Bad News Capybaras vs LFO 4

ESL Challenger League Season 49 North America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Apr 2025 17:10 UTC

Bad News Capybaras

Elo 1528

0 – 1

Winner: LFO 4

LFO 4

Elo 1506

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 52% CONF WRONG

Bad News Capybaras 52.1% 47.9% LFO 4

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Evancaw

kills

ADR 102.5

Top Assist

-Merl-

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

-Merl-

110.7

avg dmg/rd

20K 18D

Best KAST

-Merl-

86.4%

KAST

20K 18D

Most HS

lost666

headshots

79% HS rate

Best K/D

Evancaw

1.83

K/D ratio

22K 12D

train

8 – 13

2ct|6tvs3ct|10t

LFO 4 WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Evancaw	22	12	6	1.83	55%	102.5	81.8%	0.73
-Merl-	20	18	7	1.11	65%	110.7	86.4%	0.64
lost666	19	15	4	1.27	79%	101.5	72.7%	0.64
-MagiiC	16	15	1	1.07	81%	79.0	72.7%	0.54
taben	9	16	3	0.56	78%	56.0	68.2%	0.34
CT SIDE
GraveKevin	19	15	5	1.27	42%	87.9	77.3%	0.57
jchancE	18	16	6	1.12	39%	96.9	77.3%	0.55
mdsz	16	18	3	0.89	56%	87.8	72.7%	0.48
cbass	14	19	2	0.74	57%	82.9	54.5%	0.37
Gabe	8	18	6	0.44	75%	58.5	72.7%	0.3

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Evancaw	14	7	4	64%	109.0	92.3%	0.81
-Merl-	16	10	4	69%	137.8	92.3%	0.86
lost666	14	7	4	71%	127.2	84.6%	0.83
-MagiiC	10	7	1	70%	80.4	76.9%	0.6
taben	4	10	2	75%	49.6	76.9%	0.29
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
GraveKevin	15	10	2	33%	105.3	69.2%	0.67
jchancE	12	11	6	58%	115.8	76.9%	0.61
mdsz	6	13	1	33%	57.0	61.5%	0.2
cbass	5	11	0	40%	65.2	38.5%	0.17
Gabe	2	13	3	100%	44.9	69.2%	0.16

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Evancaw	8	5	2	38%	93.0	66.7%	0.6
-Merl-	4	8	3	50%	71.4	77.8%	0.31
lost666	5	8	0	100%	64.3	55.6%	0.37
-MagiiC	6	8	0	100%	77.0	66.7%	0.47
taben	5	6	1	80%	65.3	55.6%	0.41
2ND HALF — T SIDE
GraveKevin	4	5	3	75%	62.8	88.9%	0.46
jchancE	6	5	0	0%	69.6	77.8%	0.43
mdsz	10	5	2	70%	132.2	88.9%	0.86
cbass	9	8	2	67%	108.4	77.8%	0.64
Gabe	6	5	3	67%	78.1	77.8%	0.55

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Evancaw t2	22	12	6	1.83	55%	102.5	81.8%	22
-Merl- t2	20	18	7	1.11	65%	110.7	86.4%	22
lost666 t2	19	15	4	1.27	79%	101.5	72.7%	22
GraveKevin t1	19	15	5	1.27	42%	87.9	77.3%	22
jchancE t1	18	16	6	1.12	39%	96.9	77.3%	22
-MagiiC t2	16	15	1	1.07	81%	79.0	72.7%	22
mdsz t1	16	18	3	0.89	56%	87.8	72.7%	22
cbass t1	14	19	2	0.74	57%	82.9	54.5%	22
taben t2	9	16	3	0.56	78%	56.0	68.2%	22
Gabe t1	8	18	6	0.44	75%	58.5	72.7%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Evancaw

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Evancaw

55% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

train 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Evancaw	22	12	6	1.83	55%	102.5	81.8%	0.73
-Merl-	20	18	7	1.11	65%	110.7	86.4%	0.64
lost666	19	15	4	1.27	79%	101.5	72.7%	0.64
-MagiiC	16	15	1	1.07	81%	79.0	72.7%	0.54
taben	9	16	3	0.56	78%	56.0	68.2%	0.34
GraveKevin	19	15	5	1.27	42%	87.9	77.3%	0.57
jchancE	18	16	6	1.12	39%	96.9	77.3%	0.55
mdsz	16	18	3	0.89	56%	87.8	72.7%	0.48
cbass	14	19	2	0.74	57%	82.9	54.5%	0.37
Gabe	8	18	6	0.44	75%	58.5	72.7%	0.3

train 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4300 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $19000 | CT $9600

Round 4

T $7900 | CT $25250

Round 5

T $27500 | CT $13200

Round 6

T $25200 | CT $3000

Round 7

T $26300 | CT $21050

Round 8

T $27350 | CT $6200

Round 9

T $28650 | CT $26000

Round 10

T $23100 | CT $26850

Round 11

T $24600 | CT $18600

Round 12

T $24500 | CT $19800

Round 13

T $25600 | CT $18650

Round 14

T $4250 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $1100 | CT $20450

Round 16

T $25300 | CT $26350

Round 17

T $23300 | CT $8550

Round 18

T $27650 | CT $1000

Round 19

T $27850 | CT $23850

Round 20

T $27550 | CT $5350

Round 21

T $28250 | CT $29350

Round 22

T $27650 | CT $26750

LFO 4 Eco Rating: 12.0

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

1/4 W (25%)

Full buy

7 rounds

Avg Equip

$15527

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

44%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 55%

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 19.0

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

16 rounds

Avg Equip

$20916

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

76%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 65%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 38.4% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

55.6% vs 53.8%

WR 90d

45.0% vs 53.8%

Rating 30d

0.95 vs 1.16

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs ↑0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

49.6% vs 48.6%

T WR 90d

44.3% vs 57.2%

Pool Depth

— vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.24 vs 0.62

Elo Δ +33

Elo Win% 54.7%

LFO 4 Eco Rating: 12.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

25%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

55%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

44%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 46

Bad News Capybaras Eco Rating: 19.0

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

65%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

76%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 71

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 38.4% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Bad News Capybaras

1 – 2

LFO 4

Recent Meetings

LFO 4 0 – 3 Bad News Capybaras Apr 2025 LFO 4 1 – 0 Bad News Capybaras Apr 2025 Bad News Capybaras 0 – 1 LFO 4 Apr 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

train 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19000 | CT $9600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $7900 | CT $25250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $27500 | CT $13200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $3000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26300 | CT $21050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $6200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $28650 | CT $26000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $23100 | CT $26850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $24600 | CT $18600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $24500 | CT $19800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25600 | CT $18650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1100 | CT $20450

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $26350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23300 | CT $8550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $1000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $23850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27550 | CT $5350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $28250 | CT $29350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27650 | CT $26750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted