Nexus vs Kazakhstan — CounterQuant

IESF World Championship 2024· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 14 Nov 2024 22:55 UTC

Nexus

Elo 1652

0 – 1

Winner: Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

Elo 1521

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Nexus 53.5% 46.5% Kazakhstan

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

xellow

kills

ADR 114.0

Top Assist

def1zer

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

nealan

115.3

avg dmg/rd

21K 16D

Best KAST

def1zer

95.2%

KAST

16K 11D

Most HS

nealan

headshots

67% HS rate

Best K/D

def1zer

1.45

K/D ratio

16K 11D

ancient

8 – 13

4ct|4tvs8ct|5t

Kazakhstan WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
xellow	21	17	1	1.24	29%	114.0	81.0%	0.62
ADRON	14	16	7	0.88	64%	73.0	85.7%	0.49
Ciocardau	12	17	5	0.71	33%	70.8	52.4%	0.3
ragga	10	17	5	0.59	50%	69.9	76.2%	0.34
BTN	9	17	6	0.53	44%	52.5	81.0%	0.3
CT SIDE
nealan	21	16	6	1.31	67%	115.3	85.7%	0.71
blackmagic	17	12	4	1.42	53%	84.4	81.0%	0.6
def1zer	16	11	8	1.45	38%	93.7	95.2%	0.62
demente	15	15	8	1.00	53%	95.8	81.0%	0.53
Pumpkin	14	12	3	1.17	50%	67.3	66.7%	0.47

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
xellow	12	9	0	25%	101.0	83.3%	0.62
ADRON	10	10	3	70%	85.7	83.3%	0.57
Ciocardau	4	10	4	25%	56.0	50.0%	0.15
ragga	7	9	2	57%	76.2	75.0%	0.42
BTN	5	11	4	40%	51.8	75.0%	0.24
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
nealan	17	9	3	76%	157.2	91.7%	0.99
blackmagic	11	7	1	45%	96.8	83.3%	0.66
def1zer	10	6	5	40%	99.8	91.7%	0.66
demente	7	9	5	71%	81.9	75.0%	0.45
Pumpkin	4	7	1	25%	30.4	66.7%	0.22

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
xellow	9	8	1	33%	131.4	77.8%	0.62
ADRON	4	6	4	50%	56.1	88.9%	0.38
Ciocardau	8	7	1	38%	90.4	55.6%	0.5
ragga	3	8	3	33%	61.4	77.8%	0.22
BTN	4	6	2	50%	53.3	88.9%	0.38
2ND HALF — T SIDE
nealan	4	7	3	25%	59.4	77.8%	0.29
blackmagic	6	5	3	67%	67.9	77.8%	0.53
def1zer	6	5	3	33%	85.6	100.0%	0.56
demente	8	6	3	38%	114.2	88.9%	0.65
Pumpkin	10	5	2	60%	116.4	66.7%	0.76

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ xellow t2	21	17	1	1.24	29%	114.0	81.0%	21
nealan t1	21	16	6	1.31	67%	115.3	85.7%	21
blackmagic t1	17	12	4	1.42	53%	84.4	81.0%	21
def1zer t1	16	11	8	1.45	38%	93.7	95.2%	21
demente t1	15	15	8	1.00	53%	95.8	81.0%	21
ADRON t2	14	16	7	0.88	64%	73.0	85.7%	21
Pumpkin t1	14	12	3	1.17	50%	67.3	66.7%	21
Ciocardau t2	12	17	5	0.71	33%	70.8	52.4%	21
ragga t2	10	17	5	0.59	50%	69.9	76.2%	21
BTN t2	9	17	6	0.53	44%	52.5	81.0%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

xellow

21 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

xellow

29% HS

21K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ xellow	21	17	1	1.24	29%	114.0	81.0%	0.62
ADRON	14	16	7	0.88	64%	73.0	85.7%	0.49
Ciocardau	12	17	5	0.71	33%	70.8	52.4%	0.3
ragga	10	17	5	0.59	50%	69.9	76.2%	0.34
BTN	9	17	6	0.53	44%	52.5	81.0%	0.3
nealan	21	16	6	1.31	67%	115.3	85.7%	0.71
blackmagic	17	12	4	1.42	53%	84.4	81.0%	0.6
def1zer	16	11	8	1.45	38%	93.7	95.2%	0.62
demente	15	15	8	1.00	53%	95.8	81.0%	0.53
Pumpkin	14	12	3	1.17	50%	67.3	66.7%	0.47

ancient 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $4200 | CT $4300

Round 2

T $2000 | CT $20800

Round 3

T $23400 | CT $25250

Round 4

T $19550 | CT $29050

Round 5

T $23500 | CT $29050

Round 6

T $27450 | CT $14050

Round 7

T $27450 | CT $16050

Round 8

T $23450 | CT $29550

Round 9

T $12200 | CT $30750

Round 10

T $25950 | CT $30650

Round 11

T $27550 | CT $26800

Round 12

T $24250 | CT $23100

Round 13

T $4450 | CT $4000

Round 14

T $20000 | CT $10750

Round 15

T $20400 | CT $2300

Round 16

T $23550 | CT $26650

Round 17

T $27450 | CT $24650

Round 18

T $25600 | CT $17200

Round 19

T $15750 | CT $29450

Round 20

T $2000 | CT $29250

Round 21

T $26000 | CT $29800

Kazakhstan Eco Rating: 8.4

Eco rounds

1/3 W (33%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$21593

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

76%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 51%

Nexus Eco Rating: 7.1

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$19340

Util Dmg

7.00

0.4/rd

Opening K

47%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 46%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 62.0% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

— vs —

WR 90d

67.7% vs —

Rating 30d

1.15 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.3% vs —

T WR 90d

50.1% vs —

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

18.0d vs 30.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.8 vs —

Elo Δ +30

Elo Win% 54.2%

Kazakhstan Eco Rating: 8.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

76%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 56

Nexus Eco Rating: 7.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

46%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

47%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 52

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 62.0% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Nexus

0 – 1

Kazakhstan

Recent Meetings

Nexus 0 – 1 Kazakhstan Nov 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $2000 | CT $20800

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $23400 | CT $25250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $19550 | CT $29050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $29050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $14050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $16050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $23450 | CT $29550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $12200 | CT $30750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25950 | CT $30650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $26800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $24250 | CT $23100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4450 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $20000 | CT $10750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $20400 | CT $2300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23550 | CT $26650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $27450 | CT $24650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $17200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $15750 | CT $29450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $2000 | CT $29250

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $26000 | CT $29800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted