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ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3
FINAL 29 Jan 2025 03:28 UTC
Marsborne
Marsborne
US
Elo 1471
1 – 0
Winner: Marsborne
BA
Bad News Capybaras
Elo 1528
CS2
CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP
AUC 0.702 52% CONF CORRECT
Marsborne 52.1% 47.9% Bad News Capybaras
Why this prediction?
+100.0 Elo advantage
+84.2 Elo implied probability
+75.5 Elo win probability
−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge
−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff
+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1
+29.3 Days since last match (T1)
+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)
+25.2 Elo (T1)
+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)
dust2
13 – 8
5|8vs4|4
Marsborne
Match Highlights Demo parsed
Top Performers
Top Fragger
motm
20
kills
ADR 95.7
Top Assist
minus
9
assists
3 flash
Best ADR
minus
99.9
avg dmg/rd
17K 19D
Best KAST
motm
77.3%
KAST
20K 15D
Most HS
motm
11
headshots
55% HS rate
Best K/D
Chop
1.46
K/D ratio
19K 13D
de_dust2
dust2
13 – 8
Marsborne WON
Round Timeline
CT win T win
HT
Round — Player Stats
Player K D A HS ADR KAST
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
T SIDE
motm
 20 15 7 1.33 55% 95.7 77.3% 0.62
Chop
 19 13 6 1.46 58% 93.3 68.2% 0.61
minus
 17 19 9 0.89 53% 99.9 63.6% 0.48
WolfY
 13 11 6 1.18 38% 76.0 77.3% 0.48
BeaKiew0w
 7 12 8 0.58 71% 54.0 63.6% 0.33
CT SIDE
GraveKevin
 19 15 5 1.27 26% 97.8 68.2% 0.54
cbass
 18 15 2 1.20 61% 89.7 77.3% 0.58
jchancE
 14 17 4 0.82 29% 77.4 63.6% 0.37
LaffyTs
 10 14 2 0.71 60% 58.3 54.5% 0.33
Gabe
 9 15 6 0.60 56% 69.5 63.6% 0.33
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
motm
 14 8 3 50% 109.8 84.6% 0.75
Chop
 13 8 6 69% 126.5 76.9% 0.75
minus
 10 12 5 50% 88.4 53.8% 0.41
WolfY
 7 6 3 29% 64.0 76.9% 0.44
BeaKiew0w
 2 9 5 100% 41.0 61.5% 0.23
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
GraveKevin
 12 9 2 17% 94.8 69.2% 0.55
cbass
 11 9 2 55% 95.3 69.2% 0.57
jchancE
 8 11 3 25% 75.9 69.2% 0.35
LaffyTs
 8 8 0 62% 72.6 53.8% 0.43
Gabe
 4 9 5 75% 65.0 69.2% 0.31
Player K D A HS% ADR KAST% Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
motm
 6 7 4 67% 75.4 66.7% 0.45
Chop
 6 5 0 33% 45.4 55.6% 0.39
minus
 7 7 4 57% 116.4 77.8% 0.57
WolfY
 6 5 3 50% 93.4 77.8% 0.54
BeaKiew0w
 5 3 3 60% 72.8 66.7% 0.52
2ND HALF — T SIDE
GraveKevin
 7 6 3 43% 102.1 66.7% 0.53
cbass
 7 6 0 71% 81.6 88.9% 0.6
jchancE
 6 6 1 33% 79.4 55.6% 0.41
LaffyTs
 2 6 2 50% 37.6 55.6% 0.17
Gabe
 5 6 1 40% 75.9 55.6% 0.36
Highlights available for subscribers Sign in
Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Rds
⭐ motm t2
20 15 7 1.33 55% 95.7 77.3% 22
Chop t2
19 13 6 1.46 58% 93.3 68.2% 22
GraveKevin t1
19 15 5 1.27 26% 97.8 68.2% 22
cbass t1
18 15 2 1.20 61% 89.7 77.3% 22
minus t2
17 19 9 0.89 53% 99.9 63.6% 22
jchancE t1
14 17 4 0.82 29% 77.4 63.6% 22
WolfY t2
13 11 6 1.18 38% 76.0 77.3% 22
LaffyTs t1
10 14 2 0.71 60% 58.3 54.5% 22
Gabe t1
9 15 6 0.60 56% 69.5 63.6% 22
BeaKiew0w t2
7 12 8 0.58 71% 54.0 63.6% 22
Player Awards
🔫
Top Fragger
motm
20 kills
🎯
Headshot Machine
motm
55% HS
20K
Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills
de_dust2 dust2 10 players
Player K D A K/D HS% ADR KAST% Impact
⭐
motm
20 15 7 1.33 55% 95.7 77.3% 0.62
Chop
19 13 6 1.46 58% 93.3 68.2% 0.61
minus
17 19 9 0.89 53% 99.9 63.6% 0.48
WolfY
13 11 6 1.18 38% 76.0 77.3% 0.48
BeaKiew0w
7 12 8 0.58 71% 54.0 63.6% 0.33
GraveKevin
19 15 5 1.27 26% 97.8 68.2% 0.54
cbass
18 15 2 1.20 61% 89.7 77.3% 0.58
jchancE
14 17 4 0.82 29% 77.4 63.6% 0.37
LaffyTs
10 14 2 0.71 60% 58.3 54.5% 0.33
Gabe
9 15 6 0.60 56% 69.5 63.6% 0.33
de_dust2 dust2 22 rounds
■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1
T $3250 | CT $3250
Round 2
T $4200 | CT $4200
Round 3
T $1500 | CT $19800
Round 4
T $25400 | CT $24000
Round 5
T $25300 | CT $25300
Round 6
T $27350 | CT $5200
Round 7
T $26850 | CT $23750
Round 8
T $27350 | CT $5400
Round 9
T $27850 | CT $27600
Round 10
T $27350 | CT $9400
Round 11
T $26350 | CT $30950
Round 12
T $22900 | CT $33200
Round 13
T $24350 | CT $27150
Round 14
T $4200 | CT $4400
Round 15
T $4100 | CT $18300
HT
Round 16
T $23100 | CT $27350
Round 17
T $22550 | CT $13250
Round 18
T $23450 | CT $1400
Round 19
T $23850 | CT $22150
Round 20
T $27650 | CT $27550
Round 21
T $25400 | CT $30150
Round 22
T $27950 | CT $28250
Marsborne Eco Rating: 5.2
Eco rounds
0/5 W (0%)
Full buy
17 rounds
Avg Equip
$20557
Util Dmg
2.00
0.1/rd
Opening K
15
68%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 25%
Headshot% 52%
2K
2
3K
4
4K
1
5K
10
Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 15.3
Eco rounds
3/4 W (75%)
Force buy
1/3 W (33%)
Full buy
11 rounds
Avg Equip
$18727
Util Dmg
3.00
0.2/rd
Opening K
8
44%/rd
Trade Kill Rate 35%
Headshot% 45%
2K
5
3K
1
4K
3
5K
9
Marsborne Eco Rating: 5.2
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
0%
Force Win%
0%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
52%
Trade Rate
25%
Opening K/Rd
68%
Util Dmg/Rd
0.1
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
2
3K
4
4K
1
5K
10
Multi-Kill Score: 53
Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 15.3
Economy Mastery
Eco Win%
75%
Force Win%
33%
Kill Quality
Headshot%
45%
Trade Rate
35%
Opening K/Rd
44%
Util Dmg/Rd
0.2
Multi-Kill Rounds
2K
5
3K
1
4K
3
5K
9
Multi-Kill Score: 52
Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Marsborne
1 – 1
Bad News Capybaras
Recent Meetings
Bad News Capybaras 1 – 0 Marsborne Jan 2025 Marsborne 1 – 0 Bad News Capybaras Jan 2025
Player Performance
DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact
Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15  |  KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round  |  Source: awpy + demoparser2
de_dust2 dust2 22 rounds
■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed
Round 1 1 — 1st half
T $3250 | CT $3250
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 2 2 — 1st half
T $4200 | CT $4200
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 3 3 — 1st half
T $1500 | CT $19800
T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 4 4 — 1st half
T $25400 | CT $24000
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 5 5 — 1st half
T $25300 | CT $25300
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 6 6 — 1st half
T $27350 | CT $5200
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted
Round 7 7 — 1st half
T $26850 | CT $23750
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 8 8 — 1st half
T $27350 | CT $5400
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy
Round 9 9 — 1st half
T $27850 | CT $27600
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 10 10 — 1st half
T $27350 | CT $9400
T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy
Round 11 11 — 1st half
T $26350 | CT $30950
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy
Round 12 12 — 1st half
T $22900 | CT $33200
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 13 13 — 1st half
T $24350 | CT $27150
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 14 14 — 1st half
T $4200 | CT $4400
T buy: eco CT buy: eco
Round 15 15 — 1st half
T $4100 | CT $18300
T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
HT
Round 16 16 — 2nd half
T $23100 | CT $27350
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 17 17 — 2nd half
T $22550 | CT $13250
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted
Round 18 18 — 2nd half
T $23450 | CT $1400
T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted
Round 19 19 — 2nd half
T $23850 | CT $22150
T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy
Round 20 20 — 2nd half
T $27650 | CT $27550
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 21 21 — 2nd half
T $25400 | CT $30150
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted
Round 22 22 — 2nd half
T $27950 | CT $28250
T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted