TNL vs RUBY — CounterQuant

Whale Cup 2025· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 21 Jul 2025 21:11 UTC

TNL

Elo 1375

1 – 0

Winner: TNL

RUBY

Elo 1456

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 69% CONF WRONG

TNL 30.7% 69.3% RUBY

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Kaide

kills

ADR 108.0

Top Assist

cairne

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

cairne

119.7

avg dmg/rd

21K 16D

Best KAST

cairne

85.7%

KAST

21K 16D

Most HS

cairne

headshots

67% HS rate

Best K/D

dawy

1.40

K/D ratio

21K 15D

dust2

13 – 8

5ct|8tvs1ct|7t

TNL WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Kaide	21	17	6	1.24	33%	108.0	76.2%	0.61
TruNiQ	18	16	2	1.12	39%	92.0	81.0%	0.56
H4SAN4TOR	15	16	3	0.94	47%	78.8	81.0%	0.48
fozil	11	17	4	0.65	55%	60.7	71.4%	0.34
maQuein	9	15	4	0.60	22%	58.5	71.4%	0.28
CT SIDE
cairne	21	16	7	1.31	67%	119.7	85.7%	0.72
dawy	21	15	7	1.40	48%	107.5	76.2%	0.66
Flierax	14	14	7	1.00	36%	85.5	66.7%	0.45
nifee	13	15	6	0.87	85%	77.3	71.4%	0.49
onic	11	13	7	0.85	55%	69.0	81.0%	0.44

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Kaide	14	8	5	36%	116.6	91.7%	0.78
TruNiQ	9	8	1	33%	73.8	83.3%	0.51
H4SAN4TOR	8	7	2	0%	67.9	83.3%	0.44
fozil	7	8	3	57%	74.3	83.3%	0.47
maQuein	7	6	4	29%	71.8	91.7%	0.49
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
cairne	9	10	2	44%	83.2	75.0%	0.47
dawy	11	9	3	36%	104.2	58.3%	0.54
Flierax	6	8	2	17%	63.4	58.3%	0.29
nifee	5	9	5	100%	65.9	66.7%	0.38
onic	5	8	4	40%	66.7	66.7%	0.31

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Kaide	7	9	1	29%	96.4	55.6%	0.38
TruNiQ	9	8	1	44%	116.1	77.8%	0.62
H4SAN4TOR	7	9	1	100%	93.2	77.8%	0.53
fozil	4	9	1	50%	42.6	55.6%	0.18
maQuein	2	9	0	0%	40.9	44.4%	-0.03
2ND HALF — T SIDE
cairne	12	6	5	83%	168.3	100.0%	1.03
dawy	10	6	4	60%	112.0	100.0%	0.81
Flierax	8	6	5	50%	114.9	77.8%	0.64
nifee	8	6	1	75%	92.4	77.8%	0.65
onic	6	5	3	67%	72.0	100.0%	0.59

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Kaide t2	21	17	6	1.24	33%	108.0	76.2%	21
cairne t1	21	16	7	1.31	67%	119.7	85.7%	21
dawy t1	21	15	7	1.40	48%	107.5	76.2%	21
TruNiQ t2	18	16	2	1.12	39%	92.0	81.0%	21
H4SAN4TOR t2	15	16	3	0.94	47%	78.8	81.0%	21
Flierax t1	14	14	7	1.00	36%	85.5	66.7%	21
nifee t1	13	15	6	0.87	85%	77.3	71.4%	21
fozil t2	11	17	4	0.65	55%	60.7	71.4%	21
onic t1	11	13	7	0.85	55%	69.0	81.0%	21
maQuein t2	9	15	4	0.60	22%	58.5	71.4%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Kaide

21 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Kaide

33% HS

21K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Kaide	21	17	6	1.24	33%	108.0	76.2%	0.61
TruNiQ	18	16	2	1.12	39%	92.0	81.0%	0.56
H4SAN4TOR	15	16	3	0.94	47%	78.8	81.0%	0.48
fozil	11	17	4	0.65	55%	60.7	71.4%	0.34
maQuein	9	15	4	0.60	22%	58.5	71.4%	0.28
cairne	21	16	7	1.31	67%	119.7	85.7%	0.72
dawy	21	15	7	1.40	48%	107.5	76.2%	0.66
Flierax	14	14	7	1.00	36%	85.5	66.7%	0.45
nifee	13	15	6	0.87	85%	77.3	71.4%	0.49
onic	11	13	7	0.85	55%	69.0	81.0%	0.44

dust2 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4350 | CT $4300

Round 3

T $15250 | CT $21100

Round 4

T $15700 | CT $26300

Round 5

T $10050 | CT $27500

Round 6

T $24000 | CT $30650

Round 7

T $23250 | CT $22800

Round 8

T $25950 | CT $1500

Round 9

T $27150 | CT $22350

Round 10

T $27350 | CT $5950

Round 11

T $28750 | CT $29550

Round 12

T $27850 | CT $9850

Round 13

T $34900 | CT $27750

Round 14

T $4350 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $19050 | CT $11100

Round 16

T $20700 | CT $3000

Round 17

T $28650 | CT $26100

Round 18

T $27150 | CT $9300

Round 19

T $16600 | CT $29100

Round 20

T $22600 | CT $19850

Round 21

T $22050 | CT $11150

Round 22

T $25650 | CT $26250

TNL Eco Rating: 9.8

Eco rounds

1/2 W (50%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

12 rounds

Avg Equip

$21493

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

100%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 34%

Headshot% 48%

RUBY Eco Rating: 9.3

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

1/5 W (20%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$17607

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

39%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 48%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 37.6% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

50.0% vs 44.4%

WR 90d

56.9% vs 53.5%

Rating 30d

1.23 vs 1.09

Form Slope

↓-0.030 vs ↑0.050

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

54.2% vs 53.8%

T WR 90d

56.1% vs 49.4%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.61 vs 0.72

Elo Δ -157

Elo Win% 28.9%

TNL Eco Rating: 9.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

48%

Trade Rate

34%

Opening K/Rd

100%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 70

RUBY Eco Rating: 9.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

20%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

48%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

39%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 47

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 37.6% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

TNL

1 – 0

RUBY

Recent Meetings

TNL 1 – 0 RUBY Jul 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 22 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $15250 | CT $21100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $15700 | CT $26300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $10050 | CT $27500

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24000 | CT $30650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $23250 | CT $22800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $25950 | CT $1500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $22350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $5950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $28750 | CT $29550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27850 | CT $9850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $34900 | CT $27750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4350 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19050 | CT $11100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $20700 | CT $3000

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $28650 | CT $26100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $27150 | CT $9300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $16600 | CT $29100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $22600 | CT $19850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $22050 | CT $11150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $25650 | CT $26250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted