InControl vs Bad News Capybaras

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 27 Feb 2025 22:54 UTC

InControl

Elo 1482

0 – 1

Winner: Bad News Capybaras

Bad News Capybaras

Elo 1559

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 63% CONF WRONG

InControl 63.0% 37.0% Bad News Capybaras

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

1TyRa

kills

ADR 118.7

Top Assist

cbass

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

1TyRa

118.7

avg dmg/rd

23K 16D

Best KAST

GraveKevin

82.6%

KAST

15K 14D

Most HS

1TyRa

headshots

61% HS rate

Best K/D

Gabe

1.62

K/D ratio

21K 13D

nuke

9 – 13

2ct|7tvs5ct|8t

Bad News Capybaras WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
1TyRa	23	16	6	1.44	61%	118.7	73.9%	0.7
milo	16	14	4	1.14	12%	86.8	69.6%	0.45
---Beast	13	18	6	0.72	31%	68.4	65.2%	0.33
jsfeltner	13	16	2	0.81	38%	68.0	56.5%	0.35
DYLAN-	7	18	7	0.39	57%	58.2	73.9%	0.26
CT SIDE
Gabe	21	13	2	1.62	62%	100.3	78.3%	0.68
jchancE	18	13	3	1.38	28%	78.2	60.9%	0.49
cbass	17	19	10	0.89	29%	105.1	78.3%	0.48
GraveKevin	15	14	4	1.07	53%	76.3	82.6%	0.51
LaffyTs	12	16	5	0.75	25%	68.6	60.9%	0.32

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
1TyRa	15	7	3	53%	130.5	76.9%	0.83
milo	6	6	3	17%	55.7	76.9%	0.37
---Beast	10	9	3	30%	84.2	84.6%	0.52
jsfeltner	10	6	0	20%	82.4	76.9%	0.55
DYLAN-	2	9	4	0%	48.4	76.9%	0.13
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Gabe	10	7	1	50%	86.5	76.9%	0.58
jchancE	10	6	1	20%	79.5	61.5%	0.51
cbass	6	12	4	50%	73.6	61.5%	0.27
GraveKevin	7	9	2	43%	66.4	76.9%	0.39
LaffyTs	5	10	3	40%	57.8	46.2%	0.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
1TyRa	8	9	3	75%	103.3	70.0%	0.53
milo	10	8	1	10%	127.3	60.0%	0.57
---Beast	3	9	3	33%	47.9	40.0%	0.09
jsfeltner	3	10	2	100%	49.4	30.0%	0.13
DYLAN-	5	9	3	80%	70.9	70.0%	0.36
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Gabe	11	6	1	73%	118.2	80.0%	0.8
jchancE	8	7	2	38%	76.5	60.0%	0.47
cbass	11	7	6	18%	146.0	100.0%	0.78
GraveKevin	8	5	2	62%	89.3	90.0%	0.66
LaffyTs	7	6	2	14%	82.6	80.0%	0.48

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ 1TyRa t2	23	16	6	1.44	61%	118.7	73.9%	23
Gabe t1	21	13	2	1.62	62%	100.3	78.3%	23
jchancE t1	18	13	3	1.38	28%	78.2	60.9%	23
cbass t1	17	19	10	0.89	29%	105.1	78.3%	23
milo t2	16	14	4	1.14	12%	86.8	69.6%	23
GraveKevin t1	15	14	4	1.07	53%	76.3	82.6%	23
---Beast t2	13	18	6	0.72	31%	68.4	65.2%	23
jsfeltner t2	13	16	2	0.81	38%	68.0	56.5%	23
LaffyTs t1	12	16	5	0.75	25%	68.6	60.9%	23
DYLAN- t2	7	18	7	0.39	57%	58.2	73.9%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

1TyRa

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

1TyRa

61% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ 1TyRa	23	16	6	1.44	61%	118.7	73.9%	0.7
milo	16	14	4	1.14	12%	86.8	69.6%	0.45
---Beast	13	18	6	0.72	31%	68.4	65.2%	0.33
jsfeltner	13	16	2	0.81	38%	68.0	56.5%	0.35
DYLAN-	7	18	7	0.39	57%	58.2	73.9%	0.26
Gabe	21	13	2	1.62	62%	100.3	78.3%	0.68
jchancE	18	13	3	1.38	28%	78.2	60.9%	0.49
cbass	17	19	10	0.89	29%	105.1	78.3%	0.48
GraveKevin	15	14	4	1.07	53%	76.3	82.6%	0.51
LaffyTs	12	16	5	0.75	25%	68.6	60.9%	0.32

nuke 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4400 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $19200 | CT $9150

Round 4

T $21700 | CT $2500

Round 5

T $21600 | CT $26950

Round 6

T $27450 | CT $30850

Round 7

T $21700 | CT $30650

Round 8

T $25400 | CT $30450

Round 9

T $27750 | CT $8650

Round 10

T $28050 | CT $28150

Round 11

T $27650 | CT $27750

Round 12

T $25750 | CT $29500

Round 13

T $14000 | CT $31550

Round 14

T $4250 | CT $4500

Round 15

T $19750 | CT $1500

Round 16

T $22350 | CT $22850

Round 17

T $25600 | CT $5950

Round 18

T $26200 | CT $28400

Round 19

T $27050 | CT $28500

Round 20

T $27750 | CT $24500

Round 21

T $19050 | CT $24800

Round 22

T $23500 | CT $6500

Round 23

T $26200 | CT $24250

InControl Eco Rating: 10.4

Eco rounds

2/3 W (67%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$21287

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

73%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 35%

Headshot% 37%

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 6.5

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$18920

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

57%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 40%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 45.5% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

50.0% vs 35.3%

Rating 30d

0.93 vs 0.84

Form Slope

↓-0.030 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

36.8% vs 52.5%

T WR 90d

48.5% vs 42.7%

Pool Depth

— vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 17.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.67 vs 2.67

Elo Δ -2

Elo Win% 49.7%

InControl Eco Rating: 10.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

67%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

37%

Trade Rate

35%

Opening K/Rd

73%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 65

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 6.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

40%

Opening K/Rd

57%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 48

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 45.5% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

InControl

0 – 3

Bad News Capybaras

Recent Meetings

Bad News Capybaras 2 – 0 InControl Mar 2025 Bad News Capybaras 1 – 0 InControl Feb 2025 InControl 0 – 1 Bad News Capybaras Feb 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19200 | CT $9150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $21700 | CT $2500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21600 | CT $26950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $21700 | CT $30650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $8650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $28150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $27750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25750 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $14000 | CT $31550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4500

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19750 | CT $1500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22350 | CT $22850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $5950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26200 | CT $28400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27050 | CT $28500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27750 | CT $24500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $19050 | CT $24800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $23500 | CT $6500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $26200 | CT $24250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted