NXT vs ESC — CounterQuant

Winline Insight Season 7· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Jul 2025 20:13 UTC

NXT

Elo 1456

0 – 2

Winner: ESC

ESC

Elo 1483

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 51% CONF WRONG

NXT 51.0% 49.0% ESC

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

_reiko

kills

ADR 114.2

Top Assist

moonwalkxd

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

_reiko

114.2

avg dmg/rd

43K 23D

Best KAST

moonwalkxd

89.7%

KAST

33K 30D

Most HS

_reiko

headshots

53% HS rate

Best K/D

EloDelivery-

3.30

K/D ratio

33K 10D

inferno

9 – 13

2ct|7tvs5ct|8t

ESC WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Extinct	18	17	5	1.06	33%	80.7	82.6%	0.51
M4SON-	18	18	6	1.00	61%	97.0	73.9%	0.54
Rezst	15	18	7	0.83	53%	80.0	82.6%	0.46
Tree60	10	16	2	0.62	50%	58.8	65.2%	0.31
ARTIST-	9	17	3	0.53	44%	56.0	60.9%	0.26
CT SIDE
bajmano	22	13	7	1.69	68%	105.0	87.0%	0.74
moonwalkxd	18	17	5	1.06	56%	98.4	87.0%	0.58
_reiko	15	14	3	1.07	53%	79.0	73.9%	0.49
olimp	15	16	5	0.94	60%	76.4	78.3%	0.49
EloDelivery-	13	7	5	1.86	62%	68.5	78.3%	0.55

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Extinct	13	7	3	46%	97.5	100.0%	0.75
M4SON-	12	9	4	58%	108.7	92.3%	0.69
Rezst	5	8	4	40%	54.8	76.9%	0.32
Tree60	9	7	2	56%	85.2	84.6%	0.57
ARTIST-	6	9	3	50%	63.9	76.9%	0.36
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
bajmano	7	8	3	43%	58.2	84.6%	0.42
moonwalkxd	8	10	3	38%	86.0	76.9%	0.42
_reiko	8	9	2	38%	86.8	69.2%	0.43
olimp	7	10	3	71%	65.4	69.2%	0.39
EloDelivery-	7	5	3	43%	63.5	61.5%	0.44

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Extinct	5	10	2	0%	58.8	60.0%	0.16
M4SON-	6	9	2	67%	81.7	50.0%	0.35
Rezst	10	10	3	60%	112.7	90.0%	0.63
Tree60	1	9	0	0%	24.6	40.0%	-0.09
ARTIST-	3	8	0	33%	45.8	40.0%	0.11
2ND HALF — T SIDE
bajmano	15	5	4	80%	165.8	90.0%	1.12
moonwalkxd	10	7	2	70%	114.5	100.0%	0.77
_reiko	7	5	1	71%	68.8	80.0%	0.57
olimp	8	6	2	50%	90.7	90.0%	0.62
EloDelivery-	6	2	2	83%	75.1	100.0%	0.7

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anubis

2 – 13

ESC WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
M4SON-	12	15	0	0.80	67%	88.6	50.0%	0.41
Extinct	9	16	5	0.56	67%	70.1	68.8%	0.33
Tree60	8	14	1	0.57	62%	71.7	56.2%	0.3
ARTIST-	7	16	4	0.44	43%	49.3	68.8%	0.21
Rezst	3	16	4	0.19	100%	39.0	68.8%	0.16
CT SIDE
_reiko	28	9	4	3.11	54%	164.9	87.5%	1.17
EloDelivery-	20	3	4	6.67	30%	131.2	100.0%	1.0
moonwalkxd	15	13	7	1.15	53%	108.2	93.8%	0.65
bajmano	10	7	5	1.43	50%	78.5	93.8%	0.58
olimp	5	8	5	0.62	80%	58.7	81.2%	0.4

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
M4SON-	8	12	0	62%	77.5	53.8%	0.34
Extinct	6	13	4	50%	59.3	69.2%	0.24
Tree60	7	11	1	57%	68.4	61.5%	0.33
ARTIST-	7	13	3	43%	56.0	76.9%	0.28
Rezst	3	13	3	100%	45.8	76.9%	0.21
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
_reiko	21	7	3	43%	144.2	84.6%	1.06
EloDelivery-	16	3	2	19%	125.8	100.0%	0.95
moonwalkxd	14	11	6	57%	124.0	92.3%	0.73
bajmano	7	5	5	43%	71.7	100.0%	0.55
olimp	5	6	5	80%	71.3	84.6%	0.47

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
M4SON-	4	3	0	75%	136.7	33.3%	0.7
Extinct	3	3	1	100%	117.0	66.7%	0.64
Tree60	1	3	0	100%	86.0	33.3%	0.21
ARTIST-	0	3	1	0%	20.3	33.3%	-0.19
Rezst	0	3	1	0%	9.3	33.3%	-0.2
2ND HALF — T SIDE
_reiko	7	2	1	86%	254.7	100.0%	1.61
EloDelivery-	4	0	2	75%	155.0	100.0%	1.19
moonwalkxd	1	2	1	0%	40.0	100.0%	0.26
bajmano	3	2	0	67%	108.0	66.7%	0.68
olimp	0	2	0	0%	4.0	66.7%	-0.03

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Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ _reiko t1	43	23	7	1.87	53%	114.2	79.5%	39
moonwalkxd t1	33	30	12	1.10	55%	102.4	89.7%	39
EloDelivery- t1	33	10	9	3.30	42%	94.3	87.2%	39
bajmano t1	32	20	12	1.60	62%	94.1	89.7%	39
M4SON- t2	30	33	6	0.91	63%	93.5	64.1%	39
Extinct t2	27	33	10	0.82	44%	76.3	76.9%	39
olimp t1	20	24	10	0.83	65%	69.1	79.5%	39
Rezst t2	18	34	11	0.53	61%	63.2	76.9%	39
Tree60 t2	18	30	3	0.60	56%	64.1	61.5%	39
ARTIST- t2	16	33	7	0.48	44%	53.3	64.1%	39

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

_reiko

43 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

_reiko

53% HS

43K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

inferno 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Extinct	18	17	5	1.06	33%	80.7	82.6%	0.51
M4SON-	18	18	6	1.00	61%	97.0	73.9%	0.54
Rezst	15	18	7	0.83	53%	80.0	82.6%	0.46
Tree60	10	16	2	0.62	50%	58.8	65.2%	0.31
ARTIST-	9	17	3	0.53	44%	56.0	60.9%	0.26
bajmano	22	13	7	1.69	68%	105.0	87.0%	0.74
moonwalkxd	18	17	5	1.06	56%	98.4	87.0%	0.58
_reiko	15	14	3	1.07	53%	79.0	73.9%	0.49
olimp	15	16	5	0.94	60%	76.4	78.3%	0.49
EloDelivery-	13	7	5	1.86	62%	68.5	78.3%	0.55

anubis 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ M4SON-	12	15	0	0.80	67%	88.6	50.0%	0.41
Extinct	9	16	5	0.56	67%	70.1	68.8%	0.33
Tree60	8	14	1	0.57	62%	71.7	56.2%	0.3
ARTIST-	7	16	4	0.44	43%	49.3	68.8%	0.21
Rezst	3	16	4	0.19	100%	39.0	68.8%	0.16
_reiko	28	9	4	3.11	54%	164.9	87.5%	1.17
EloDelivery-	20	3	4	6.67	30%	131.2	100.0%	1.0
moonwalkxd	15	13	7	1.15	53%	108.2	93.8%	0.65
bajmano	10	7	5	1.43	50%	78.5	93.8%	0.58
olimp	5	8	5	0.62	80%	58.7	81.2%	0.4

anubis 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4500 | CT $4250

Round 3

T $9200 | CT $20300

Round 4

T $2700 | CT $20250

Round 5

T $25200 | CT $29550

Round 6

T $10350 | CT $29350

Round 7

T $25100 | CT $30550

Round 8

T $12200 | CT $30850

Round 9

T $23900 | CT $31050

Round 10

T $17300 | CT $30150

Round 11

T $26350 | CT $23350

Round 12

T $19500 | CT $28950

Round 13

T $22500 | CT $31050

Round 14

T $3250 | CT $3750

Round 15

T $18450 | CT $10900

Round 16

T $19600 | CT $14050

inferno 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $5150 | CT $4900

Round 3

T $14150 | CT $22000

Round 4

T $7750 | CT $22550

Round 5

T $22600 | CT $26100

Round 6

T $24600 | CT $25650

Round 7

T $25900 | CT $21950

Round 8

T $27450 | CT $28900

Round 9

T $27650 | CT $2300

Round 10

T $28050 | CT $23000

Round 11

T $26000 | CT $10950

Round 12

T $26300 | CT $24700

Round 13

T $27850 | CT $25200

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $5150

Round 15

T $19800 | CT $10750

Round 16

T $21000 | CT $1800

Round 17

T $21900 | CT $26200

Round 18

T $24600 | CT $22850

Round 19

T $25600 | CT $2250

Round 20

T $25800 | CT $23650

Round 21

T $25600 | CT $26950

Round 22

T $25300 | CT $27550

Round 23

T $25500 | CT $17050

ESC Eco Rating: 9.7

Eco rounds

4/8 W (50%)

Force buy

0/4 W (0%)

Full buy

21 rounds

Avg Equip

$19160

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

30%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 47%

NXT Eco Rating: 9.3

Eco rounds

2/6 W (33%)

Force buy

0/5 W (0%)

Full buy

20 rounds

Avg Equip

$18704

Util Dmg

5.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

45%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 43%

Headshot% 60%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 49.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

66.7% vs 70.0%

WR 90d

66.7% vs 63.6%

Rating 30d

1.26 vs 1.23

Form Slope

— vs ↓-0.030

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

71.7% vs 61.8%

T WR 90d

54.8% vs 57.0%

Pool Depth

— vs 6.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

9.0d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

— vs 0.68

Elo Δ +72

Elo Win% 60.2%

ESC Eco Rating: 9.7

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

30%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 72

NXT Eco Rating: 9.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

60%

Trade Rate

43%

Opening K/Rd

45%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 84

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 49.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

NXT

0 – 1

ESC

Recent Meetings

NXT 0 – 2 ESC Jul 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

anubis 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4500 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $9200 | CT $20300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $2700 | CT $20250

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $29550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $10350 | CT $29350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $30550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $12200 | CT $30850

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $23900 | CT $31050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $17300 | CT $30150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $23350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $19500 | CT $28950

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $31050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3750

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $18450 | CT $10900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $19600 | CT $14050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

inferno 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $5150 | CT $4900

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $14150 | CT $22000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $7750 | CT $22550

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $22600 | CT $26100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24600 | CT $25650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25900 | CT $21950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27450 | CT $28900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27650 | CT $2300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $28050 | CT $23000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26000 | CT $10950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $26300 | CT $24700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $25200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $5150

T buy: eco CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19800 | CT $10750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $21000 | CT $1800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $21900 | CT $26200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $24600 | CT $22850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $2250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $25800 | CT $23650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25600 | CT $26950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $27550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $17050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted