HEROIC vs Aurora — CounterQuant

BLAST Bounty 2025 Season 2· A-TIER ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Aug 2025 20:51 UTC

HEROIC

Elo 1480

0 – 2

Winner: Aurora

Aurora

Elo 1528

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 51% CONF WRONG

HEROIC 51.0% 49.0% Aurora

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

jottAAA

kills

ADR 93.5

Top Assist

XANTARES

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

Wicadia

106.6

avg dmg/rd

37K 25D

Best KAST

woxic

92.1%

KAST

26K 19D

Most HS

Wicadia

headshots

54% HS rate

Best K/D

jottAAA

1.81

K/D ratio

38K 21D

dust2

9 – 13

5ct|4tvs6ct|7t

Aurora WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
jottAAA	21	15	2	1.40	43%	82.3	78.3%	0.6
woxic	19	12	8	1.58	42%	101.6	95.7%	0.67
Wicadia	18	15	4	1.20	50%	85.7	73.9%	0.54
MAJ3R	16	13	5	1.23	62%	79.3	87.0%	0.57
XANTARES	15	16	8	0.94	60%	83.8	82.6%	0.51
CT SIDE
LNZ	20	16	1	1.25	55%	81.7	73.9%	0.57
nilo	20	17	6	1.18	55%	94.5	73.9%	0.58
tN1R	12	17	4	0.71	75%	70.6	56.5%	0.37
yxngstxr	10	17	2	0.59	20%	47.8	65.2%	0.24
Scr0b	8	21	8	0.38	25%	65.2	60.9%	0.17

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
jottAAA	13	8	1	62%	92.8	91.7%	0.75
woxic	5	7	8	60%	77.9	91.7%	0.45
Wicadia	12	7	2	50%	103.1	75.0%	0.69
MAJ3R	6	8	4	67%	65.1	83.3%	0.43
XANTARES	9	9	2	67%	89.8	83.3%	0.56
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
LNZ	13	7	0	54%	104.3	91.7%	0.78
nilo	10	9	4	50%	103.3	75.0%	0.57
tN1R	6	9	0	83%	61.9	58.3%	0.36
yxngstxr	6	9	1	17%	56.1	75.0%	0.3
Scr0b	4	11	4	25%	63.0	58.3%	0.15

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
jottAAA	8	7	1	12%	70.9	63.6%	0.42
woxic	14	5	0	36%	127.5	100.0%	0.93
Wicadia	6	8	2	50%	66.7	72.7%	0.38
MAJ3R	10	5	1	60%	94.8	90.9%	0.73
XANTARES	6	7	6	50%	77.3	81.8%	0.45
2ND HALF — T SIDE
LNZ	7	9	1	57%	57.1	54.5%	0.35
nilo	10	8	2	60%	84.8	72.7%	0.59
tN1R	6	8	4	67%	80.1	54.5%	0.38
yxngstxr	4	8	1	25%	38.7	54.5%	0.18
Scr0b	4	10	4	25%	67.6	63.6%	0.19

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overpass

2 – 13

2ct|?tvs12ct|1t

Aurora WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
yxngstxr	12	14	4	0.86	67%	95.2	73.3%	0.51
tN1R	9	14	1	0.64	78%	63.8	73.3%	0.39
LNZ	8	13	3	0.62	38%	54.8	66.7%	0.29
Scr0b	5	13	2	0.38	60%	44.6	53.3%	0.18
nilo	5	14	2	0.36	60%	54.5	53.3%	0.17
CT SIDE
Wicadia	19	10	6	1.90	58%	138.6	100.0%	0.91
jottAAA	17	6	4	2.83	24%	110.6	93.3%	0.83
XANTARES	15	8	7	1.88	40%	116.8	86.7%	0.74
MAJ3R	10	8	7	1.25	20%	88.4	80.0%	0.5
woxic	7	7	2	1.00	0%	47.4	86.7%	0.36

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
yxngstxr	6	12	2	67%	59.6	66.7%	0.28
tN1R	8	12	1	75%	70.1	75.0%	0.41
LNZ	5	12	3	60%	47.6	58.3%	0.19
Scr0b	4	12	2	50%	45.1	50.0%	0.12
nilo	2	12	2	100%	41.5	41.7%	0.09
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
Wicadia	15	7	5	60%	136.6	100.0%	0.93
jottAAA	17	3	3	24%	128.3	100.0%	1.04
XANTARES	13	5	7	38%	122.8	91.7%	0.83
MAJ3R	8	6	6	25%	93.2	91.7%	0.56
woxic	7	4	1	0%	59.2	91.7%	0.48

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
yxngstxr	6	2	2	67%	237.7	100.0%	1.41
tN1R	1	2	0	100%	38.7	66.7%	0.32
LNZ	3	1	0	0%	83.7	100.0%	0.73
Scr0b	1	1	0	100%	42.7	66.7%	0.43
nilo	3	2	0	33%	106.3	100.0%	0.71
2ND HALF — T SIDE
Wicadia	4	3	1	50%	146.7	100.0%	0.85
jottAAA	0	3	1	0%	39.7	66.7%	-0.07
XANTARES	2	3	0	50%	93.0	66.7%	0.38
MAJ3R	2	2	1	0%	69.3	33.3%	0.29
woxic	0	3	1	0%	0.0	66.7%	-0.13

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Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ jottAAA t1	38	21	6	1.81	34%	93.5	84.2%	38
Wicadia t1	37	25	10	1.48	54%	106.6	84.2%	38
XANTARES t1	30	24	15	1.25	50%	96.8	84.2%	38
LNZ t2	28	29	4	0.97	50%	71.1	71.1%	38
MAJ3R t1	26	21	12	1.24	46%	82.9	84.2%	38
woxic t1	26	19	10	1.37	31%	80.2	92.1%	38
nilo t2	25	31	8	0.81	56%	78.7	65.8%	38
yxngstxr t2	22	31	6	0.71	45%	66.5	68.4%	38
tN1R t2	21	31	5	0.68	76%	67.9	63.2%	38
Scr0b t2	13	34	10	0.38	38%	57.1	57.9%	38

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

jottAAA

38 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

jottAAA

34% HS

38K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ jottAAA	21	15	2	1.40	43%	82.3	78.3%	0.6
woxic	19	12	8	1.58	42%	101.6	95.7%	0.67
Wicadia	18	15	4	1.20	50%	85.7	73.9%	0.54
MAJ3R	16	13	5	1.23	62%	79.3	87.0%	0.57
XANTARES	15	16	8	0.94	60%	83.8	82.6%	0.51
LNZ	20	16	1	1.25	55%	81.7	73.9%	0.57
nilo	20	17	6	1.18	55%	94.5	73.9%	0.58
tN1R	12	17	4	0.71	75%	70.6	56.5%	0.37
yxngstxr	10	17	2	0.59	20%	47.8	65.2%	0.24
Scr0b	8	21	8	0.38	25%	65.2	60.9%	0.17

overpass 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ yxngstxr	12	14	4	0.86	67%	95.2	73.3%	0.51
tN1R	9	14	1	0.64	78%	63.8	73.3%	0.39
LNZ	8	13	3	0.62	38%	54.8	66.7%	0.29
Scr0b	5	13	2	0.38	60%	44.6	53.3%	0.18
nilo	5	14	2	0.36	60%	54.5	53.3%	0.17
Wicadia	19	10	6	1.90	58%	138.6	100.0%	0.91
jottAAA	17	6	4	2.83	24%	110.6	93.3%	0.83
XANTARES	15	8	7	1.88	40%	116.8	86.7%	0.74
MAJ3R	10	8	7	1.25	20%	88.4	80.0%	0.5
woxic	7	7	2	1.00	0%	47.4	86.7%	0.36

dust2 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4250 | CT $4200

Round 3

T $15050 | CT $21800

Round 4

T $14400 | CT $25700

Round 5

T $23600 | CT $13200

Round 6

T $24000 | CT $1500

Round 7

T $24600 | CT $24800

Round 8

T $27350 | CT $22150

Round 9

T $8600 | CT $30050

Round 10

T $10900 | CT $28900

Round 11

T $27350 | CT $27200

Round 12

T $27150 | CT $6200

Round 13

T $28250 | CT $26300

Round 14

T $4550 | CT $2900

Round 15

T $4700 | CT $4200

Round 16

T $19700 | CT $11900

Round 17

T $6750 | CT $24300

Round 18

T $23800 | CT $1500

Round 19

T $24950 | CT $26200

Round 20

T $23750 | CT $28350

Round 21

T $1100 | CT $28500

Round 22

T $24150 | CT $32100

Round 23

T $18950 | CT $32500

Round 24

T $22000 | CT $32700

overpass 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4200 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $11550 | CT $19900

Round 4

T $1500 | CT $25550

Round 5

T $27750 | CT $31350

Round 6

T $8400 | CT $30550

Round 7

T $27350 | CT $30850

Round 8

T $13600 | CT $30850

Round 9

T $23200 | CT $31050

Round 10

T $22500 | CT $30750

Round 11

T $10850 | CT $31450

Round 12

T $25550 | CT $30850

Round 13

T $17600 | CT $31350

Round 14

T $4250 | CT $4700

Round 15

T $1500 | CT $21600

Round 16

T $23000 | CT $26850

Aurora Eco Rating: 13.4

Eco rounds

3/7 W (43%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

24 rounds

Avg Equip

$22074

Util Dmg

3.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

36%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 33%

Headshot% 41%

HEROIC Eco Rating: 10.3

Eco rounds

1/8 W (12%)

Force buy

2/6 W (33%)

Full buy

17 rounds

Avg Equip

$16650

Util Dmg

4.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

35%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 46%

Headshot% 58%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 33.5% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

87.5% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

75.0% vs 47.4%

Rating 30d

1.05 vs 1.04

Form Slope

↑0.080 vs ↑0.400

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

47.8% vs 57.1%

T WR 90d

51.1% vs 50.3%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

2.0d vs 2.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.18 vs 0.78

Elo Δ -90

Elo Win% 37.4%

Aurora Eco Rating: 13.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

43%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

41%

Trade Rate

33%

Opening K/Rd

36%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 83

HEROIC Eco Rating: 10.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

12%

Force Win%

33%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

58%

Trade Rate

46%

Opening K/Rd

35%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 68

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 33.5% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

HEROIC

5 – 4

Aurora

Recent Meetings

Aurora 0 – 2 HEROIC May 2026 Aurora 0 – 2 HEROIC Oct 2025 HEROIC 0 – 2 Aurora Aug 2025 HEROIC 0 – 2 Aurora Aug 2025 Aurora 3 – 0 HEROIC May 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $15050 | CT $21800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $14400 | CT $25700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23600 | CT $13200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $24000 | CT $1500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $24600 | CT $24800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $22150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $8600 | CT $30050

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $10900 | CT $28900

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $6200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $28250 | CT $26300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4550 | CT $2900

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4700 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $19700 | CT $11900

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $6750 | CT $24300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23800 | CT $1500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $24950 | CT $26200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $23750 | CT $28350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $1100 | CT $28500

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $24150 | CT $32100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $18950 | CT $32500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $22000 | CT $32700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

overpass 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $11550 | CT $19900

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $25550

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $27750 | CT $31350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $8400 | CT $30550

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $27350 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $13600 | CT $30850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $23200 | CT $31050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $30750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $10850 | CT $31450

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25550 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $17600 | CT $31350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4700

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $21600

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23000 | CT $26850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted