fnatic vs Kubix — CounterQuant

Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2025· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 25 Apr 2025 19:29 UTC

fnatic

Elo 1745

1 – 0

Winner: fnatic

Kubix

Elo 1503

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 69% CONF WRONG

fnatic 30.7% 69.3% Kubix

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

MATYS

kills

ADR 107.1

Top Assist

MATYS

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

MATYS

107.1

avg dmg/rd

21K 15D

Best KAST

jambo.

86.4%

KAST

20K 12D

Most HS

jambo.

headshots

65% HS rate

Best K/D

jambo.

1.67

K/D ratio

20K 12D

mirage

13 – 9

7ct|6tvs4ct|5t

fnatic WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
BledarD	17	17	1	1.00	41%	80.5	68.2%	0.47
ammar-iwnl-	15	19	5	0.79	87%	90.0	68.2%	0.48
tripey	14	18	4	0.78	64%	84.0	59.1%	0.41
gejmzilla	12	17	1	0.71	42%	55.2	68.2%	0.33
Caley	9	19	4	0.47	78%	61.4	59.1%	0.28
CT SIDE
MATYS	21	15	8	1.40	57%	107.1	81.8%	0.68
jambo.	20	12	6	1.67	65%	98.7	86.4%	0.71
fear	18	13	4	1.38	50%	90.2	81.8%	0.61
blameF	17	12	5	1.42	24%	86.8	77.3%	0.54
KRIMZ	14	15	2	0.93	93%	74.2	86.4%	0.55

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
BledarD	6	10	1	33%	61.2	50.0%	0.24
ammar-iwnl-	6	10	3	83%	81.0	66.7%	0.39
tripey	6	11	3	67%	80.0	58.3%	0.32
gejmzilla	9	9	0	44%	69.4	66.7%	0.45
Caley	7	10	1	86%	74.9	58.3%	0.4
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
MATYS	12	6	4	58%	111.4	91.7%	0.78
jambo.	13	7	4	69%	126.8	91.7%	0.84
fear	8	7	1	50%	65.2	83.3%	0.51
blameF	9	7	3	33%	95.4	75.0%	0.54
KRIMZ	8	7	1	88%	73.9	75.0%	0.56

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
BledarD	11	7	0	45%	103.5	90.0%	0.73
ammar-iwnl-	9	9	2	89%	100.7	70.0%	0.59
tripey	8	7	1	62%	88.9	60.0%	0.53
gejmzilla	3	8	1	33%	38.2	70.0%	0.18
Caley	2	9	3	50%	45.1	60.0%	0.11
2ND HALF — T SIDE
MATYS	9	9	4	56%	101.9	70.0%	0.55
jambo.	7	5	2	57%	65.0	80.0%	0.55
fear	10	6	3	50%	120.1	80.0%	0.73
blameF	8	5	2	12%	76.5	80.0%	0.54
KRIMZ	6	8	1	100%	74.5	100.0%	0.54

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ MATYS t1	21	15	8	1.40	57%	107.1	81.8%	22
jambo. t1	20	12	6	1.67	65%	98.7	86.4%	22
fear t1	18	13	4	1.38	50%	90.2	81.8%	22
BledarD t2	17	17	1	1.00	41%	80.5	68.2%	22
blameF t1	17	12	5	1.42	24%	86.8	77.3%	22
ammar-iwnl- t2	15	19	5	0.79	87%	90.0	68.2%	22
tripey t2	14	18	4	0.78	64%	84.0	59.1%	22
KRIMZ t1	14	15	2	0.93	93%	74.2	86.4%	22
gejmzilla t2	12	17	1	0.71	42%	55.2	68.2%	22
Caley t2	9	19	4	0.47	78%	61.4	59.1%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

MATYS

21 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

MATYS

57% HS

21K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ BledarD	17	17	1	1.00	41%	80.5	68.2%	0.47
ammar-iwnl-	15	19	5	0.79	87%	90.0	68.2%	0.48
tripey	14	18	4	0.78	64%	84.0	59.1%	0.41
gejmzilla	12	17	1	0.71	42%	55.2	68.2%	0.33
Caley	9	19	4	0.47	78%	61.4	59.1%	0.28
MATYS	21	15	8	1.40	57%	107.1	81.8%	0.68
jambo.	20	12	6	1.67	65%	98.7	86.4%	0.71
fear	18	13	4	1.38	50%	90.2	81.8%	0.61
blameF	17	12	5	1.42	24%	86.8	77.3%	0.54
KRIMZ	14	15	2	0.93	93%	74.2	86.4%	0.55

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $19050 | CT $11100

Round 4

T $8050 | CT $24000

Round 5

T $1500 | CT $29300

Round 6

T $25400 | CT $21700

Round 7

T $26250 | CT $15800

Round 8

T $27450 | CT $3150

Round 9

T $27950 | CT $27450

Round 10

T $11500 | CT $29450

Round 11

T $21900 | CT $30100

Round 12

T $6150 | CT $31950

Round 13

T $23750 | CT $34600

Round 14

T $4250 | CT $4200

Round 15

T $18400 | CT $8100

Round 16

T $20900 | CT $3000

Round 17

T $6500 | CT $28350

Round 18

T $13650 | CT $28550

Round 19

T $28150 | CT $21150

Round 20

T $21700 | CT $25350

Round 21

T $25950 | CT $8800

Round 22

T $27850 | CT $10050

Round 23

T $25250 | CT $29600

Kubix Eco Rating: 13.5

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

2/4 W (50%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$19548

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

47%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 37%

Headshot% 60%

fnatic Eco Rating: 15.5

Eco rounds

3/3 W (100%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$17989

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

88%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 46%

Headshot% 55%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 35.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

54.5% vs 66.7%

WR 90d

43.9% vs 46.2%

Rating 30d

1.12 vs 1.1

Form Slope

↑0.060 vs ↑0.110

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.0% vs 49.6%

T WR 90d

54.9% vs 54.7%

Pool Depth

3.0 vs 4.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.54 vs 0.61

Elo Δ -237

Elo Win% 20.3%

Kubix Eco Rating: 13.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

60%

Trade Rate

37%

Opening K/Rd

47%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 61

fnatic Eco Rating: 15.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

100%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

55%

Trade Rate

46%

Opening K/Rd

88%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 54

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 35.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

fnatic

1 – 0

Kubix

Recent Meetings

fnatic 1 – 0 Kubix Apr 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $19050 | CT $11100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $8050 | CT $24000

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $29300

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $21700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26250 | CT $15800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $3150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27950 | CT $27450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $11500 | CT $29450

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $21900 | CT $30100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $6150 | CT $31950

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $23750 | CT $34600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18400 | CT $8100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20900 | CT $3000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $6500 | CT $28350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $13650 | CT $28550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $28150 | CT $21150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $21700 | CT $25350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25950 | CT $8800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $27850 | CT $10050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $25250 | CT $29600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy