500 vs megoshort — CounterQuant

Skin.Club Christmas Cup 2024· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 20 Dec 2024 21:21 UTC

500

Elo 1448

1 – 0

Winner: 500

megoshort

Elo 1583

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 79% CONF WRONG

500 21.2% 78.8% megoshort

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

SHiPZ

kills

ADR 98.1

Top Assist

SPELLAN

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

Rainwaker

115.7

avg dmg/rd

21K 12D

Best KAST

Rainwaker

90.5%

KAST

21K 12D

Most HS

SHiPZ

headshots

57% HS rate

Best K/D

Rainwaker

1.75

K/D ratio

21K 12D

ancient

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs4ct|4t

500 WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
SHiPZ	23	14	2	1.64	57%	98.1	81.0%	0.73
Rainwaker	21	12	4	1.75	57%	115.7	90.5%	0.76
oxygeN	12	15	4	0.80	75%	69.4	61.9%	0.41
CeRq	11	10	4	1.10	55%	52.4	90.5%	0.48
SPELLAN	11	13	9	0.85	55%	59.6	81.0%	0.42
CT SIDE
Brillo	18	15	2	1.20	50%	96.1	81.0%	0.59
Silence	16	16	4	1.00	50%	86.4	71.4%	0.5
tvs	14	14	2	1.00	43%	72.5	71.4%	0.45
mogv	10	16	8	0.62	60%	64.0	81.0%	0.37
TIMhehe	4	17	1	0.24	25%	33.6	42.9%	0.04

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
SHiPZ	13	6	0	69%	104.7	66.7%	0.76
Rainwaker	10	4	0	70%	81.8	83.3%	0.71
oxygeN	9	8	3	78%	89.2	75.0%	0.58
CeRq	4	4	2	50%	29.8	83.3%	0.38
SPELLAN	6	7	4	50%	52.2	83.3%	0.41
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Brillo	7	8	1	43%	77.7	66.7%	0.41
Silence	9	8	2	44%	86.3	58.3%	0.48
tvs	7	8	0	29%	62.4	66.7%	0.37
mogv	5	9	3	40%	64.3	75.0%	0.31
TIMhehe	1	9	1	0%	31.7	41.7%	-0.04

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
SHiPZ	10	8	2	40%	89.4	100.0%	0.68
Rainwaker	11	8	4	45%	160.8	100.0%	0.84
oxygeN	3	7	1	67%	43.1	44.4%	0.19
CeRq	7	6	2	57%	82.6	100.0%	0.61
SPELLAN	5	6	5	60%	69.4	77.8%	0.44
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Brillo	11	7	1	55%	120.8	100.0%	0.83
Silence	7	8	2	57%	86.6	88.9%	0.52
tvs	7	6	2	57%	85.9	77.8%	0.56
mogv	5	7	5	80%	63.6	88.9%	0.45
TIMhehe	3	8	0	33%	36.2	44.4%	0.1

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ SHiPZ t2	23	14	2	1.64	57%	98.1	81.0%	21
Rainwaker t2	21	12	4	1.75	57%	115.7	90.5%	21
Brillo t1	18	15	2	1.20	50%	96.1	81.0%	21
Silence t1	16	16	4	1.00	50%	86.4	71.4%	21
tvs t1	14	14	2	1.00	43%	72.5	71.4%	21
oxygeN t2	12	15	4	0.80	75%	69.4	61.9%	21
CeRq t2	11	10	4	1.10	55%	52.4	90.5%	21
SPELLAN t2	11	13	9	0.85	55%	59.6	81.0%	21
mogv t1	10	16	8	0.62	60%	64.0	81.0%	21
TIMhehe t1	4	17	1	0.24	25%	33.6	42.9%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

SHiPZ

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

SHiPZ

57% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ SHiPZ	23	14	2	1.64	57%	98.1	81.0%	0.73
Rainwaker	21	12	4	1.75	57%	115.7	90.5%	0.76
oxygeN	12	15	4	0.80	75%	69.4	61.9%	0.41
CeRq	11	10	4	1.10	55%	52.4	90.5%	0.48
SPELLAN	11	13	9	0.85	55%	59.6	81.0%	0.42
Brillo	18	15	2	1.20	50%	96.1	81.0%	0.59
Silence	16	16	4	1.00	50%	86.4	71.4%	0.5
tvs	14	14	2	1.00	43%	72.5	71.4%	0.45
mogv	10	16	8	0.62	60%	64.0	81.0%	0.37
TIMhehe	4	17	1	0.24	25%	33.6	42.9%	0.04

ancient 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3550 | CT $4200

Round 2

T $16250 | CT $8600

Round 3

T $22050 | CT $4100

Round 4

T $22250 | CT $26450

Round 5

T $25300 | CT $24750

Round 6

T $23650 | CT $11100

Round 7

T $27650 | CT $25900

Round 8

T $25300 | CT $28750

Round 9

T $26850 | CT $29550

Round 10

T $27350 | CT $25450

Round 11

T $27650 | CT $10550

Round 12

T $28550 | CT $27400

Round 13

T $4750 | CT $4250

Round 14

T $19850 | CT $1400

Round 15

T $23300 | CT $23000

Round 16

T $18250 | CT $27250

Round 17

T $12850 | CT $23800

Round 18

T $18300 | CT $24450

Round 19

T $23900 | CT $11550

Round 20

T $14200 | CT $26750

Round 21

T $21650 | CT $1000

megoshort Eco Rating: 3.9

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$20640

Util Dmg

471.00

27.7/rd

Opening K

71%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 25%

Headshot% 39%

Monte Eco Rating: 7.2

Eco rounds

0/2 W (0%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

19 rounds

Avg Equip

$17631

Util Dmg

804.00

33.5/rd

Opening K

38%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 72%

CQ Feature Intelligence 524 features

null: 63.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs —

WR 90d

61.8% vs 50.0%

Rating 30d

1.12 vs —

Form Slope

↑0.140 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

— vs —

T WR 90d

— vs —

Pool Depth

6.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

11.0d vs 30.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.77 vs —

Elo Δ -186

Elo Win% 25.6%

megoshort Eco Rating: 3.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

39%

Trade Rate

25%

Opening K/Rd

71%

Util Dmg/Rd

27.7

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 43

Monte Eco Rating: 7.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

72%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

38%

Util Dmg/Rd

33.5

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 55

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 63.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

500

1 – 0

megoshort

Recent Meetings

500 1 – 0 megoshort Dec 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3550 | CT $4200 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: force_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $16250 | CT $8600 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $22050 | CT $4100 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22250 | CT $26450 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $24750 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23650 | CT $11100 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $25900 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $28750 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26850 | CT $29550 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $25450 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $10550 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28550 | CT $27400 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4750 | CT $4250 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $19850 | CT $1400 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $23300 | CT $23000 DEFUSED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $18250 | CT $27250 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $12850 | CT $23800 TIME EXPIRED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $18300 | CT $24450 BOMB EXPLODED

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23900 | CT $11550 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $14200 | CT $26750 T WIN — CT ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $21650 | CT $1000 CT WIN — T ELIM

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco