NRG vs Chill Guys — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 24 Jan 2025 22:04 UTC

NRG

Elo 1552

1 – 0

Winner: NRG

Chill Guys

Elo 1493

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 68% CONF WRONG

NRG 32.3% 67.7% Chill Guys

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

HexT

kills

ADR 115.9

Top Assist

jeorge

assists

3 flash

Best ADR

HexT

115.9

avg dmg/rd

26K 18D

Best KAST

lost666

87.5%

KAST

22K 17D

Most HS

HexT

headshots

58% HS rate

Best K/D

HexT

1.44

K/D ratio

26K 18D

anubis

13 – 10

6ct|7tvs4ct|6t

NRG WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
lost666	22	17	5	1.29	50%	94.8	87.5%	0.64
Evancaw	17	16	5	1.06	59%	89.1	79.2%	0.54
-Merl-	14	19	10	0.74	50%	82.5	62.5%	0.38
taben	13	18	6	0.72	31%	75.0	79.2%	0.38
-MagiiC	11	21	8	0.52	55%	59.6	83.3%	0.32
CT SIDE
HexT	26	18	5	1.44	58%	115.9	75.0%	0.71
-_BR0	20	17	2	1.18	50%	79.1	75.0%	0.54
nitr0	18	15	9	1.20	39%	92.5	79.2%	0.55
jeorge	15	17	11	0.88	33%	99.4	70.8%	0.44
oSee	11	11	7	1.00	36%	58.0	75.0%	0.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
lost666	10	9	3	50%	89.3	76.9%	0.54
Evancaw	11	8	3	55%	104.7	76.9%	0.63
-Merl-	7	11	4	57%	71.3	53.8%	0.32
taben	5	10	4	20%	49.6	69.2%	0.22
-MagiiC	5	12	4	60%	66.2	76.9%	0.28
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
HexT	11	9	3	45%	98.6	76.9%	0.58
-_BR0	13	8	1	46%	100.2	76.9%	0.68
nitr0	10	8	2	20%	77.4	76.9%	0.5
jeorge	9	8	6	56%	104.2	69.2%	0.54
oSee	6	6	3	50%	57.2	76.9%	0.42

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
lost666	12	8	2	50%	101.3	100.0%	0.75
Evancaw	6	8	2	67%	70.6	81.8%	0.44
-Merl-	7	8	6	43%	95.7	72.7%	0.46
taben	8	8	2	38%	105.0	90.9%	0.55
-MagiiC	6	9	4	50%	51.8	90.9%	0.38
2ND HALF — T SIDE
HexT	15	9	2	67%	136.3	72.7%	0.85
-_BR0	7	9	1	57%	54.2	72.7%	0.39
nitr0	8	7	7	62%	110.5	81.8%	0.6
jeorge	6	9	5	0%	93.8	72.7%	0.32
oSee	5	5	4	20%	59.0	72.7%	0.37

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ HexT t1	26	18	5	1.44	58%	115.9	75.0%	24
lost666 t2	22	17	5	1.29	50%	94.8	87.5%	24
-_BR0 t1	20	17	2	1.18	50%	79.1	75.0%	24
nitr0 t1	18	15	9	1.20	39%	92.5	79.2%	24
Evancaw t2	17	16	5	1.06	59%	89.1	79.2%	24
jeorge t1	15	17	11	0.88	33%	99.4	70.8%	24
-Merl- t2	14	19	10	0.74	50%	82.5	62.5%	24
taben t2	13	18	6	0.72	31%	75.0	79.2%	24
-MagiiC t2	11	21	8	0.52	55%	59.6	83.3%	24
oSee t1	11	11	7	1.00	36%	58.0	75.0%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

HexT

26 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

HexT

58% HS

26K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ lost666	22	17	5	1.29	50%	94.8	87.5%	0.64
Evancaw	17	16	5	1.06	59%	89.1	79.2%	0.54
-Merl-	14	19	10	0.74	50%	82.5	62.5%	0.38
taben	13	18	6	0.72	31%	75.0	79.2%	0.38
-MagiiC	11	21	8	0.52	55%	59.6	83.3%	0.32
HexT	26	18	5	1.44	58%	115.9	75.0%	0.71
-_BR0	20	17	2	1.18	50%	79.1	75.0%	0.54
nitr0	18	15	9	1.20	39%	92.5	79.2%	0.55
jeorge	15	17	11	0.88	33%	99.4	70.8%	0.44
oSee	11	11	7	1.00	36%	58.0	75.0%	0.4

anubis 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4350 | CT $4600

Round 3

T $19800 | CT $1200

Round 4

T $23400 | CT $23500

Round 5

T $25700 | CT $24200

Round 6

T $15300 | CT $27000

Round 7

T $25700 | CT $9750

Round 8

T $16900 | CT $28900

Round 9

T $26550 | CT $19500

Round 10

T $9100 | CT $31200

Round 11

T $27850 | CT $24900

Round 12

T $14650 | CT $28550

Round 13

T $13800 | CT $31450

Round 14

T $4350 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $18800 | CT $10700

Round 16

T $21550 | CT $2150

Round 17

T $18950 | CT $28650

Round 18

T $1500 | CT $29850

Round 19

T $21800 | CT $30850

Round 20

T $10350 | CT $31350

Round 21

T $25700 | CT $29700

Round 22

T $27850 | CT $18150

Round 23

T $27950 | CT $8250

Round 24

T $27950 | CT $25350

NRG Eco Rating: 19.7

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

2/2 W (100%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$18046

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

73%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 53%

Headshot% 47%

Chill Guys Eco Rating: 11.8

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$19888

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

64%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 54.3% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

30.8% vs 50.0%

Rating 30d

1.3 vs 1.52

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

61.5% vs 50.0%

T WR 90d

61.2% vs 75.0%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.32 vs —

Elo Δ -262

Elo Win% 18.1%

NRG Eco Rating: 19.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

53%

Opening K/Rd

73%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 59

Chill Guys Eco Rating: 11.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

64%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 63

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 54.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

NRG

2 – 0

Chill Guys

Recent Meetings

NRG 1 – 0 Chill Guys Jan 2025 Chill Guys 0 – 1 NRG Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4600

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19800 | CT $1200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23400 | CT $23500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25700 | CT $24200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $15300 | CT $27000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25700 | CT $9750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $16900 | CT $28900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26550 | CT $19500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $9100 | CT $31200

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $24900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $14650 | CT $28550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $13800 | CT $31450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18800 | CT $10700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $21550 | CT $2150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $18950 | CT $28650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $1500 | CT $29850

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $21800 | CT $30850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $10350 | CT $31350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25700 | CT $29700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $18150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $8250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $27950 | CT $25350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted