RED Canids vs Solid — CounterQuant

ESL Challenger League Season 49 South America· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Apr 2025 17:10 UTC

RED Canids

Elo 1500

0 – 1

Winner: Solid

Solid

Elo 1482

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF CORRECT

RED Canids 46.0% 54.0% Solid

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

felps

kills

ADR 107.9

Top Assist

nython

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

felps

107.9

avg dmg/rd

22K 17D

Best KAST

drop

91.7%

KAST

18K 16D

Most HS

coldzera

headshots

63% HS rate

Best K/D

felps

1.29

K/D ratio

22K 17D

mirage

10 – 13

6ct|4tvs8ct|5t

Solid WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
felps	22	17	4	1.29	50%	107.9	87.5%	0.66
coldzera	19	19	8	1.00	63%	88.8	87.5%	0.57
drop	18	16	7	1.12	50%	86.0	91.7%	0.57
venomzera	15	19	8	0.79	73%	80.9	79.2%	0.47
HEN1-	13	16	5	0.81	31%	74.5	66.7%	0.37
CT SIDE
nython	22	19	8	1.16	27%	99.3	75.0%	0.55
Tomatez1k	21	18	8	1.17	52%	106.3	83.3%	0.61
DeStlNy	16	17	6	0.94	44%	78.8	75.0%	0.46
gbb-	15	18	4	0.83	33%	74.3	79.2%	0.42
drg---	15	17	6	0.88	60%	69.5	75.0%	0.45

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
felps	14	9	1	43%	120.5	84.6%	0.73
coldzera	8	11	4	62%	70.0	76.9%	0.41
drop	10	11	4	60%	90.4	92.3%	0.55
venomzera	7	12	5	86%	68.2	76.9%	0.39
HEN1-	3	10	1	33%	39.6	38.5%	0.08
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
nython	10	10	7	20%	95.2	69.2%	0.46
Tomatez1k	14	10	6	50%	125.0	92.3%	0.75
DeStlNy	10	7	4	30%	86.7	76.9%	0.55
gbb-	8	9	2	38%	71.5	84.6%	0.44
drg---	12	7	4	50%	90.6	100.0%	0.71

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
felps	8	8	3	62%	93.0	90.9%	0.57
coldzera	11	8	4	64%	111.1	100.0%	0.74
drop	8	5	3	38%	80.7	90.9%	0.6
venomzera	8	7	3	62%	96.0	81.8%	0.58
HEN1-	10	6	4	30%	115.8	100.0%	0.71
2ND HALF — T SIDE
nython	12	9	1	33%	104.3	81.8%	0.66
Tomatez1k	7	8	2	57%	84.3	72.7%	0.46
DeStlNy	6	10	2	67%	69.4	72.7%	0.36
gbb-	7	9	2	29%	77.6	72.7%	0.38
drg---	3	10	2	100%	44.6	45.5%	0.18

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ felps t2	22	17	4	1.29	50%	107.9	87.5%	24
nython t1	22	19	8	1.16	27%	99.3	75.0%	24
Tomatez1k t1	21	18	8	1.17	52%	106.3	83.3%	24
coldzera t2	19	19	8	1.00	63%	88.8	87.5%	24
drop t2	18	16	7	1.12	50%	86.0	91.7%	24
DeStlNy t1	16	17	6	0.94	44%	78.8	75.0%	24
venomzera t2	15	19	8	0.79	73%	80.9	79.2%	24
gbb- t1	15	18	4	0.83	33%	74.3	79.2%	24
drg--- t1	15	17	6	0.88	60%	69.5	75.0%	24
HEN1- t2	13	16	5	0.81	31%	74.5	66.7%	24

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

felps

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

felps

50% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ felps	22	17	4	1.29	50%	107.9	87.5%	0.66
coldzera	19	19	8	1.00	63%	88.8	87.5%	0.57
drop	18	16	7	1.12	50%	86.0	91.7%	0.57
venomzera	15	19	8	0.79	73%	80.9	79.2%	0.47
HEN1-	13	16	5	0.81	31%	74.5	66.7%	0.37
nython	22	19	8	1.16	27%	99.3	75.0%	0.55
Tomatez1k	21	18	8	1.17	52%	106.3	83.3%	0.61
DeStlNy	16	17	6	0.94	44%	78.8	75.0%	0.46
gbb-	15	18	4	0.83	33%	74.3	79.2%	0.42
drg---	15	17	6	0.88	60%	69.5	75.0%	0.45

mirage 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $11150 | CT $19250

Round 4

T $2800 | CT $23650

Round 5

T $25200 | CT $27850

Round 6

T $14150 | CT $29750

Round 7

T $24900 | CT $29750

Round 8

T $9250 | CT $30250

Round 9

T $28550 | CT $28500

Round 10

T $25700 | CT $29450

Round 11

T $26250 | CT $30050

Round 12

T $26150 | CT $12000

Round 13

T $28350 | CT $10500

Round 14

T $4950 | CT $4400

Round 15

T $1000 | CT $18450

Round 16

T $23800 | CT $23100

Round 17

T $23700 | CT $19700

Round 18

T $1800 | CT $28000

Round 19

T $24400 | CT $28600

Round 20

T $10100 | CT $31150

Round 21

T $27350 | CT $28200

Round 22

T $21750 | CT $30450

Round 23

T $23500 | CT $20650

Round 24

T $26750 | CT $9900

RED Canids Eco Rating: 11.8

Eco rounds

0/6 W (0%)

Force buy

2/3 W (67%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$17458

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

55%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 54%

Headshot% 51%

Solid Eco Rating: 14.4

Eco rounds

3/3 W (100%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

14 rounds

Avg Equip

$21702

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

65%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 53%

Headshot% 44%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 31.7% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

47.8% vs 55.6%

WR 90d

41.9% vs 43.6%

Rating 30d

1.17 vs 1.17

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.9% vs 53.5%

T WR 90d

53.9% vs 55.5%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.48 vs 0.5

Elo Δ -105

Elo Win% 35.4%

RED Canids Eco Rating: 11.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

67%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

54%

Opening K/Rd

55%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 57

Solid Eco Rating: 14.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

100%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

44%

Trade Rate

53%

Opening K/Rd

65%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 73

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 31.7% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

RED Canids

4 – 10

Solid

Recent Meetings

Solid 1 – 0 RED Canids Apr 2025 RED Canids 0 – 1 Solid Apr 2025 Solid 0 – 1 RED Canids Apr 2025 RED Canids 0 – 2 Solid Feb 2025 RED Canids 0 – 1 Solid Oct 2024

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $11150 | CT $19250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $2800 | CT $23650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $27850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $14150 | CT $29750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24900 | CT $29750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $9250 | CT $30250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $28550 | CT $28500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $25700 | CT $29450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26250 | CT $30050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26150 | CT $12000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28350 | CT $10500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4950 | CT $4400

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $18450

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23800 | CT $23100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $23700 | CT $19700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $1800 | CT $28000

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $24400 | CT $28600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $10100 | CT $31150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $28200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $21750 | CT $30450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $23500 | CT $20650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $26750 | CT $9900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy