Legacy vs Marsborne — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 02 Apr 2025 21:47 UTC

Legacy

Elo 1408

1 – 0

Winner: Legacy

Marsborne

Elo 1471

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 74% CONF WRONG

Legacy 25.8% 74.2% Marsborne

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

dumau

kills

ADR 131.9

Top Assist

Chop

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

dumau

131.9

avg dmg/rd

27K 9D

Best KAST

dumau

95.5%

KAST

27K 9D

Most HS

dumau

headshots

44% HS rate

Best K/D

dumau

3.00

K/D ratio

27K 9D

anubis

13 – 8

8ct|5tvs4ct|4t

Legacy WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Chop	18	14	7	1.29	56%	97.7	81.8%	0.61
motm	16	15	1	1.07	31%	76.5	77.3%	0.48
Grizzleey	13	18	3	0.72	77%	80.4	63.6%	0.42
WolfY	10	20	3	0.50	50%	59.7	68.2%	0.27
minus	6	17	2	0.35	50%	45.6	40.9%	0.14
CT SIDE
dumau	27	9	4	3.00	44%	131.9	95.5%	0.93
saadzin_	21	10	6	2.10	24%	116.5	90.9%	0.73
lux1-	15	16	2	0.94	27%	72.9	72.7%	0.42
n1ssim	12	16	4	0.75	33%	62.0	77.3%	0.36
latto	9	12	4	0.75	33%	61.6	72.7%	0.34

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Chop	9	8	4	56%	87.3	84.6%	0.55
motm	9	9	1	22%	76.9	76.9%	0.44
Grizzleey	6	11	1	100%	67.6	46.2%	0.32
WolfY	8	12	1	62%	70.2	69.2%	0.37
minus	5	10	2	60%	65.3	46.2%	0.25
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
dumau	19	5	2	42%	148.5	100.0%	1.08
saadzin_	12	5	4	17%	116.8	92.3%	0.73
lux1-	9	9	2	33%	68.2	76.9%	0.45
n1ssim	7	10	3	29%	65.5	92.3%	0.38
latto	3	8	3	33%	46.4	69.2%	0.21

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Chop	9	6	3	56%	112.8	77.8%	0.7
motm	7	6	0	43%	75.8	77.8%	0.52
Grizzleey	7	7	2	57%	98.9	88.9%	0.57
WolfY	2	8	2	0%	44.6	66.7%	0.07
minus	1	7	0	0%	17.2	33.3%	-0.07
2ND HALF — T SIDE
dumau	8	4	2	50%	107.9	88.9%	0.73
saadzin_	9	5	2	33%	116.1	88.9%	0.73
lux1-	6	7	0	17%	79.7	66.7%	0.38
n1ssim	5	6	1	40%	57.1	55.6%	0.33
latto	6	4	1	33%	83.6	77.8%	0.54

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ dumau t1	27	9	4	3.00	44%	131.9	95.5%	22
saadzin_ t1	21	10	6	2.10	24%	116.5	90.9%	22
Chop t2	18	14	7	1.29	56%	97.7	81.8%	22
motm t2	16	15	1	1.07	31%	76.5	77.3%	22
lux1- t1	15	16	2	0.94	27%	72.9	72.7%	22
Grizzleey t2	13	18	3	0.72	77%	80.4	63.6%	22
n1ssim t1	12	16	4	0.75	33%	62.0	77.3%	22
WolfY t2	10	20	3	0.50	50%	59.7	68.2%	22
latto t1	9	12	4	0.75	33%	61.6	72.7%	22
minus t2	6	17	2	0.35	50%	45.6	40.9%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

dumau

27 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

dumau

44% HS

27K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Chop	18	14	7	1.29	56%	97.7	81.8%	0.61
motm	16	15	1	1.07	31%	76.5	77.3%	0.48
Grizzleey	13	18	3	0.72	77%	80.4	63.6%	0.42
WolfY	10	20	3	0.50	50%	59.7	68.2%	0.27
minus	6	17	2	0.35	50%	45.6	40.9%	0.14
dumau	27	9	4	3.00	44%	131.9	95.5%	0.93
saadzin_	21	10	6	2.10	24%	116.5	90.9%	0.73
lux1-	15	16	2	0.94	27%	72.9	72.7%	0.42
n1ssim	12	16	4	0.75	33%	62.0	77.3%	0.36
latto	9	12	4	0.75	33%	61.6	72.7%	0.34

anubis 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4500

Round 3

T $19650 | CT $1000

Round 4

T $23250 | CT $23900

Round 5

T $22650 | CT $28200

Round 6

T $27750 | CT $25900

Round 7

T $16750 | CT $29850

Round 8

T $1500 | CT $29950

Round 9

T $21450 | CT $30950

Round 10

T $7850 | CT $30950

Round 11

T $28450 | CT $29050

Round 12

T $27550 | CT $30250

Round 13

T $20100 | CT $30950

Round 14

T $4500 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $20150 | CT $1000

Round 16

T $23500 | CT $24450

Round 17

T $17600 | CT $27350

Round 18

T $5700 | CT $30450

Round 19

T $23800 | CT $30100

Round 20

T $26250 | CT $22000

Round 21

T $18650 | CT $19000

Round 22

T $21150 | CT $8650

Marsborne Eco Rating: 3.7

Eco rounds

0/5 W (0%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$21177

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

50%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 37%

Headshot% 37%

Legacy Eco Rating: 16.8

Eco rounds

3/4 W (75%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

8 rounds

Avg Equip

$17536

Util Dmg

5.00

0.4/rd

Opening K

93%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 43%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 32.6% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

40.0% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

46.5% vs 53.3%

Rating 30d

1.22 vs 1.2

Form Slope

— vs ↑0.030

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

55.0% vs 53.6%

T WR 90d

55.0% vs 50.0%

Pool Depth

6.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

5.0d vs 2.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.5 vs 0.59

Elo Δ -139

Elo Win% 30.9%

Marsborne Eco Rating: 3.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

37%

Trade Rate

37%

Opening K/Rd

50%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 55

Legacy Eco Rating: 16.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

75%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

93%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 50

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 32.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Legacy

3 – 0

Marsborne

Recent Meetings

Marsborne 0 – 3 Legacy May 2025 Legacy 1 – 0 Marsborne Apr 2025 Marsborne 0 – 1 Legacy Apr 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4500

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19650 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23250 | CT $23900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22650 | CT $28200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $25900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $16750 | CT $29850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $29950

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $21450 | CT $30950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $7850 | CT $30950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $28450 | CT $29050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $30250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $20100 | CT $30950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4500 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $20150 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23500 | CT $24450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $17600 | CT $27350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $5700 | CT $30450

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23800 | CT $30100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $26250 | CT $22000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $18650 | CT $19000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $21150 | CT $8650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted