Just Swing vs THE — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 Asia-Pacific· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 26 Mar 2025 22:29 UTC

Just Swing

Elo 1520

0 – 1

Winner: THE

THE

Elo 1466

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Just Swing 53.5% 46.5% THE

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

DayMake

kills

ADR 90.8

Top Assist

V1nceKK

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

V1nceKK

109.9

avg dmg/rd

20K 16D

Best KAST

DayMake

95.7%

KAST

20K 13D

Most HS

d0RREN

headshots

73% HS rate

Best K/D

DayMake

1.54

K/D ratio

20K 13D

ancient

9 – 13

3ct|6tvs4ct|9t

THE WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
DayMake	20	13	7	1.54	45%	90.8	95.7%	0.66
Sange	18	13	7	1.38	50%	96.6	78.3%	0.6
Koreec	17	16	3	1.06	41%	79.3	82.6%	0.51
d0RREN	15	14	4	1.07	73%	84.5	91.3%	0.58
Tugu-	11	21	8	0.52	82%	71.7	69.6%	0.35
CT SIDE
V1nceKK	20	16	10	1.25	30%	109.9	87.0%	0.61
Marek77	19	15	6	1.27	53%	95.8	82.6%	0.61
ivan222222	16	16	5	1.00	56%	87.0	82.6%	0.53
Teens-	12	17	6	0.71	50%	65.5	69.6%	0.36
UnDeRCoVeRr	10	18	3	0.56	50%	54.7	69.6%	0.29

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
DayMake	11	5	3	36%	84.5	92.3%	0.68
Sange	14	3	5	50%	122.9	92.3%	0.91
Koreec	9	9	1	22%	76.3	76.9%	0.44
d0RREN	7	8	2	57%	75.6	92.3%	0.49
Tugu-	7	12	6	86%	87.2	61.5%	0.38
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
V1nceKK	11	10	4	18%	108.7	76.9%	0.53
Marek77	6	9	5	83%	81.0	84.6%	0.46
ivan222222	7	10	3	43%	69.2	76.9%	0.37
Teens-	9	10	1	44%	74.5	53.8%	0.39
UnDeRCoVeRr	5	10	1	20%	47.4	61.5%	0.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
DayMake	9	8	4	56%	98.9	100.0%	0.65
Sange	4	10	2	50%	62.4	60.0%	0.2
Koreec	8	7	2	62%	83.2	90.0%	0.59
d0RREN	8	6	2	88%	96.1	90.0%	0.68
Tugu-	4	9	2	75%	51.7	80.0%	0.3
2ND HALF — T SIDE
V1nceKK	9	6	6	44%	111.4	100.0%	0.71
Marek77	13	6	1	38%	115.1	80.0%	0.83
ivan222222	9	6	2	67%	110.1	90.0%	0.72
Teens-	3	7	5	67%	53.8	90.0%	0.33
UnDeRCoVeRr	5	8	2	80%	64.3	80.0%	0.4

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ DayMake t2	20	13	7	1.54	45%	90.8	95.7%	23
V1nceKK t1	20	16	10	1.25	30%	109.9	87.0%	23
Marek77 t1	19	15	6	1.27	53%	95.8	82.6%	23
Sange t2	18	13	7	1.38	50%	96.6	78.3%	23
Koreec t2	17	16	3	1.06	41%	79.3	82.6%	23
ivan222222 t1	16	16	5	1.00	56%	87.0	82.6%	23
d0RREN t2	15	14	4	1.07	73%	84.5	91.3%	23
Teens- t1	12	17	6	0.71	50%	65.5	69.6%	23
Tugu- t2	11	21	8	0.52	82%	71.7	69.6%	23
UnDeRCoVeRr t1	10	18	3	0.56	50%	54.7	69.6%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

DayMake

20 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

DayMake

45% HS

20K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ DayMake	20	13	7	1.54	45%	90.8	95.7%	0.66
Sange	18	13	7	1.38	50%	96.6	78.3%	0.6
Koreec	17	16	3	1.06	41%	79.3	82.6%	0.51
d0RREN	15	14	4	1.07	73%	84.5	91.3%	0.58
Tugu-	11	21	8	0.52	82%	71.7	69.6%	0.35
V1nceKK	20	16	10	1.25	30%	109.9	87.0%	0.61
Marek77	19	15	6	1.27	53%	95.8	82.6%	0.61
ivan222222	16	16	5	1.00	56%	87.0	82.6%	0.53
Teens-	12	17	6	0.71	50%	65.5	69.6%	0.36
UnDeRCoVeRr	10	18	3	0.56	50%	54.7	69.6%	0.29

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4400 | CT $4350

Round 3

T $18050 | CT $11250

Round 4

T $21600 | CT $1500

Round 5

T $24600 | CT $27300

Round 6

T $28050 | CT $26700

Round 7

T $28050 | CT $25350

Round 8

T $27850 | CT $9800

Round 9

T $28250 | CT $26650

Round 10

T $26550 | CT $29400

Round 11

T $27350 | CT $29250

Round 12

T $22350 | CT $30150

Round 13

T $28050 | CT $20500

Round 14

T $5250 | CT $4000

Round 15

T $19000 | CT $1700

Round 16

T $20900 | CT $23100

Round 17

T $19150 | CT $24650

Round 18

T $18900 | CT $21000

Round 19

T $24450 | CT $10200

Round 20

T $25500 | CT $6900

Round 21

T $25600 | CT $25500

Round 22

T $25250 | CT $28300

Round 23

T $25050 | CT $10950

Just Swing Eco Rating: 20.1

Eco rounds

1/2 W (50%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$21628

Util Dmg

7.00

0.4/rd

Opening K

88%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 46%

Headshot% 51%

THE Eco Rating: 9.1

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

1/5 W (20%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$17467

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

48%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 47%

Headshot% 51%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 49.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

44.4% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

42.9% vs 47.4%

Rating 30d

1.09 vs —

Form Slope

↑0.050 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

45.3% vs 44.2%

T WR 90d

53.0% vs 49.0%

Pool Depth

1.0 vs 1.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.58 vs —

Elo Δ +91

Elo Win% 62.8%

Just Swing Eco Rating: 20.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

46%

Opening K/Rd

88%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 64

THE Eco Rating: 9.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

20%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

47%

Opening K/Rd

48%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 48

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 49.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Just Swing

0 – 2

THE

Recent Meetings

Just Swing 0 – 1 THE Mar 2025 THE 1 – 0 Just Swing Mar 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4350

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $18050 | CT $11250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $21600 | CT $1500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $24600 | CT $27300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $26700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $25350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $9800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $26650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26550 | CT $29400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $29250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $22350 | CT $30150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $20500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $5250 | CT $4000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19000 | CT $1700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20900 | CT $23100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $19150 | CT $24650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $18900 | CT $21000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $24450 | CT $10200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $6900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $25500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25250 | CT $28300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $25050 | CT $10950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy