Bad News Capybaras vs Nouns

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 23 Jan 2025 10:37 UTC

Bad News Capybaras

Elo 1559

0 – 1

Winner: Nouns

Nouns

Elo 1444

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Bad News Capybaras 53.5% 46.5% Nouns

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Peeping

kills

ADR 131.8

Top Assist

cJ-dA-K1nG

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

Peeping

131.8

avg dmg/rd

27K 16D

Best KAST

Cryptic

100.0%

KAST

26K 16D

Most HS

Peeping

headshots

74% HS rate

Best K/D

Peeping

1.69

K/D ratio

27K 16D

dust2

9 – 13

4ct|5tvs7ct|6t

Nouns WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Peeping	27	16	4	1.69	74%	131.8	73.9%	0.81
Cryptic	26	16	2	1.62	46%	114.4	100.0%	0.79
1junior	15	16	6	0.94	20%	77.2	87.0%	0.45
cJ-dA-K1nG	15	13	9	1.15	60%	87.5	91.3%	0.57
RUSH	13	11	8	1.18	31%	61.3	87.0%	0.47
CT SIDE
jchancE	20	18	3	1.11	45%	107.4	73.9%	0.57
LaffyTs_	15	18	3	0.83	47%	74.0	56.5%	0.38
cbass	14	20	2	0.70	79%	70.4	60.9%	0.39
GraveKevin	12	18	9	0.67	67%	77.2	73.9%	0.4
Gabe	11	22	3	0.50	27%	49.7	56.5%	0.18

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Peeping	12	6	4	75%	124.4	81.8%	0.83
Cryptic	12	8	1	42%	115.8	100.0%	0.76
1junior	6	8	1	33%	60.7	90.9%	0.4
cJ-dA-K1nG	6	8	4	50%	73.8	81.8%	0.42
RUSH	6	5	5	17%	59.5	72.7%	0.41
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
jchancE	11	7	1	55%	114.4	81.8%	0.72
LaffyTs_	8	8	3	50%	92.2	63.6%	0.48
cbass	6	10	1	83%	63.9	54.5%	0.33
GraveKevin	4	8	5	50%	70.8	81.8%	0.33
Gabe	6	9	2	17%	59.8	72.7%	0.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Peeping	15	10	0	73%	138.7	66.7%	0.8
Cryptic	14	8	1	50%	113.1	100.0%	0.82
1junior	9	8	5	11%	92.3	83.3%	0.5
cJ-dA-K1nG	9	5	5	67%	100.1	100.0%	0.71
RUSH	7	6	3	43%	63.0	100.0%	0.52
2ND HALF — T SIDE
jchancE	9	11	2	33%	101.1	66.7%	0.43
LaffyTs_	7	10	0	43%	57.3	50.0%	0.29
cbass	8	10	1	75%	76.4	66.7%	0.44
GraveKevin	8	10	4	75%	83.0	66.7%	0.45
Gabe	5	13	1	40%	40.3	41.7%	0.09

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Peeping t1	27	16	4	1.69	74%	131.8	73.9%	23
Cryptic t1	26	16	2	1.62	46%	114.4	100.0%	23
jchancE t2	20	18	3	1.11	45%	107.4	73.9%	23
1junior t1	15	16	6	0.94	20%	77.2	87.0%	23
cJ-dA-K1nG t1	15	13	9	1.15	60%	87.5	91.3%	23
LaffyTs_ t2	15	18	3	0.83	47%	74.0	56.5%	23
cbass t2	14	20	2	0.70	79%	70.4	60.9%	23
RUSH t1	13	11	8	1.18	31%	61.3	87.0%	23
GraveKevin t2	12	18	9	0.67	67%	77.2	73.9%	23
Gabe t2	11	22	3	0.50	27%	49.7	56.5%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Peeping

27 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Peeping

74% HS

27K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Peeping	27	16	4	1.69	74%	131.8	73.9%	0.81
Cryptic	26	16	2	1.62	46%	114.4	100.0%	0.79
1junior	15	16	6	0.94	20%	77.2	87.0%	0.45
cJ-dA-K1nG	15	13	9	1.15	60%	87.5	91.3%	0.57
RUSH	13	11	8	1.18	31%	61.3	87.0%	0.47
jchancE	20	18	3	1.11	45%	107.4	73.9%	0.57
LaffyTs_	15	18	3	0.83	47%	74.0	56.5%	0.38
cbass	14	20	2	0.70	79%	70.4	60.9%	0.39
GraveKevin	12	18	9	0.67	67%	77.2	73.9%	0.4
Gabe	11	22	3	0.50	27%	49.7	56.5%	0.18

dust2 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4450

Round 3

T $3400 | CT $20350

Round 4

T $19700 | CT $23150

Round 5

T $5450 | CT $30150

Round 6

T $25200 | CT $31650

Round 7

T $7000 | CT $31050

Round 8

T $28350 | CT $28300

Round 9

T $26950 | CT $6200

Round 10

T $24750 | CT $30150

Round 11

T $27250 | CT $10550

Round 12

T $24700 | CT $19600

Round 13

T $18800 | CT $31300

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $3500 | CT $21150

Round 16

T $20800 | CT $25850

Round 17

T $24400 | CT $24450

Round 18

T $24000 | CT $25150

Round 19

T $25200 | CT $3400

Round 20

T $27550 | CT $4750

Round 21

T $27250 | CT $25700

Round 22

T $27350 | CT $16950

Round 23

T $27050 | CT $21800

Nouns Eco Rating: 14.1

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$19285

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

72%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 51%

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 12.1

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$18717

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

55%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 40%

Headshot% 51%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 53.0% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

25.0% vs —

WR 90d

25.0% vs 53.8%

Rating 30d

1.29 vs —

Form Slope

↑0.100 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

56.9% vs 50.4%

T WR 90d

54.0% vs 55.4%

Pool Depth

— vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 37.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Elo Δ +60

Elo Win% 58.5%

Nouns Eco Rating: 14.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

72%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 65

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 12.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

40%

Opening K/Rd

55%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 61

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 53.0% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Bad News Capybaras

0 – 3

Nouns

Recent Meetings

Nouns 2 – 0 Bad News Capybaras Apr 2025 Bad News Capybaras 0 – 1 Nouns Jan 2025 Nouns 1 – 0 Bad News Capybaras Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4450

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $3400 | CT $20350

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $19700 | CT $23150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $5450 | CT $30150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $31650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $7000 | CT $31050

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $28300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26950 | CT $6200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $24750 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $10550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $24700 | CT $19600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $18800 | CT $31300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $3500 | CT $21150

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20800 | CT $25850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24400 | CT $24450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $24000 | CT $25150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25200 | CT $3400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $4750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $25700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $16950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $21800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted