Alliance vs 1ADL — CounterQuant

Elisa Nordic Championship 2025· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 20 May 2025 20:57 UTC

Alliance

Elo 1428

1 – 0

Winner: Alliance

1ADL

Elo 1499

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 65% CONF WRONG

Alliance 34.9% 65.1% 1ADL

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

SLY

kills

ADR 105.9

Top Assist

upE

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

SLY

105.9

avg dmg/rd

21K 20D

Best KAST

upE

90.9%

KAST

12K 12D

Most HS

SLY

headshots

67% HS rate

Best K/D

eraa

1.46

K/D ratio

19K 13D

ancient

13 – 10

5ct|8tvs4ct|6t

Alliance WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
eraa	19	13	4	1.46	37%	93.3	72.7%	0.59
PlesseN	16	13	5	1.23	62%	85.7	72.7%	0.55
twist	16	14	8	1.14	50%	97.9	86.4%	0.57
avid	15	14	7	1.07	47%	85.2	81.8%	0.52
upE	12	12	9	1.00	42%	68.2	90.9%	0.47
CT SIDE
SLY	21	20	6	1.05	67%	105.9	68.2%	0.59
PALM1	17	14	8	1.21	65%	93.6	68.2%	0.57
Viktha	10	14	1	0.71	70%	58.9	72.7%	0.39
truth	10	13	4	0.77	50%	60.9	68.2%	0.36
Grus	8	18	4	0.44	75%	53.3	50.0%	0.24

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
eraa	15	5	3	33%	141.3	90.9%	0.97
PlesseN	9	6	2	67%	94.5	81.8%	0.65
twist	7	5	3	29%	78.0	90.9%	0.54
avid	9	5	5	22%	102.1	81.8%	0.62
upE	5	6	8	60%	68.2	100.0%	0.48
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
SLY	10	11	4	70%	111.9	72.7%	0.56
PALM1	8	9	5	88%	95.1	63.6%	0.52
Viktha	7	8	1	71%	84.7	72.7%	0.48
truth	1	8	2	100%	34.7	45.5%	0.14
Grus	1	9	0	0%	15.4	18.2%	-0.14

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
eraa	4	8	1	50%	45.3	54.5%	0.22
PlesseN	7	7	3	57%	76.8	63.6%	0.46
twist	9	9	5	67%	117.7	81.8%	0.6
avid	6	9	2	83%	68.3	81.8%	0.43
upE	7	6	1	29%	68.3	81.8%	0.47
2ND HALF — T SIDE
SLY	11	9	2	64%	99.9	63.6%	0.61
PALM1	9	5	3	44%	92.1	72.7%	0.62
Viktha	3	6	0	67%	33.0	72.7%	0.29
truth	9	5	2	44%	87.0	90.9%	0.66
Grus	7	9	4	86%	91.3	81.8%	0.51

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ SLY t1	21	20	6	1.05	67%	105.9	68.2%	22
eraa t2	19	13	4	1.46	37%	93.3	72.7%	22
PALM1 t1	17	14	8	1.21	65%	93.6	68.2%	22
PlesseN t2	16	13	5	1.23	62%	85.7	72.7%	22
twist t2	16	14	8	1.14	50%	97.9	86.4%	22
avid t2	15	14	7	1.07	47%	85.2	81.8%	22
upE t2	12	12	9	1.00	42%	68.2	90.9%	22
Viktha t1	10	14	1	0.71	70%	58.9	72.7%	22
truth t1	10	13	4	0.77	50%	60.9	68.2%	22
Grus t1	8	18	4	0.44	75%	53.3	50.0%	22

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

SLY

21 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

SLY

67% HS

21K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ eraa	19	13	4	1.46	37%	93.3	72.7%	0.59
PlesseN	16	13	5	1.23	62%	85.7	72.7%	0.55
twist	16	14	8	1.14	50%	97.9	86.4%	0.57
avid	15	14	7	1.07	47%	85.2	81.8%	0.52
upE	12	12	9	1.00	42%	68.2	90.9%	0.47
SLY	21	20	6	1.05	67%	105.9	68.2%	0.59
PALM1	17	14	8	1.21	65%	93.6	68.2%	0.57
Viktha	10	14	1	0.71	70%	58.9	72.7%	0.39
truth	10	13	4	0.77	50%	60.9	68.2%	0.36
Grus	8	18	4	0.44	75%	53.3	50.0%	0.24

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $1600 | CT $19250

Round 3

T $23000 | CT $22050

Round 4

T $25400 | CT $8400

Round 5

T $23750 | CT $20850

Round 6

T $23750 | CT $3000

Round 7

T $25350 | CT $25400

Round 8

T $28150 | CT $26350

Round 9

T $27650 | CT $21600

Round 10

T $22250 | CT $27450

Round 11

T $25400 | CT $2550

Round 12

T $28450 | CT $23850

Round 13

T $4500 | CT $4150

Round 14

T $18800 | CT $11000

Round 15

T $23650 | CT $8300

Round 16

T $26000 | CT $26550

Round 17

T $25300 | CT $16550

Round 18

T $27150 | CT $29850

Round 19

T $25300 | CT $10350

Round 20

T $25700 | CT $27200

Round 21

T $26950 | CT $30150

Round 22

T $24100 | CT $30450

Round 23

T $15950 | CT $30750

1ADL Eco Rating: 6.5

Eco rounds

0/3 W (0%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$19366

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

53%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 37%

Headshot% 65%

Alliance Eco Rating: 10.1

Eco rounds

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$22643

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

74%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 32%

Headshot% 51%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 57.1% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

30.8% vs —

WR 90d

51.6% vs —

Rating 30d

1.17 vs —

Form Slope

↓-0.030 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

45.0% vs 49.1%

T WR 90d

52.9% vs 70.2%

Pool Depth

1.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs 25.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.59 vs —

Elo Δ -211

Elo Win% 22.9%

1ADL Eco Rating: 6.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

65%

Trade Rate

37%

Opening K/Rd

53%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 44

Alliance Eco Rating: 10.1

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

51%

Trade Rate

32%

Opening K/Rd

74%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 65

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 57.1% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Alliance

1 – 0

1ADL

Recent Meetings

Alliance 1 – 0 1ADL May 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $1600 | CT $19250

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $23000 | CT $22050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $8400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23750 | CT $20850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $23750 | CT $3000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25350 | CT $25400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $28150 | CT $26350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $21600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22250 | CT $27450

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $25400 | CT $2550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $28450 | CT $23850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4500 | CT $4150

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $18800 | CT $11000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $23650 | CT $8300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $26000 | CT $26550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $16550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $29850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $10350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25700 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $26950 | CT $30150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $24100 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $15950 | CT $30750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy