NomadS vs NinJa — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 Asia-Pacific· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 18 Mar 2025 22:57 UTC

NomadS

Elo 1528

1 – 0

Winner: NomadS

NinJa

Elo 1542

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 52% CONF CORRECT

NomadS 52.1% 47.9% NinJa

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

hoolig4n-

kills

ADR 122.6

Top Assist

Rage20-

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

hoolig4n-

122.6

avg dmg/rd

25K 14D

Best KAST

hoolig4n-

90.5%

KAST

25K 14D

Most HS

CRYTIC4L

headshots

93% HS rate

Best K/D

hoolig4n-

1.79

K/D ratio

25K 14D

ancient

13 – 7

8ct|5tvs3ct|4t

NomadS WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
SayMyNameV	20	19	5	1.05	55%	113.9	76.2%	0.6
MiamiCyy	17	16	2	1.06	35%	80.3	81.0%	0.51
SasiKi666	13	16	5	0.81	54%	81.7	85.7%	0.47
Rage20-	12	20	9	0.60	83%	77.2	71.4%	0.39
SPine577	10	18	8	0.56	30%	54.9	81.0%	0.29
CT SIDE
hoolig4n-	25	14	8	1.79	40%	122.6	90.5%	0.81
-KRST-	19	13	6	1.46	37%	96.7	76.2%	0.61
HenX-	17	14	8	1.21	59%	107.0	81.0%	0.62
CRYTIC4L	15	16	5	0.94	93%	89.1	81.0%	0.57
Randyyyy-	13	15	6	0.87	38%	63.0	76.2%	0.41

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
SayMyNameV	13	13	5	46%	122.2	92.3%	0.63
MiamiCyy	7	11	1	29%	55.9	76.9%	0.31
SasiKi666	9	10	3	44%	85.6	84.6%	0.49
Rage20-	9	13	5	78%	89.5	69.2%	0.44
SPine577	7	12	8	29%	63.8	84.6%	0.32
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
hoolig4n-	17	9	5	29%	123.5	92.3%	0.84
-KRST-	12	7	5	33%	99.9	76.9%	0.65
HenX-	12	10	8	42%	133.2	84.6%	0.66
CRYTIC4L	9	10	3	89%	86.1	92.3%	0.57
Randyyyy-	9	9	5	22%	65.7	84.6%	0.45

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
SayMyNameV	7	6	0	71%	100.4	50.0%	0.55
MiamiCyy	10	5	1	40%	120.0	87.5%	0.83
SasiKi666	4	6	2	75%	75.2	87.5%	0.44
Rage20-	3	7	4	100%	57.1	75.0%	0.33
SPine577	3	6	0	33%	40.2	75.0%	0.24
2ND HALF — T SIDE
hoolig4n-	8	5	3	62%	121.1	87.5%	0.76
-KRST-	7	6	1	43%	91.5	75.0%	0.56
HenX-	5	4	0	100%	64.5	75.0%	0.57
CRYTIC4L	6	6	2	100%	94.1	62.5%	0.56
Randyyyy-	4	6	1	75%	58.8	62.5%	0.36

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ hoolig4n- t1	25	14	8	1.79	40%	122.6	90.5%	21
SayMyNameV t2	20	19	5	1.05	55%	113.9	76.2%	21
-KRST- t1	19	13	6	1.46	37%	96.7	76.2%	21
MiamiCyy t2	17	16	2	1.06	35%	80.3	81.0%	21
HenX- t1	17	14	8	1.21	59%	107.0	81.0%	21
CRYTIC4L t1	15	16	5	0.94	93%	89.1	81.0%	21
SasiKi666 t2	13	16	5	0.81	54%	81.7	85.7%	21
Randyyyy- t1	13	15	6	0.87	38%	63.0	76.2%	21
Rage20- t2	12	20	9	0.60	83%	77.2	71.4%	21
SPine577 t2	10	18	8	0.56	30%	54.9	81.0%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

hoolig4n-

25 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

hoolig4n-

40% HS

25K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ SayMyNameV	20	19	5	1.05	55%	113.9	76.2%	0.6
MiamiCyy	17	16	2	1.06	35%	80.3	81.0%	0.51
SasiKi666	13	16	5	0.81	54%	81.7	85.7%	0.47
Rage20-	12	20	9	0.60	83%	77.2	71.4%	0.39
SPine577	10	18	8	0.56	30%	54.9	81.0%	0.29
hoolig4n-	25	14	8	1.79	40%	122.6	90.5%	0.81
-KRST-	19	13	6	1.46	37%	96.7	76.2%	0.61
HenX-	17	14	8	1.21	59%	107.0	81.0%	0.62
CRYTIC4L	15	16	5	0.94	93%	89.1	81.0%	0.57
Randyyyy-	13	15	6	0.87	38%	63.0	76.2%	0.41

ancient 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4350 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $14950 | CT $20350

Round 4

T $5050 | CT $26150

Round 5

T $23200 | CT $29200

Round 6

T $9250 | CT $30650

Round 7

T $28350 | CT $18250

Round 8

T $27950 | CT $2300

Round 9

T $26150 | CT $23400

Round 10

T $16350 | CT $24000

Round 11

T $10100 | CT $29350

Round 12

T $23100 | CT $30150

Round 13

T $22150 | CT $23050

Round 14

T $4350 | CT $4400

Round 15

T $10900 | CT $19750

Round 16

T $3750 | CT $25000

Round 17

T $24300 | CT $29800

Round 18

T $26350 | CT $22750

Round 19

T $26100 | CT $2950

Round 20

T $25400 | CT $23000

Round 21

T $25300 | CT $15950

NinJa Eco Rating: 10.7

Eco rounds

3/5 W (60%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$19414

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

71%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 43%

Headshot% 47%

NomadS Eco Rating: 8.1

Eco rounds

0/4 W (0%)

Force buy

1/4 W (25%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$17174

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

56%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 56%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 63.7% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

77.8% vs —

WR 90d

62.5% vs —

Rating 30d

0.9 vs —

Form Slope

↑0.030 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

42.2% vs —

T WR 90d

48.8% vs —

Pool Depth

— vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

2.0d vs 30.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

2.69 vs —

Elo Δ +2

Elo Win% 50.3%

NinJa Eco Rating: 10.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

60%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

43%

Opening K/Rd

71%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 64

NomadS Eco Rating: 8.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

25%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

56%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

56%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 55

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 63.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

NomadS

3 – 0

NinJa

Recent Meetings

NomadS 2 – 0 NinJa Apr 2025 NinJa 0 – 1 NomadS Mar 2025 NomadS 1 – 0 NinJa Mar 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $14950 | CT $20350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $5050 | CT $26150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23200 | CT $29200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $9250 | CT $30650

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $18250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $2300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26150 | CT $23400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $16350 | CT $24000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $10100 | CT $29350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $23100 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $22150 | CT $23050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4400

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $10900 | CT $19750

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $3750 | CT $25000

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24300 | CT $29800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $26350 | CT $22750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $26100 | CT $2950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25400 | CT $23000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $15950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted