InControl vs Aetheris — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 25 Jan 2025 19:24 UTC

InControl

Elo 1482

0 – 1

Winner: Aetheris

Aetheris

Elo 1462

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 51% CONF WRONG

InControl 51.0% 49.0% Aetheris

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

noto-

kills

ADR 106.7

Top Assist

RuIik

assists

4 flash

Best ADR

noto-

106.7

avg dmg/rd

23K 14D

Best KAST

karv3r

87.0%

KAST

20K 10D

Most HS

noto-

headshots

61% HS rate

Best K/D

karv3r

2.00

K/D ratio

20K 10D

ancient

9 – 13

5ct|4tvs6ct|7t

Aetheris WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
noto-	23	14	7	1.64	61%	106.7	82.6%	0.73
karv3r	20	10	4	2.00	70%	94.4	87.0%	0.72
RuIik	18	15	8	1.20	33%	101.1	78.3%	0.55
s1renaa	18	12	6	1.50	44%	92.0	82.6%	0.61
xsany272	9	14	4	0.64	44%	55.2	69.6%	0.32
CT SIDE
1TyRa	17	18	0	0.94	65%	76.7	56.5%	0.45
---Beast	13	18	6	0.72	54%	67.1	60.9%	0.35
DYLAN-	13	18	4	0.72	38%	73.3	60.9%	0.34
jsfeltner	12	19	7	0.63	50%	76.7	60.9%	0.33
milo	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.3	56.5%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
noto-	17	9	4	53%	123.1	84.6%	0.86
karv3r	13	5	0	77%	104.1	84.6%	0.82
RuIik	8	9	6	50%	95.4	76.9%	0.48
s1renaa	8	7	4	25%	75.8	84.6%	0.48
xsany272	4	9	3	50%	52.6	61.5%	0.24
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
1TyRa	10	10	0	60%	87.5	69.2%	0.51
---Beast	5	10	4	60%	71.2	76.9%	0.33
DYLAN-	9	10	1	33%	74.3	61.5%	0.4
jsfeltner	7	11	3	71%	82.3	53.8%	0.35
milo	8	9	2	25%	71.8	61.5%	0.37

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
noto-	6	5	3	83%	85.5	80.0%	0.57
karv3r	7	5	4	57%	81.9	90.0%	0.6
RuIik	10	6	2	20%	108.6	80.0%	0.66
s1renaa	10	5	2	60%	113.0	80.0%	0.76
xsany272	5	5	1	40%	58.5	80.0%	0.42
2ND HALF — T SIDE
1TyRa	7	8	0	71%	62.6	40.0%	0.38
---Beast	8	8	2	50%	61.9	40.0%	0.39
DYLAN-	4	8	3	50%	71.9	60.0%	0.27
jsfeltner	5	8	4	20%	69.4	70.0%	0.29
milo	3	7	3	33%	52.4	50.0%	0.18

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ noto- t2	23	14	7	1.64	61%	106.7	82.6%	23
karv3r t2	20	10	4	2.00	70%	94.4	87.0%	23
RuIik t2	18	15	8	1.20	33%	101.1	78.3%	23
s1renaa t2	18	12	6	1.50	44%	92.0	82.6%	23
1TyRa t1	17	18	0	0.94	65%	76.7	56.5%	23
---Beast t1	13	18	6	0.72	54%	67.1	60.9%	23
DYLAN- t1	13	18	4	0.72	38%	73.3	60.9%	23
jsfeltner t1	12	19	7	0.63	50%	76.7	60.9%	23
milo t1	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.3	56.5%	23
xsany272 t2	9	14	4	0.64	44%	55.2	69.6%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

noto-

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

noto-

61% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ noto-	23	14	7	1.64	61%	106.7	82.6%	0.73
karv3r	20	10	4	2.00	70%	94.4	87.0%	0.72
RuIik	18	15	8	1.20	33%	101.1	78.3%	0.55
s1renaa	18	12	6	1.50	44%	92.0	82.6%	0.61
xsany272	9	14	4	0.64	44%	55.2	69.6%	0.32
1TyRa	17	18	0	0.94	65%	76.7	56.5%	0.45
---Beast	13	18	6	0.72	54%	67.1	60.9%	0.35
DYLAN-	13	18	4	0.72	38%	73.3	60.9%	0.34
jsfeltner	12	19	7	0.63	50%	76.7	60.9%	0.33
milo	11	16	5	0.69	27%	63.3	56.5%	0.28

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4100

Round 3

T $2250 | CT $18750

Round 4

T $20800 | CT $23450

Round 5

T $11500 | CT $29000

Round 6

T $25600 | CT $22700

Round 7

T $25800 | CT $1000

Round 8

T $25800 | CT $22900

Round 9

T $27950 | CT $5650

Round 10

T $27650 | CT $27700

Round 11

T $27350 | CT $29050

Round 12

T $25200 | CT $19600

Round 13

T $28350 | CT $29650

Round 14

T $4350 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $18750 | CT $1200

Round 16

T $22850 | CT $23650

Round 17

T $20600 | CT $26750

Round 18

T $1100 | CT $27600

Round 19

T $22300 | CT $28800

Round 20

T $15050 | CT $28700

Round 21

T $16500 | CT $31750

Round 22

T $25600 | CT $29850

Round 23

T $23850 | CT $26350

Aetheris Eco Rating: 6.8

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

15 rounds

Avg Equip

$20246

Util Dmg

7.00

0.3/rd

Opening K

57%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 48%

InControl Eco Rating: 19.2

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$18550

Util Dmg

5.00

0.3/rd

Opening K

71%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 29%

Headshot% 52%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 52.4% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

44.4% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

54.5% vs 50.0%

Rating 30d

0.97 vs 0.86

Form Slope

↑0.100 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

47.0% vs 37.2%

T WR 90d

44.8% vs 37.5%

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.35 vs —

Elo Δ +75

Elo Win% 60.7%

Aetheris Eco Rating: 6.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

48%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

57%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 56

InControl Eco Rating: 19.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

52%

Trade Rate

29%

Opening K/Rd

71%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 56

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 52.4% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

InControl

0 – 2

Aetheris

Recent Meetings

InControl 0 – 1 Aetheris Jan 2025 Aetheris 1 – 0 InControl Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4100

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $2250 | CT $18750

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $20800 | CT $23450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $11500 | CT $29000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25600 | CT $22700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25800 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25800 | CT $22900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $5650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $27700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $29050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $19600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $29650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18750 | CT $1200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22850 | CT $23650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $20600 | CT $26750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $1100 | CT $27600

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $22300 | CT $28800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $15050 | CT $28700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $16500 | CT $31750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $29850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $23850 | CT $26350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy