Worms vs NRG — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 03 Apr 2025 21:07 UTC

Worms

Elo 1492

0 – 1

Winner: NRG

NRG

Elo 1552

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 60% CONF WRONG

Worms 60.1% 39.9% NRG

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

jeorge

kills

ADR 125.1

Top Assist

-_BR0

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

jeorge

125.1

avg dmg/rd

24K 12D

Best KAST

jeorge

85.0%

KAST

24K 12D

Most HS

jeorge

headshots

62% HS rate

Best K/D

jeorge

2.00

K/D ratio

24K 12D

mirage

6 – 13

3ct|3tvs9ct|4t

NRG WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
stanf1x	14	15	7	0.93	29%	74.9	85.0%	0.46
karv3r	13	14	2	0.93	31%	67.7	70.0%	0.41
s1renaa	12	17	4	0.71	42%	77.2	65.0%	0.36
RuIik	10	18	6	0.56	40%	77.9	60.0%	0.28
noto-	10	18	3	0.56	70%	66.0	50.0%	0.28
CT SIDE
jeorge	24	12	6	2.00	62%	125.1	85.0%	0.85
-_BR0	22	13	8	1.69	59%	120.2	85.0%	0.78
HexT	16	13	5	1.23	50%	87.2	80.0%	0.57
nitr0	10	11	8	0.91	70%	72.2	85.0%	0.49
oSee	10	10	5	1.00	10%	55.3	85.0%	0.39

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
stanf1x	10	10	5	30%	78.9	76.9%	0.47
karv3r	8	10	1	38%	70.2	69.2%	0.38
s1renaa	7	11	3	57%	74.5	53.8%	0.32
RuIik	4	11	2	25%	56.5	53.8%	0.14
noto-	3	12	2	67%	47.5	46.2%	0.11
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
jeorge	17	6	5	65%	147.8	92.3%	1.0
-_BR0	13	7	7	54%	113.2	76.9%	0.73
HexT	12	7	2	33%	88.3	84.6%	0.65
nitr0	5	6	6	60%	64.9	76.9%	0.41
oSee	7	6	4	0%	58.9	92.3%	0.42

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
stanf1x	4	5	2	25%	67.4	100.0%	0.43
karv3r	5	4	1	20%	63.1	71.4%	0.45
s1renaa	5	6	1	20%	82.0	85.7%	0.43
RuIik	6	7	4	50%	117.6	71.4%	0.52
noto-	7	6	1	71%	100.3	57.1%	0.59
2ND HALF — T SIDE
jeorge	7	6	1	57%	83.0	71.4%	0.58
-_BR0	9	6	1	67%	133.3	100.0%	0.87
HexT	4	6	3	100%	85.1	71.4%	0.46
nitr0	5	5	2	80%	85.7	100.0%	0.61
oSee	3	4	1	33%	48.6	71.4%	0.32

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ jeorge t1	24	12	6	2.00	62%	125.1	85.0%	20
-_BR0 t1	22	13	8	1.69	59%	120.2	85.0%	20
HexT t1	16	13	5	1.23	50%	87.2	80.0%	20
stanf1x t2	14	15	7	0.93	29%	74.9	85.0%	20
karv3r t2	13	14	2	0.93	31%	67.7	70.0%	20
s1renaa t2	12	17	4	0.71	42%	77.2	65.0%	20
RuIik t2	10	18	6	0.56	40%	77.9	60.0%	20
noto- t2	10	18	3	0.56	70%	66.0	50.0%	20
nitr0 t1	10	11	8	0.91	70%	72.2	85.0%	20
oSee t1	10	10	5	1.00	10%	55.3	85.0%	20

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

jeorge

24 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

jeorge

62% HS

24K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ stanf1x	14	15	7	0.93	29%	74.9	85.0%	0.46
karv3r	13	14	2	0.93	31%	67.7	70.0%	0.41
s1renaa	12	17	4	0.71	42%	77.2	65.0%	0.36
RuIik	10	18	6	0.56	40%	77.9	60.0%	0.28
noto-	10	18	3	0.56	70%	66.0	50.0%	0.28
jeorge	24	12	6	2.00	62%	125.1	85.0%	0.85
-_BR0	22	13	8	1.69	59%	120.2	85.0%	0.78
HexT	16	13	5	1.23	50%	87.2	80.0%	0.57
nitr0	10	11	8	0.91	70%	72.2	85.0%	0.49
oSee	10	10	5	1.00	10%	55.3	85.0%	0.39

mirage 20 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $17050 | CT $1000

Round 4

T $23500 | CT $23550

Round 5

T $13800 | CT $24500

Round 6

T $5300 | CT $30950

Round 7

T $19850 | CT $30950

Round 8

T $14000 | CT $29800

Round 9

T $21800 | CT $30050

Round 10

T $24000 | CT $30150

Round 11

T $10900 | CT $30250

Round 12

T $26250 | CT $30400

Round 13

T $24500 | CT $31850

Round 14

T $3950 | CT $3600

Round 15

T $19450 | CT $11100

Round 16

T $23900 | CT $8050

Round 17

T $23700 | CT $20200

Round 18

T $12100 | CT $24850

Round 19

T $1500 | CT $25050

Round 20

T $23000 | CT $26400

NRG Eco Rating: 6.9

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$21013

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

79%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 35%

Headshot% 44%

Worms Eco Rating: 13.5

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

1/3 W (33%)

Full buy

7 rounds

Avg Equip

$15805

Util Dmg

5.00

0.4/rd

Opening K

43%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 47%

Headshot% 52%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 44.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

55.6% vs 42.1%

WR 90d

55.6% vs 41.5%

Rating 30d

0.72 vs 1.21

Form Slope

↑0.030 vs ↓-0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

29.2% vs 52.0%

T WR 90d

31.2% vs 52.5%

Pool Depth

— vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

14.29 vs 0.45

Elo Δ +289

Elo Win% 84.0%

NRG Eco Rating: 6.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

44%

Trade Rate

35%

Opening K/Rd

79%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 61

Worms Eco Rating: 13.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

52%

Trade Rate

47%

Opening K/Rd

43%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.4

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 43

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 44.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Worms

0 – 2

NRG

Recent Meetings

Worms 0 – 1 NRG Apr 2025 NRG 1 – 0 Worms Apr 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 20 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $17050 | CT $1000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $23550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $13800 | CT $24500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $5300 | CT $30950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $19850 | CT $30950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $14000 | CT $29800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $21800 | CT $30050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $24000 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $10900 | CT $30250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26250 | CT $30400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $24500 | CT $31850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $3950 | CT $3600

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19450 | CT $11100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23900 | CT $8050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23700 | CT $20200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $12100 | CT $24850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $1500 | CT $25050

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $23000 | CT $26400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted