Just Swing vs UR — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 Asia-Pacific· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 21 Jan 2025 21:39 UTC

Just Swing

Elo 1586

0 – 1

Winner: UR

Elo 1530

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 60% CONF WRONG

Just Swing 60.1% 39.9% UR

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

mirage

9 – 13

3|6vs4|9

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Rage20-

kills

ADR 101.0

Top Assist

SayMyNameV

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

Rage20-

101.0

avg dmg/rd

20K 17D

Best KAST

UnDeRCoVeRr

87.0%

KAST

19K 15D

Most HS

Rage20-

headshots

60% HS rate

Best K/D

UnDeRCoVeRr

1.27

K/D ratio

19K 15D

mirage

9 – 13

3ct|6tvs4ct|9t

UR WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
UnDeRCoVeRr	19	15	7	1.27	53%	100.7	87.0%	0.62
ivan222222	17	17	4	1.00	65%	82.7	73.9%	0.52
Marek77	15	16	5	0.94	40%	68.7	82.6%	0.45
Teens-	15	17	7	0.88	53%	80.9	69.6%	0.45
V1nceKK	14	17	3	0.82	21%	72.3	82.6%	0.4
CT SIDE
Rage20-	20	17	6	1.18	60%	101.0	78.3%	0.61
SPine577	19	15	1	1.27	58%	87.6	78.3%	0.59
SayMyNameV	18	16	8	1.12	33%	87.7	82.6%	0.53
MiamiCyy	14	17	4	0.82	57%	81.0	65.2%	0.42
SasiKi666	12	16	6	0.75	58%	72.7	69.6%	0.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
UnDeRCoVeRr	11	5	3	45%	106.6	90.9%	0.77
ivan222222	10	9	2	70%	102.9	72.7%	0.6
Marek77	10	6	4	40%	97.9	100.0%	0.7
Teens-	7	8	6	29%	87.5	72.7%	0.42
V1nceKK	5	8	2	0%	49.6	81.8%	0.27
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Rage20-	7	11	3	57%	88.0	54.5%	0.34
SPine577	9	7	1	56%	87.2	63.6%	0.55
SayMyNameV	8	8	2	38%	76.1	81.8%	0.48
MiamiCyy	7	10	1	57%	87.0	54.5%	0.37
SasiKi666	6	8	4	67%	81.5	72.7%	0.43

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
UnDeRCoVeRr	8	10	4	62%	95.2	83.3%	0.49
ivan222222	7	8	2	57%	64.2	75.0%	0.43
Marek77	5	10	1	40%	41.9	66.7%	0.23
Teens-	8	9	1	75%	74.9	66.7%	0.47
V1nceKK	9	9	1	33%	93.2	83.3%	0.51
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Rage20-	13	6	3	62%	113.0	100.0%	0.85
SPine577	10	8	0	60%	88.0	91.7%	0.63
SayMyNameV	10	8	6	30%	98.4	83.3%	0.58
MiamiCyy	7	7	3	57%	75.5	75.0%	0.47
SasiKi666	6	8	2	50%	64.6	66.7%	0.36

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Rage20- t2	20	17	6	1.18	60%	101.0	78.3%	23
UnDeRCoVeRr t1	19	15	7	1.27	53%	100.7	87.0%	23
SPine577 t2	19	15	1	1.27	58%	87.6	78.3%	23
SayMyNameV t2	18	16	8	1.12	33%	87.7	82.6%	23
ivan222222 t1	17	17	4	1.00	65%	82.7	73.9%	23
Marek77 t1	15	16	5	0.94	40%	68.7	82.6%	23
Teens- t1	15	17	7	0.88	53%	80.9	69.6%	23
V1nceKK t1	14	17	3	0.82	21%	72.3	82.6%	23
MiamiCyy t2	14	17	4	0.82	57%	81.0	65.2%	23
SasiKi666 t2	12	16	6	0.75	58%	72.7	69.6%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Rage20-

20 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Rage20-

60% HS

20K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ UnDeRCoVeRr	19	15	7	1.27	53%	100.7	87.0%	0.62
ivan222222	17	17	4	1.00	65%	82.7	73.9%	0.52
Marek77	15	16	5	0.94	40%	68.7	82.6%	0.45
Teens-	15	17	7	0.88	53%	80.9	69.6%	0.45
V1nceKK	14	17	3	0.82	21%	72.3	82.6%	0.4
Rage20-	20	17	6	1.18	60%	101.0	78.3%	0.61
SPine577	19	15	1	1.27	58%	87.6	78.3%	0.59
SayMyNameV	18	16	8	1.12	33%	87.7	82.6%	0.53
MiamiCyy	14	17	4	0.82	57%	81.0	65.2%	0.42
SasiKi666	12	16	6	0.75	58%	72.7	69.6%	0.4

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $9950 | CT $21000

Round 4

T $20650 | CT $8000

Round 5

T $21750 | CT $1400

Round 6

T $24450 | CT $24900

Round 7

T $27150 | CT $27850

Round 8

T $27250 | CT $26100

Round 9

T $27250 | CT $30000

Round 10

T $27350 | CT $23100

Round 11

T $22500 | CT $27000

Round 12

T $26750 | CT $2600

Round 13

T $27850 | CT $26050

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $18900 | CT $10650

Round 16

T $22450 | CT $3450

Round 17

T $24600 | CT $26000

Round 18

T $26000 | CT $7300

Round 19

T $25000 | CT $30050

Round 20

T $23850 | CT $29150

Round 21

T $27050 | CT $19700

Round 22

T $15400 | CT $29550

Round 23

T $10400 | CT $30650

Just Swing Eco Rating: 16.4

Eco rounds

2/3 W (67%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$20365

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

39%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 40%

Headshot% 47%

UR Eco Rating: 10.3

Eco rounds

1/6 W (17%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$18096

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

81%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 34%

Headshot% 53%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 67.4% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

— vs —

WR 90d

57.1% vs —

Rating 30d

— vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.4% vs —

T WR 90d

51.6% vs —

Pool Depth

1.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

47.0d vs 30.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Elo Δ +58

Elo Win% 58.3%

Just Swing Eco Rating: 16.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

67%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

40%

Opening K/Rd

39%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 66

UR Eco Rating: 10.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

17%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

53%

Trade Rate

34%

Opening K/Rd

81%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 53

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 67.4% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Just Swing

1 – 2

Recent Meetings

Just Swing 0 – 2 UR Feb 2025 UR 0 – 1 Just Swing Jan 2025 Just Swing 0 – 1 UR Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $9950 | CT $21000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $20650 | CT $8000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21750 | CT $1400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24450 | CT $24900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $27850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $26100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $30000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $23100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $27000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $2600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $26050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18900 | CT $10650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22450 | CT $3450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24600 | CT $26000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26000 | CT $7300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25000 | CT $30050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $29150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $19700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $15400 | CT $29550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $10400 | CT $30650

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted