Chill Guys vs Akimbo — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 20 Feb 2025 18:06 UTC

Chill Guys

Elo 1493

1 – 0

Winner: Chill Guys

Akimbo

Elo 1525

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF WRONG

Chill Guys 42.5% 57.5% Akimbo

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

-Merl-

kills

ADR 122.1

Top Assist

lost666

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

-Merl-

122.1

avg dmg/rd

30K 16D

Best KAST

Evancaw

95.8%

KAST

25K 17D

Most HS

-Merl-

headshots

57% HS rate

Best K/D

-Merl-

1.88

K/D ratio

30K 16D

ancient

13 – 10

6ct|7tvs4ct|6t

Chill Guys WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
laxiee-	29	21	1	1.38	52%	115.8	70.8%	0.71
consti	17	15	5	1.13	35%	81.4	75.0%	0.49
obi1337-	16	22	4	0.73	50%	81.4	83.3%	0.43
N2o	12	23	1	0.52	33%	59.3	50.0%	0.2
kmrn	11	23	8	0.48	82%	69.8	70.8%	0.32
CT SIDE
-Merl-	30	16	7	1.88	57%	122.1	87.5%	0.85
Evancaw	25	17	5	1.47	48%	91.0	95.8%	0.7
lost666	21	17	9	1.24	76%	103.4	87.5%	0.67
taben	19	19	9	1.00	42%	92.1	91.7%	0.55
-MagiiC	10	17	9	0.59	40%	62.9	70.8%	0.31

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
laxiee-	20	14	1	55%	148.4	84.6%	0.89
consti	8	9	5	75%	76.2	84.6%	0.51
obi1337-	8	12	3	62%	79.0	100.0%	0.46
N2o	9	12	1	33%	77.8	53.8%	0.34
kmrn	8	13	4	75%	87.0	84.6%	0.43
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
-Merl-	18	10	4	44%	124.2	84.6%	0.86
Evancaw	16	11	3	50%	90.5	92.3%	0.74
lost666	11	11	6	73%	105.7	84.6%	0.61
taben	11	12	6	45%	114.5	92.3%	0.57
-MagiiC	5	10	7	40%	62.2	76.9%	0.29

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
laxiee-	9	7	0	44%	77.2	54.5%	0.5
consti	9	6	0	0%	87.5	63.6%	0.49
obi1337-	8	10	1	38%	84.2	63.6%	0.4
N2o	3	11	0	33%	37.4	45.5%	0.04
kmrn	3	10	4	100%	49.5	54.5%	0.21
2ND HALF — T SIDE
-Merl-	12	6	3	75%	119.7	90.9%	0.85
Evancaw	9	6	2	44%	91.7	100.0%	0.66
lost666	10	6	3	80%	100.7	90.9%	0.74
taben	8	7	3	38%	65.5	90.9%	0.52
-MagiiC	5	7	2	40%	63.6	63.6%	0.33

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ -Merl- t1	30	16	7	1.88	57%	122.1	87.5%	24
laxiee- t2	29	21	1	1.38	52%	115.8	70.8%	24
Evancaw t1	25	17	5	1.47	48%	91.0	95.8%	24
lost666 t1	21	17	9	1.24	76%	103.4	87.5%	24
taben t1	19	19	9	1.00	42%	92.1	91.7%	24
consti t2	17	15	5	1.13	35%	81.4	75.0%	24
obi1337- t2	16	22	4	0.73	50%	81.4	83.3%	24
N2o t2	12	23	1	0.52	33%	59.3	50.0%	24
kmrn t2	11	23	8	0.48	82%	69.8	70.8%	24
-MagiiC t1	10	17	9	0.59	40%	62.9	70.8%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

-Merl-

30 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

-Merl-

57% HS

30K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ laxiee-	29	21	1	1.38	52%	115.8	70.8%	0.71
consti	17	15	5	1.13	35%	81.4	75.0%	0.49
obi1337-	16	22	4	0.73	50%	81.4	83.3%	0.43
N2o	12	23	1	0.52	33%	59.3	50.0%	0.2
kmrn	11	23	8	0.48	82%	69.8	70.8%	0.32
-Merl-	30	16	7	1.88	57%	122.1	87.5%	0.85
Evancaw	25	17	5	1.47	48%	91.0	95.8%	0.7
lost666	21	17	9	1.24	76%	103.4	87.5%	0.67
taben	19	19	9	1.00	42%	92.1	91.7%	0.55
-MagiiC	10	17	9	0.59	40%	62.9	70.8%	0.31

ancient 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4350

Round 3

T $10550 | CT $19950

Round 4

T $5050 | CT $24000

Round 5

T $24200 | CT $27350

Round 6

T $22900 | CT $29500

Round 7

T $25400 | CT $18850

Round 8

T $21750 | CT $25750

Round 9

T $23300 | CT $8450

Round 10

T $22450 | CT $2250

Round 11

T $25300 | CT $26050

Round 12

T $25200 | CT $11000

Round 13

T $17900 | CT $31550

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $20150 | CT $3100

Round 16

T $22050 | CT $20850

Round 17

T $25700 | CT $6500

Round 18

T $26700 | CT $26750

Round 19

T $25300 | CT $25150

Round 20

T $26950 | CT $30350

Round 21

T $27650 | CT $26700

Round 22

T $6100 | CT $30250

Round 23

T $23700 | CT $29000

Round 24

T $24700 | CT $18100

Akimbo Eco Rating: 11.8

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$18890

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

45%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 48%

Headshot% 45%

Chill Guys Eco Rating: 9.0

Eco rounds

1/3 W (33%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$19365

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

84%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 49%

Headshot% 57%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 45.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 69.2%

WR 90d

40.0% vs 73.3%

Rating 30d

1.19 vs 1.11

Form Slope

↓-0.010 vs ↑0.060

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

44.9% vs 46.1%

T WR 90d

62.5% vs 49.1%

Pool Depth

2.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 10.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.45 vs 0.95

Elo Δ -53

Elo Win% 42.5%

Akimbo Eco Rating: 11.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

48%

Opening K/Rd

45%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 60

Chill Guys Eco Rating: 9.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

57%

Trade Rate

49%

Opening K/Rd

84%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 72

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 45.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Chill Guys

3 – 0

Akimbo

Recent Meetings

Akimbo 0 – 1 Chill Guys Feb 2025 Chill Guys 1 – 0 Akimbo Feb 2025 Chill Guys 2 – 0 Akimbo Jan 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4350

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $10550 | CT $19950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $5050 | CT $24000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $24200 | CT $27350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22900 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $18850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $21750 | CT $25750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $23300 | CT $8450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22450 | CT $2250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $26050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $11000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $17900 | CT $31550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $20150 | CT $3100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22050 | CT $20850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25700 | CT $6500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26700 | CT $26750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $25150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $26950 | CT $30350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $26700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $6100 | CT $30250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $23700 | CT $29000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $24700 | CT $18100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted