Nouns vs Vagrants — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 02 Apr 2025 21:47 UTC

Nouns

Elo 1444

1 – 0

Winner: Nouns

Vagrants

Elo 1469

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

Nouns 46.0% 54.0% Vagrants

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

1Sandman

kills

ADR 94.6

Top Assist

Cryptic

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

CLASIA

96.2

avg dmg/rd

18K 15D

Best KAST

CLASIA

90.9%

KAST

18K 15D

Most HS

Peeping

headshots

60% HS rate

Best K/D

Peeping

1.43

K/D ratio

20K 14D

ancient

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs4ct|4t

Nouns WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
1Sandman	22	17	2	1.29	27%	94.6	68.2%	0.57
Peeping	20	14	3	1.43	60%	85.6	76.2%	0.64
brett	13	18	7	0.72	54%	81.5	81.8%	0.43
mason	13	14	7	0.93	62%	80.6	72.7%	0.47
consti	11	11	3	1.00	36%	59.0	77.3%	0.41
Seb	10	17	7	0.59	30%	57.0	72.7%	0.28
CT SIDE
CLASIA	18	15	7	1.20	39%	96.2	90.9%	0.59
RUSH	15	13	3	1.15	53%	79.5	90.9%	0.56
Cryptic	13	14	11	0.93	54%	93.2	77.3%	0.49
1junior	11	13	4	0.85	55%	61.5	72.7%	0.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
1Sandman	11	8	0	27%	99.2	60.0%	0.59
Peeping	10	8	1	80%	79.1	83.3%	0.62
brett	6	9	5	67%	89.7	90.0%	0.46
mason	7	5	4	57%	89.4	90.0%	0.61
consti	7	5	1	43%	87.9	90.0%	0.59
Seb	6	7	4	50%	72.1	90.0%	0.47
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
CLASIA	10	9	5	20%	119.8	80.0%	0.59
RUSH	7	7	3	57%	91.7	90.0%	0.55
Cryptic	2	7	5	100%	52.0	70.0%	0.28
1junior	5	8	3	40%	65.2	70.0%	0.32

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
1Sandman	11	9	2	27%	90.8	75.0%	0.55
Peeping	10	6	2	40%	94.3	66.7%	0.67
brett	7	9	2	43%	74.8	75.0%	0.4
mason	6	9	3	67%	73.3	58.3%	0.36
consti	4	6	2	25%	34.9	66.7%	0.26
Seb	4	10	3	0%	44.3	58.3%	0.11
2ND HALF — T SIDE
CLASIA	8	6	2	62%	76.6	100.0%	0.61
RUSH	8	6	0	50%	69.4	91.7%	0.56
Cryptic	11	7	6	45%	127.6	83.3%	0.7
1junior	6	5	1	67%	58.5	75.0%	0.48

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ 1Sandman t1	22	17	2	1.29	27%	94.6	68.2%	22
Peeping t2	20	14	3	1.43	60%	85.6	76.2%	21
CLASIA t2	18	15	7	1.20	39%	96.2	90.9%	22
RUSH t2	15	13	3	1.15	53%	79.5	90.9%	22
brett t1	13	18	7	0.72	54%	81.5	81.8%	22
mason t1	13	14	7	0.93	62%	80.6	72.7%	22
Cryptic t2	13	14	11	0.93	54%	93.2	77.3%	22
consti t1	11	11	3	1.00	36%	59.0	77.3%	22
1junior t2	11	13	4	0.85	55%	61.5	72.7%	22
Seb t1	10	17	7	0.59	30%	57.0	72.7%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

1Sandman

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

1Sandman

27% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ 1Sandman	22	17	2	1.29	27%	94.6	68.2%	0.57
Peeping	20	14	3	1.43	60%	85.6	76.2%	0.64
brett	13	18	7	0.72	54%	81.5	81.8%	0.43
mason	13	14	7	0.93	62%	80.6	72.7%	0.47
consti	11	11	3	1.00	36%	59.0	77.3%	0.41
Seb	10	17	7	0.59	30%	57.0	72.7%	0.28
CLASIA	18	15	7	1.20	39%	96.2	90.9%	0.59
RUSH	15	13	3	1.15	53%	79.5	90.9%	0.56
Cryptic	13	14	11	0.93	54%	93.2	77.3%	0.49
1junior	11	13	4	0.85	55%	61.5	72.7%	0.4

ancient 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $2600

Round 2

T $4150 | CT $4400

Round 3

T $19000 | CT $6700

Round 4

T $19900 | CT $8050

Round 5

T $21700 | CT $28500

Round 6

T $28250 | CT $8800

Round 7

T $23850 | CT $29500

Round 8

T $26200 | CT $22400

Round 9

T $24100 | CT $8650

Round 10

T $28250 | CT $27250

Round 11

T $26200 | CT $29500

Round 12

T $28150 | CT $29650

Round 13

T $27950 | CT $31350

Round 14

T $4250 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $14100 | CT $22150

Round 16

T $15050 | CT $24250

Round 17

T $16150 | CT $23350

Round 18

T $22950 | CT $25900

Round 19

T $27350 | CT $11750

Round 20

T $27550 | CT $3800

Round 21

T $28250 | CT $20750

Round 22

T $27550 | CT $9900

Vagrants Eco Rating: 7.8

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

1/6 W (17%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$17427

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

58%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 26%

Headshot% 36%

Nouns Eco Rating: 12.1

Eco rounds

2/3 W (67%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$21098

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

75%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 40%

Headshot% 54%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 32.8% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

55.0% vs 42.9%

WR 90d

46.5% vs 42.9%

Rating 30d

1.11 vs 1.14

Form Slope

↓-0.010 vs ↓-0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.2% vs 51.9%

T WR 90d

53.0% vs 46.0%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

2.0d vs 3.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.6 vs 0.52

Elo Δ +32

Elo Win% 54.5%

Vagrants Eco Rating: 7.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

17%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

36%

Trade Rate

26%

Opening K/Rd

58%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 50

Nouns Eco Rating: 12.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

67%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

54%

Trade Rate

40%

Opening K/Rd

75%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 58

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 32.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Nouns

6 – 0

Vagrants

Recent Meetings

Nouns 3 – 0 Vagrants May 2025 Vagrants 0 – 1 Nouns Apr 2025 Nouns 1 – 0 Vagrants Apr 2025 Nouns 1 – 0 Vagrants Feb 2025 Nouns 2 – 0 Vagrants Dec 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $2600

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4150 | CT $4400

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19000 | CT $6700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $19900 | CT $8050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21700 | CT $28500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $8800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23850 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $26200 | CT $22400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $8650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $27250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26200 | CT $29500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $29650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $31350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $14100 | CT $22150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $15050 | CT $24250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $16150 | CT $23350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $22950 | CT $25900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $11750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $3800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $28250 | CT $20750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $9900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy