Bad News Capybaras vs Party Astronauts

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 04 Apr 2025 21:38 UTC

Bad News Capybaras

Elo 1528

1 – 0

Winner: Bad News Capybaras

Party Astronauts

Elo 1485

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF CORRECT

Bad News Capybaras 53.5% 46.5% Party Astronauts

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

mdsz

kills

ADR 95.6

Top Assist

jchancE

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

jchancE

113.0

avg dmg/rd

19K 17D

Best KAST

GraveKevin

91.3%

KAST

17K 13D

Most HS

cbass

headshots

71% HS rate

Best K/D

cbass

1.75

K/D ratio

21K 12D

dust2

13 – 9

8ct|5tvs5ct|4t

Bad News Capybaras WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
mdsz	21	16	5	1.31	57%	95.6	69.6%	0.61
cbass	21	12	5	1.75	71%	102.3	87.0%	0.73
jchancE	19	17	10	1.12	26%	113.0	87.0%	0.58
GraveKevin	17	13	7	1.31	53%	93.8	91.3%	0.61
Gabe	16	14	4	1.14	56%	78.6	78.3%	0.53
CT SIDE
ogwizard	21	16	6	1.31	52%	109.1	82.6%	0.65
sacrificeee	15	22	6	0.68	60%	84.5	65.2%	0.39
d4rty	13	20	3	0.65	62%	68.5	82.6%	0.4
ben1337	13	18	6	0.72	62%	70.4	73.9%	0.4
xsany272	11	20	5	0.55	73%	58.5	69.6%	0.33

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
mdsz	9	9	2	67%	81.4	54.5%	0.48
cbass	14	6	2	86%	141.8	90.9%	0.98
jchancE	6	8	3	17%	62.0	81.8%	0.35
GraveKevin	11	7	2	55%	110.2	100.0%	0.76
Gabe	6	8	3	50%	68.1	72.7%	0.39
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
ogwizard	12	9	3	42%	129.3	72.7%	0.68
sacrificeee	8	11	4	75%	91.4	72.7%	0.46
d4rty	9	9	2	56%	92.7	72.7%	0.53
ben1337	6	9	3	67%	62.9	90.9%	0.42
xsany272	3	9	4	67%	39.1	54.5%	0.17

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
mdsz	12	7	3	50%	108.7	83.3%	0.72
cbass	7	6	3	43%	66.2	83.3%	0.48
jchancE	13	9	7	31%	159.8	91.7%	0.78
GraveKevin	6	6	5	50%	78.8	83.3%	0.48
Gabe	10	6	1	60%	88.2	83.3%	0.66
2ND HALF — T SIDE
ogwizard	9	7	3	67%	90.7	91.7%	0.63
sacrificeee	7	11	2	43%	78.2	58.3%	0.32
d4rty	4	11	1	75%	46.3	91.7%	0.29
ben1337	7	9	3	57%	77.2	58.3%	0.38
xsany272	8	11	1	75%	76.3	83.3%	0.46

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ mdsz t1	21	16	5	1.31	57%	95.6	69.6%	23
cbass t1	21	12	5	1.75	71%	102.3	87.0%	23
ogwizard t2	21	16	6	1.31	52%	109.1	82.6%	23
jchancE t1	19	17	10	1.12	26%	113.0	87.0%	23
GraveKevin t1	17	13	7	1.31	53%	93.8	91.3%	23
Gabe t1	16	14	4	1.14	56%	78.6	78.3%	23
sacrificeee t2	15	22	6	0.68	60%	84.5	65.2%	23
d4rty t2	13	20	3	0.65	62%	68.5	82.6%	23
ben1337 t2	13	18	6	0.72	62%	70.4	73.9%	23
xsany272 t2	11	20	5	0.55	73%	58.5	69.6%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

mdsz

21 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

mdsz

57% HS

21K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ mdsz	21	16	5	1.31	57%	95.6	69.6%	0.61
cbass	21	12	5	1.75	71%	102.3	87.0%	0.73
jchancE	19	17	10	1.12	26%	113.0	87.0%	0.58
GraveKevin	17	13	7	1.31	53%	93.8	91.3%	0.61
Gabe	16	14	4	1.14	56%	78.6	78.3%	0.53
ogwizard	21	16	6	1.31	52%	109.1	82.6%	0.65
sacrificeee	15	22	6	0.68	60%	84.5	65.2%	0.39
d4rty	13	20	3	0.65	62%	68.5	82.6%	0.4
ben1337	13	18	6	0.72	62%	70.4	73.9%	0.4
xsany272	11	20	5	0.55	73%	58.5	69.6%	0.33

dust2 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4450 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $1300 | CT $20350

Round 4

T $23200 | CT $24900

Round 5

T $21200 | CT $18150

Round 6

T $24900 | CT $10600

Round 7

T $19750 | CT $27100

Round 8

T $1000 | CT $30450

Round 9

T $22900 | CT $30250

Round 10

T $27250 | CT $28550

Round 11

T $23050 | CT $27750

Round 12

T $11350 | CT $24400

Round 13

T $22050 | CT $29850

Round 14

T $4200 | CT $4700

Round 15

T $20250 | CT $10700

Round 16

T $17200 | CT $2900

Round 17

T $11500 | CT $28950

Round 18

T $4350 | CT $28650

Round 19

T $24650 | CT $30850

Round 20

T $8400 | CT $30950

Round 21

T $28900 | CT $14150

Round 22

T $28150 | CT $24650

Round 23

T $26700 | CT $8800

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 13.4

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$20224

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

80%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 41%

Headshot% 51%

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 12.5

Eco rounds

2/6 W (33%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$16520

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

44%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 48%

Headshot% 59%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 34.3% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 47.1%

WR 90d

42.9% vs 38.9%

Rating 30d

0.92 vs 1.04

Form Slope

↑0.020 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

48.7% vs 54.8%

T WR 90d

44.5% vs 53.2%

Pool Depth

— vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.54 vs 0.64

Elo Δ +153

Elo Win% 70.7%

Party Astronauts Eco Rating: 13.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

41%

Opening K/Rd

80%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 63

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 12.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

59%

Trade Rate

48%

Opening K/Rd

44%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 61

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 34.3% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Bad News Capybaras

2 – 0

Party Astronauts

Recent Meetings

Party Astronauts 0 – 1 Bad News Capybaras Apr 2025 Bad News Capybaras 1 – 0 Party Astronauts Apr 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4450 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1300 | CT $20350

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23200 | CT $24900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21200 | CT $18150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24900 | CT $10600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $19750 | CT $27100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $30450

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $22900 | CT $30250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $28550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $23050 | CT $27750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $11350 | CT $24400

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $22050 | CT $29850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4700

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $20250 | CT $10700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $17200 | CT $2900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $11500 | CT $28950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $4350 | CT $28650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $24650 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $8400 | CT $30950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $28900 | CT $14150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $28150 | CT $24650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26700 | CT $8800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted