NRG vs Vagrants — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 29 Jan 2025 03:28 UTC

NRG

Elo 1660

0 – 1

Winner: Vagrants

Vagrants

Elo 1469

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 70% CONF CORRECT

NRG 29.6% 70.4% Vagrants

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

1Sandman

kills

ADR 105.5

Top Assist

mason

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

1Sandman

105.5

avg dmg/rd

22K 12D

Best KAST

mason

90.9%

KAST

20K 12D

Most HS

1Sandman

headshots

59% HS rate

Best K/D

1Sandman

1.83

K/D ratio

22K 12D

anubis

8 – 13

3ct|5tvs7ct|6t

Vagrants WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
1Sandman	22	12	5	1.83	59%	105.5	81.8%	0.74
mason	20	12	7	1.67	50%	103.0	90.9%	0.7
1Cyrix	19	13	5	1.46	21%	93.1	90.9%	0.61
brett	16	13	5	1.23	56%	84.9	81.8%	0.57
Seb	10	12	7	0.83	50%	62.2	81.8%	0.41
CT SIDE
jeorge	17	16	7	1.06	53%	91.4	72.7%	0.53
nitr0	15	18	4	0.83	47%	76.1	77.3%	0.44
oSee	12	18	6	0.67	25%	81.0	68.2%	0.33
-_BR0	10	17	4	0.59	30%	46.9	54.5%	0.22
HexT	8	18	7	0.44	62%	71.8	63.6%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
1Sandman	11	6	2	45%	123.5	80.0%	0.77
mason	8	5	3	62%	91.2	90.0%	0.66
1Cyrix	10	4	2	10%	104.7	100.0%	0.75
brett	7	6	3	29%	79.6	70.0%	0.47
Seb	3	4	2	67%	39.7	100.0%	0.43
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
jeorge	5	7	1	40%	55.9	60.0%	0.31
nitr0	6	8	2	17%	63.5	80.0%	0.35
oSee	4	9	3	0%	81.4	60.0%	0.18
-_BR0	7	7	2	29%	65.1	60.0%	0.4
HexT	3	8	2	33%	63.1	50.0%	0.16

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
1Sandman	11	6	3	73%	90.5	83.3%	0.72
mason	12	7	4	42%	112.8	91.7%	0.74
1Cyrix	9	9	3	33%	83.5	83.3%	0.5
brett	9	7	2	78%	89.2	91.7%	0.64
Seb	7	8	5	43%	80.9	66.7%	0.42
2ND HALF — T SIDE
jeorge	12	9	6	58%	121.0	83.3%	0.7
nitr0	9	10	2	67%	86.7	75.0%	0.51
oSee	8	9	3	38%	80.7	75.0%	0.44
-_BR0	3	10	2	33%	31.8	50.0%	0.08
HexT	5	10	5	80%	79.1	75.0%	0.36

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ 1Sandman t1	22	12	5	1.83	59%	105.5	81.8%	22
mason t1	20	12	7	1.67	50%	103.0	90.9%	22
1Cyrix t1	19	13	5	1.46	21%	93.1	90.9%	22
jeorge t2	17	16	7	1.06	53%	91.4	72.7%	22
brett t1	16	13	5	1.23	56%	84.9	81.8%	22
nitr0 t2	15	18	4	0.83	47%	76.1	77.3%	22
oSee t2	12	18	6	0.67	25%	81.0	68.2%	22
Seb t1	10	12	7	0.83	50%	62.2	81.8%	22
-_BR0 t2	10	17	4	0.59	30%	46.9	54.5%	22
HexT t2	8	18	7	0.44	62%	71.8	63.6%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

1Sandman

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

1Sandman

59% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ 1Sandman	22	12	5	1.83	59%	105.5	81.8%	0.74
mason	20	12	7	1.67	50%	103.0	90.9%	0.7
1Cyrix	19	13	5	1.46	21%	93.1	90.9%	0.61
brett	16	13	5	1.23	56%	84.9	81.8%	0.57
Seb	10	12	7	0.83	50%	62.2	81.8%	0.41
jeorge	17	16	7	1.06	53%	91.4	72.7%	0.53
nitr0	15	18	4	0.83	47%	76.1	77.3%	0.44
oSee	12	18	6	0.67	25%	81.0	68.2%	0.33
-_BR0	10	17	4	0.59	30%	46.9	54.5%	0.22
HexT	8	18	7	0.44	62%	71.8	63.6%	0.28

anubis 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4550 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $1500 | CT $20100

Round 4

T $22100 | CT $23200

Round 5

T $11050 | CT $30350

Round 6

T $25300 | CT $30250

Round 7

T $21850 | CT $25550

Round 8

T $10050 | CT $27300

Round 9

T $25000 | CT $30050

Round 10

T $27350 | CT $3900

Round 11

T $27250 | CT $30200

Round 12

T $27550 | CT $30500

Round 13

T $25050 | CT $30550

Round 14

T $4400 | CT $3750

Round 15

T $19950 | CT $1000

Round 16

T $20250 | CT $23000

Round 17

T $25900 | CT $5850

Round 18

T $25600 | CT $26850

Round 19

T $27650 | CT $24850

Round 20

T $27650 | CT $25700

Round 21

T $27250 | CT $28050

Round 22

T $24650 | CT $30200

NRG Eco Rating: 6.9

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$19780

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

72%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 40%

Headshot% 44%

Vagrants Eco Rating: 8.5

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

15 rounds

Avg Equip

$20839

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

48%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 49%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 50.2% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

36.8% vs 60.0%

Rating 30d

1.17 vs 1.08

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.200

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

58.2% vs 48.4%

T WR 90d

60.3% vs 41.3%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.42 vs 0.85

Elo Δ -242

Elo Win% 19.9%

NRG Eco Rating: 6.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

44%

Trade Rate

40%

Opening K/Rd

72%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 56

Vagrants Eco Rating: 8.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

49%

Opening K/Rd

48%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 52

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 50.2% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

NRG

1 – 1

Vagrants

Recent Meetings

Vagrants 0 – 1 NRG Jan 2025 NRG 0 – 1 Vagrants Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4550 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $20100

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $22100 | CT $23200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $11050 | CT $30350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $30250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $21850 | CT $25550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $10050 | CT $27300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25000 | CT $30050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $3900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $30200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $30500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25050 | CT $30550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $3750

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19950 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20250 | CT $23000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25900 | CT $5850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $26850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $24850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $25700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27250 | CT $28050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $24650 | CT $30200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted