Hype vs Case — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 48 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Oct 2024 21:10 UTC

Hype

Elo 1518

1 – 0

Winner: Hype

Case

Elo 1505

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Hype 46.0% 54.0% Case

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

history-

kills

ADR 108.1

Top Assist

vinaabeastt

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

history-

108.1

avg dmg/rd

19K 11D

Best KAST

MaLLby

90.5%

KAST

16K 12D

Most HS

vinaabeastt

headshots

69% HS rate

Best K/D

history-

1.73

K/D ratio

19K 11D

nuke

13 – 7

6ct|7tvs5ct|2t

Hype WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
nyezin	16	15	3	1.07	44%	68.5	76.2%	0.49
urban0-_-	15	18	7	0.83	47%	95.0	57.1%	0.42
bsd--	14	16	1	0.88	29%	77.1	61.9%	0.39
RICIOLI	7	14	5	0.50	43%	64.6	71.4%	0.29
yepz	6	17	7	0.35	67%	50.7	66.7%	0.23
CT SIDE
history-	19	11	6	1.73	37%	108.1	81.0%	0.67
leo_drk	18	13	2	1.38	50%	81.4	85.7%	0.61
MaLLby	16	12	5	1.33	50%	82.4	90.5%	0.6
vinaabeastt	16	11	10	1.45	69%	94.7	85.7%	0.65
redi-_	12	14	3	0.86	50%	63.6	76.2%	0.42

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
nyezin	6	8	3	67%	71.1	77.8%	0.43
urban0-_-	7	8	2	43%	93.3	44.4%	0.4
bsd--	5	8	1	40%	63.6	55.6%	0.28
RICIOLI	3	7	2	67%	57.7	66.7%	0.27
yepz	1	8	4	100%	44.6	66.7%	0.17
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
history-	7	4	4	43%	96.7	88.9%	0.65
leo_drk	11	5	0	36%	117.4	88.9%	0.84
MaLLby	10	5	2	50%	122.8	88.9%	0.81
vinaabeastt	7	3	3	57%	84.4	88.9%	0.68
redi-_	5	6	2	40%	75.7	88.9%	0.45

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
nyezin	10	7	0	30%	66.5	75.0%	0.53
urban0-_-	8	10	5	50%	96.2	66.7%	0.44
bsd--	9	8	0	22%	87.2	66.7%	0.47
RICIOLI	4	7	3	25%	69.8	75.0%	0.3
yepz	5	9	3	60%	55.3	66.7%	0.3
2ND HALF — T SIDE
history-	12	7	2	33%	116.8	75.0%	0.69
leo_drk	7	8	2	71%	54.3	83.3%	0.46
MaLLby	6	7	3	50%	52.2	91.7%	0.43
vinaabeastt	9	8	7	78%	102.3	83.3%	0.62
redi-_	7	8	1	57%	54.5	66.7%	0.4

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ history- t2	19	11	6	1.73	37%	108.1	81.0%	21
leo_drk t2	18	13	2	1.38	50%	81.4	85.7%	21
nyezin t1	16	15	3	1.07	44%	68.5	76.2%	21
MaLLby t2	16	12	5	1.33	50%	82.4	90.5%	21
vinaabeastt t2	16	11	10	1.45	69%	94.7	85.7%	21
urban0-_- t1	15	18	7	0.83	47%	95.0	57.1%	21
bsd-- t1	14	16	1	0.88	29%	77.1	61.9%	21
redi-_ t2	12	14	3	0.86	50%	63.6	76.2%	21
RICIOLI t1	7	14	5	0.50	43%	64.6	71.4%	21
yepz t1	6	17	7	0.35	67%	50.7	66.7%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

history-

19 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

history-

37% HS

19K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ nyezin	16	15	3	1.07	44%	68.5	76.2%	0.49
urban0-_-	15	18	7	0.83	47%	95.0	57.1%	0.42
bsd--	14	16	1	0.88	29%	77.1	61.9%	0.39
RICIOLI	7	14	5	0.50	43%	64.6	71.4%	0.29
yepz	6	17	7	0.35	67%	50.7	66.7%	0.23
history-	19	11	6	1.73	37%	108.1	81.0%	0.67
leo_drk	18	13	2	1.38	50%	81.4	85.7%	0.61
MaLLby	16	12	5	1.33	50%	82.4	90.5%	0.6
vinaabeastt	16	11	10	1.45	69%	94.7	85.7%	0.65
redi-_	12	14	3	0.86	50%	63.6	76.2%	0.42

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $18750 | CT $10950

Round 4

T $21050 | CT $1100

Round 5

T $25550 | CT $28450

Round 6

T $27650 | CT $5900

Round 7

T $28150 | CT $29100

Round 8

T $27950 | CT $29550

Round 9

T $26000 | CT $24300

Round 10

T $27350 | CT $28850

Round 11

T $27750 | CT $24450

Round 12

T $8100 | CT $27400

Round 13

T $20200 | CT $33700

Round 14

T $4700 | CT $4050

Round 15

T $7450 | CT $21100

Round 16

T $6750 | CT $27900

Round 17

T $23600 | CT $29200

Round 18

T $7250 | CT $29200

Round 19

T $26300 | CT $29500

Round 20

T $26650 | CT $30850

Round 21

T $27850 | CT $30300

Case Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$21576

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

Hype Eco Rating: 0.0

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$18881

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

0%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 0%

Headshot% 0%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 34.8% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 40.0%

WR 90d

60.4% vs 50.7%

Rating 30d

0.91 vs 1.04

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.2% vs 47.1%

T WR 90d

46.5% vs 51.4%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

2.39 vs 0.84

Elo Δ -23

Elo Win% 46.7%

Case

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Hype

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

Trade Rate

—

Opening K/Rd

—

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 0

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 34.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Hype

3 – 5

Case

Recent Meetings

Hype 1 – 0 Case Oct 2024 Case 1 – 0 Hype Oct 2024 Case 0 – 3 Hype Jul 2024 Hype 0 – 2 Case May 2024 Case 0 – 3 Hype May 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $18750 | CT $10950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $21050 | CT $1100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25550 | CT $28450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $5900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $29100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $29550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26000 | CT $24300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $28850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $24450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $8100 | CT $27400

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $20200 | CT $33700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4700 | CT $4050

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $7450 | CT $21100

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $6750 | CT $27900

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23600 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $7250 | CT $29200

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $26300 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $26650 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $30300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted