.72
DJF-	16	10	5	1.60	56%	100.5	81.0%	0.64
1Cyrix	15	11	6	1.36	33%	84.8	90.5%	0.57
Seb	14	13	3	1.08	64%	84.8	76.2%	0.53
tender272	13	13	11	1.00	92%	86.1	90.5%	0.59
CT SIDE
neroIE	17	16	1	1.06	35%	84.6	76.2%	0.51
snav	13	18	2	0.72	31%	76.1	81.0%	0.38
alephjk	11	15	4	0.73	18%	71.8	66.7%	0.32
Shane	10	15	6	0.67	60%	67.7	71.4%	0.37
DARE	10	17	7	0.59	60%	67.0	57.1%	0.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
1Sandman	13	11	2	54%	99.7	69.2%	0.6
DJF-	12	7	3	42%	123.4	76.9%	0.69
1Cyrix	7	8	4	43%	71.2	92.3%	0.46
Seb	6	8	3	67%	74.6	84.6%	0.45
tender272	9	9	5	89%	89.9	84.6%	0.58
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
neroIE	11	9	0	18%	78.9	76.9%	0.51
snav	9	12	2	11%	88.1	84.6%	0.39
alephjk	8	8	4	12%	76.2	76.9%	0.42
Shane	8	9	3	50%	80.2	76.9%	0.46
DARE	8	10	6	50%	82.6	69.2%	0.42

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
1Sandman	9	2	0	56%	118.5	87.5%	0.91
DJF-	4	3	2	100%	63.2	87.5%	0.58
1Cyrix	8	3	2	25%	107.0	87.5%	0.75
Seb	8	5	0	62%	101.4	62.5%	0.66
tender272	4	4	6	100%	80.0	100.0%	0.59
2ND HALF — T SIDE
neroIE	6	7	1	67%	93.9	75.0%	0.5
snav	4	6	0	75%	56.8	75.0%	0.39
alephjk	3	7	0	33%	64.6	50.0%	0.18
Shane	2	6	3	100%	47.2	62.5%	0.26
DARE	2	7	1	100%	41.6	37.5%	0.16

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ 1Sandman t2	22	13	2	1.69	55%	106.9	76.2%	21
neroIE t1	17	16	1	1.06	35%	84.6	76.2%	21
DJF- t2	16	10	5	1.60	56%	100.5	81.0%	21
1Cyrix t2	15	11	6	1.36	33%	84.8	90.5%	21
Seb t2	14	13	3	1.08	64%	84.8	76.2%	21
tender272 t2	13	13	11	1.00	92%	86.1	90.5%	21
snav t1	13	18	2	0.72	31%	76.1	81.0%	21
alephjk t1	11	15	4	0.73	18%	71.8	66.7%	21
Shane t1	10	15	6	0.67	60%	67.7	71.4%	21
DARE t1	10	17	7	0.59	60%	67.0	57.1%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

1Sandman

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

1Sandman

55% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ 1Sandman	22	13	2	1.69	55%	106.9	76.2%	0.72
DJF-	16	10	5	1.60	56%	100.5	81.0%	0.64
1Cyrix	15	11	6	1.36	33%	84.8	90.5%	0.57
Seb	14	13	3	1.08	64%	84.8	76.2%	0.53
tender272	13	13	11	1.00	92%	86.1	90.5%	0.59
neroIE	17	16	1	1.06	35%	84.6	76.2%	0.51
snav	13	18	2	0.72	31%	76.1	81.0%	0.38
alephjk	11	15	4	0.73	18%	71.8	66.7%	0.32
Shane	10	15	6	0.67	60%	67.7	71.4%	0.37
DARE	10	17	7	0.59	60%	67.0	57.1%	0.3

mirage 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4600 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $18700 | CT $1000

Round 4

T $21850 | CT $23850

Round 5

T $19800 | CT $23600

Round 6

T $1400 | CT $28400

Round 7

T $23500 | CT $30050

Round 8

T $25750 | CT $17150

Round 9

T $25150 | CT $13150

Round 10

T $11450 | CT $29200

Round 11

T $24100 | CT $17650

Round 12

T $24800 | CT $1700

Round 13

T $28650 | CT $22250

Round 14

T $5000 | CT $4100

Round 15

T $14150 | CT $21800

Round 16

T $2500 | CT $26550

Round 17

T $24400 | CT $31950

Round 18

T $25600 | CT $29650

Round 19

T $26750 | CT $29200

Round 20

T $17900 | CT $29950

Round 21

T $23200 | CT $10750

Limitless Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$19024

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

timbermen Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$17738

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 36.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

46.7% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

42.9% vs 54.0%

Rating 30d

1.11 vs 1.03

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.4% vs 42.8%

T WR 90d

46.0% vs 42.9%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.55 vs 0.92

Elo Δ +11

Elo Win% 51.6%

Limitless

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

timbermen

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 36.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

timbermen

4 – 2

Limitless

Recent Meetings

Limitless 0 – 1 timbermen Oct 2024 timbermen 0 – 1 Limitless Oct 2024 Limitless 0 – 2 timbermen Jun 2023 timbermen 0 – 1 Limitless Mar 2023 timbermen 2 – 0 Limitless Feb 2023

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4600 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $18700 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $21850 | CT $23850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $19800 | CT $23600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $1400 | CT $28400

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $30050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25750 | CT $17150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25150 | CT $13150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $11450 | CT $29200

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $17650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $24800 | CT $1700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28650 | CT $22250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $5000 | CT $4100

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $14150 | CT $21800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $2500 | CT $26550

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24400 | CT $31950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $29650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $26750 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $17900 | CT $29950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $23200 | CT $10750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted