Chill Guys vs Nouns — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 28 Jan 2025 22:54 UTC

Chill Guys

Elo 1493

1 – 0

Winner: Chill Guys

Nouns

Elo 1444

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF WRONG

Chill Guys 42.5% 57.5% Nouns

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Peeping

kills

ADR 108.0

Top Assist

RUSH

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

Peeping

108.0

avg dmg/rd

18K 13D

Best KAST

taben

89.5%

KAST

16K 8D

Most HS

lost666

headshots

76% HS rate

Best K/D

taben

2.00

K/D ratio

16K 8D

dust2

13 – 5

6ct|7tvs5ct|?t

Chill Guys WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Peeping	18	13	6	1.38	39%	108.0	78.9%	0.64
cJ-dA-K1nG	13	15	4	0.87	62%	82.4	78.9%	0.48
Cryptic	10	16	3	0.62	40%	57.4	68.4%	0.3
1junior	9	15	2	0.60	11%	69.0	68.4%	0.27
RUSH	4	16	7	0.25	75%	40.8	52.6%	0.15
CT SIDE
-MagiiC	18	11	4	1.64	61%	101.5	84.2%	0.71
lost666	17	12	5	1.42	76%	101.6	84.2%	0.69
taben	16	8	6	2.00	38%	101.3	89.5%	0.69
Evancaw	12	13	5	0.92	58%	69.0	89.5%	0.49
-Merl-	12	10	6	1.20	50%	79.5	84.2%	0.53

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Peeping	7	6	1	14%	91.1	71.4%	0.53
cJ-dA-K1nG	6	7	1	83%	108.4	57.1%	0.52
Cryptic	2	6	2	0%	40.1	42.9%	0.04
1junior	1	7	2	0%	40.0	57.1%	-0.03
RUSH	0	7	2	0%	19.3	42.9%	-0.16
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
-MagiiC	9	4	2	33%	135.4	100.0%	0.91
lost666	5	4	1	40%	67.0	71.4%	0.49
taben	9	3	2	33%	162.6	100.0%	0.99
Evancaw	6	3	1	33%	69.3	100.0%	0.66
-Merl-	4	2	4	50%	80.3	100.0%	0.62

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Peeping	11	7	5	55%	117.8	83.3%	0.7
cJ-dA-K1nG	7	8	3	43%	67.2	91.7%	0.46
Cryptic	8	10	1	50%	67.5	83.3%	0.43
1junior	8	8	0	12%	85.9	75.0%	0.43
RUSH	4	9	5	75%	53.4	58.3%	0.26
2ND HALF — T SIDE
-MagiiC	9	7	2	89%	81.8	75.0%	0.61
lost666	12	8	4	92%	121.8	91.7%	0.8
taben	7	5	4	43%	65.5	83.3%	0.51
Evancaw	6	10	4	83%	68.8	83.3%	0.41
-Merl-	8	8	2	50%	79.1	75.0%	0.48

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Peeping t1	18	13	6	1.38	39%	108.0	78.9%	19
-MagiiC t2	18	11	4	1.64	61%	101.5	84.2%	19
lost666 t2	17	12	5	1.42	76%	101.6	84.2%	19
taben t2	16	8	6	2.00	38%	101.3	89.5%	19
cJ-dA-K1nG t1	13	15	4	0.87	62%	82.4	78.9%	19
Evancaw t2	12	13	5	0.92	58%	69.0	89.5%	19
-Merl- t2	12	10	6	1.20	50%	79.5	84.2%	19
Cryptic t1	10	16	3	0.62	40%	57.4	68.4%	19
1junior t1	9	15	2	0.60	11%	69.0	68.4%	19
RUSH t1	4	16	7	0.25	75%	40.8	52.6%	19

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Peeping

18 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Peeping

39% HS

18K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Peeping	18	13	6	1.38	39%	108.0	78.9%	0.64
cJ-dA-K1nG	13	15	4	0.87	62%	82.4	78.9%	0.48
Cryptic	10	16	3	0.62	40%	57.4	68.4%	0.3
1junior	9	15	2	0.60	11%	69.0	68.4%	0.27
RUSH	4	16	7	0.25	75%	40.8	52.6%	0.15
-MagiiC	18	11	4	1.64	61%	101.5	84.2%	0.71
lost666	17	12	5	1.42	76%	101.6	84.2%	0.69
taben	16	8	6	2.00	38%	101.3	89.5%	0.69
Evancaw	12	13	5	0.92	58%	69.0	89.5%	0.49
-Merl-	12	10	6	1.20	50%	79.5	84.2%	0.53

dust2 19 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $19400 | CT $11500

Round 4

T $23500 | CT $10500

Round 5

T $23300 | CT $26600

Round 6

T $26450 | CT $28350

Round 7

T $27450 | CT $7500

Round 8

T $27350 | CT $24350

Round 9

T $19300 | CT $30250

Round 10

T $3300 | CT $31700

Round 11

T $26750 | CT $33250

Round 12

T $22000 | CT $32800

Round 13

T $25800 | CT $24400

Round 14

T $4200 | CT $4400

Round 15

T $13200 | CT $21550

Round 16

T $5450 | CT $26850

Round 17

T $6750 | CT $29450

Round 18

T $25850 | CT $31450

Round 19

T $19700 | CT $31450

Chill Guys Eco Rating: 11.4

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

8 rounds

Avg Equip

$17221

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

14%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 52%

Headshot% 64%

Nouns Eco Rating: 7.2

Eco rounds

1/3 W (33%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$21784

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

100%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 35%

Headshot% 39%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 45.9% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

40.0% vs 52.9%

Rating 30d

1.16 vs 1.27

Form Slope

↓-0.100 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

36.4% vs 53.2%

T WR 90d

67.8% vs 55.9%

Pool Depth

1.0 vs 5.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 4.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.46 vs 0.55

Elo Δ -12

Elo Win% 48.4%

Chill Guys Eco Rating: 11.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

64%

Trade Rate

52%

Opening K/Rd

14%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 39

Nouns Eco Rating: 7.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

39%

Trade Rate

35%

Opening K/Rd

100%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 54

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 45.9% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Chill Guys

2 – 0

Nouns

Recent Meetings

Chill Guys 1 – 0 Nouns Jan 2025 Nouns 0 – 1 Chill Guys Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 19 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19400 | CT $11500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $10500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23300 | CT $26600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $26450 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $7500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $24350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $19300 | CT $30250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $3300 | CT $31700

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $33250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $22000 | CT $32800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25800 | CT $24400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4400

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $13200 | CT $21550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $5450 | CT $26850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $6750 | CT $29450

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25850 | CT $31450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $19700 | CT $31450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy