TNL vs ESC — CounterQuant

CCT Season 3 Europe Series 6· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 20 Sep 2025 20:36 UTC

TNL

Elo 1423

0 – 2

Winner: ESC

ESC

Elo 1483

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 60% CONF CORRECT

TNL 39.8% 60.2% ESC

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

SaMey

kills

ADR 105.5

Top Assist

SaMey

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

SaMey

105.5

avg dmg/rd

36K 20D

Best KAST

moonwalk

86.5%

KAST

30K 22D

Most HS

olimp

headshots

68% HS rate

Best K/D

SaMey

1.80

K/D ratio

36K 20D

nuke

6 – 13

5ct|1tvs6ct|7t

ESC WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
SaMey	20	7	5	2.86	40%	120.4	83.3%	0.83
olimp	18	12	7	1.50	67%	133.9	88.9%	0.77
bajmi	15	9	2	1.67	47%	94.8	88.9%	0.66
reiko	15	15	3	1.00	47%	83.3	83.3%	0.53
moonwalk	13	10	2	1.30	62%	75.4	94.4%	0.6
CT SIDE
cairne	17	15	5	1.13	59%	104.6	83.3%	0.63
nifee	13	16	3	0.81	69%	82.6	66.7%	0.45
onic	9	17	2	0.53	44%	63.6	50.0%	0.23
Flierax	7	14	5	0.50	43%	64.3	72.2%	0.28
Dawy	6	18	3	0.33	50%	40.9	61.1%	0.14

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
SaMey	12	4	1	50%	110.6	81.8%	0.83
olimp	10	9	3	60%	128.2	81.8%	0.65
bajmi	8	6	2	62%	98.5	81.8%	0.61
reiko	10	9	0	40%	78.1	81.8%	0.55
moonwalk	7	7	1	71%	70.4	90.9%	0.53
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
cairne	10	9	4	50%	102.9	72.7%	0.57
nifee	12	9	2	75%	127.5	72.7%	0.73
onic	4	10	2	0%	52.3	45.5%	0.08
Flierax	5	7	4	20%	76.4	72.7%	0.34
Dawy	3	11	2	33%	33.2	54.5%	0.06

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
SaMey	8	3	4	25%	135.9	85.7%	0.84
olimp	8	3	4	75%	142.9	100.0%	0.96
bajmi	7	3	0	29%	89.0	100.0%	0.75
reiko	5	6	3	60%	91.6	85.7%	0.51
moonwalk	6	3	1	50%	83.3	100.0%	0.71
2ND HALF — T SIDE
cairne	7	6	1	71%	107.3	100.0%	0.71
nifee	1	7	1	0%	12.0	57.1%	-0.07
onic	5	7	0	80%	81.3	57.1%	0.41
Flierax	2	7	1	100%	45.4	71.4%	0.23
Dawy	3	7	1	67%	53.1	71.4%	0.25

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dust2

7 – 13

4ct|3tvs9ct|4t

ESC WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Flierax	15	15	5	1.00	53%	105.5	68.4%	0.53
cairne	15	15	4	1.00	47%	95.7	73.7%	0.52
nifee	8	13	5	0.62	62%	56.9	63.2%	0.32
onic	8	13	4	0.62	25%	44.2	68.4%	0.26
Dawy	5	14	2	0.36	40%	33.9	52.6%	0.14
CT SIDE
reiko	20	12	5	1.67	45%	118.3	84.2%	0.74
moonwalk	17	12	6	1.42	53%	106.0	78.9%	0.65
SaMey	16	13	9	1.23	31%	91.4	84.2%	0.57
olimp	10	7	3	1.43	70%	63.7	73.7%	0.51
bajmi	7	8	3	0.88	71%	58.4	73.7%	0.42

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Flierax	5	10	2	80%	79.3	54.5%	0.31
cairne	6	10	3	67%	79.0	63.6%	0.35
nifee	5	9	1	60%	45.4	54.5%	0.25
onic	6	8	2	17%	50.7	63.6%	0.29
Dawy	1	10	1	0%	15.5	45.5%	-0.09
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
reiko	12	7	4	42%	125.9	90.9%	0.78
moonwalk	11	6	4	36%	122.6	90.9%	0.75
SaMey	12	5	4	25%	113.3	90.9%	0.79
olimp	6	2	3	67%	62.5	90.9%	0.61
bajmi	6	3	2	67%	80.7	90.9%	0.61

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Flierax	10	5	3	40%	141.5	87.5%	0.87
cairne	9	5	1	33%	118.8	87.5%	0.77
nifee	3	4	4	67%	72.9	75.0%	0.42
onic	2	5	2	50%	35.2	75.0%	0.24
Dawy	4	4	1	50%	59.2	62.5%	0.4
2ND HALF — T SIDE
reiko	8	5	1	50%	107.8	75.0%	0.69
moonwalk	6	6	2	83%	83.1	62.5%	0.52
SaMey	4	8	5	50%	61.4	75.0%	0.28
olimp	4	5	0	75%	65.2	50.0%	0.37
bajmi	1	5	1	100%	27.6	50.0%	0.19

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Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ SaMey t2	36	20	14	1.80	36%	105.5	83.8%	37
reiko t2	35	27	8	1.30	46%	101.3	83.8%	37
cairne t1	32	30	9	1.07	53%	100.1	78.4%	37
moonwalk t2	30	22	8	1.36	57%	91.1	86.5%	37
olimp t2	28	19	10	1.47	68%	97.8	81.1%	37
Flierax t1	22	29	10	0.76	50%	85.5	70.3%	37
bajmi t2	22	17	5	1.29	55%	76.1	81.1%	37
nifee t1	21	29	8	0.72	67%	69.4	64.9%	37
onic t1	17	30	6	0.57	35%	53.6	59.5%	37
Dawy t1	11	32	5	0.34	45%	37.4	56.8%	37

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

SaMey

36 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

SaMey

36% HS

36K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ SaMey	20	7	5	2.86	40%	120.4	83.3%	0.83
olimp	18	12	7	1.50	67%	133.9	88.9%	0.77
bajmi	15	9	2	1.67	47%	94.8	88.9%	0.66
reiko	15	15	3	1.00	47%	83.3	83.3%	0.53
moonwalk	13	10	2	1.30	62%	75.4	94.4%	0.6
cairne	17	15	5	1.13	59%	104.6	83.3%	0.63
nifee	13	16	3	0.81	69%	82.6	66.7%	0.45
onic	9	17	2	0.53	44%	63.6	50.0%	0.23
Flierax	7	14	5	0.50	43%	64.3	72.2%	0.28
Dawy	6	18	3	0.33	50%	40.9	61.1%	0.14

dust2 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Flierax	15	15	5	1.00	53%	105.5	68.4%	0.53
cairne	15	15	4	1.00	47%	95.7	73.7%	0.52
nifee	8	13	5	0.62	62%	56.9	63.2%	0.32
onic	8	13	4	0.62	25%	44.2	68.4%	0.26
Dawy	5	14	2	0.36	40%	33.9	52.6%	0.14
reiko	20	12	5	1.67	45%	118.3	84.2%	0.74
moonwalk	17	12	6	1.42	53%	106.0	78.9%	0.65
SaMey	16	13	9	1.23	31%	91.4	84.2%	0.57
olimp	10	7	3	1.43	70%	63.7	73.7%	0.51
bajmi	7	8	3	0.88	71%	58.4	73.7%	0.42

dust2 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $0 | CT $0

Round 3

T $18650 | CT $12600

Round 4

T $5100 | CT $23300

Round 5

T $1400 | CT $25350

Round 6

T $22400 | CT $25550

Round 7

T $25300 | CT $28600

Round 8

T $20050 | CT $28400

Round 9

T $3300 | CT $29250

Round 10

T $26550 | CT $29950

Round 11

T $26950 | CT $30450

Round 12

T $20100 | CT $31200

Round 13

T $20150 | CT $34100

Round 14

T $4300 | CT $4300

Round 15

T $19650 | CT $12700

Round 16

T $23500 | CT $14700

Round 17

T $12500 | CT $25150

Round 18

T $1000 | CT $26650

Round 19

T $23200 | CT $26850

Round 20

T $10050 | CT $30250

Round 21

T $25500 | CT $30950

nuke 20 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $0 | CT $0

Round 3

T $15100 | CT $23150

Round 4

T $25350 | CT $6800

Round 5

T $25100 | CT $6100

Round 6

T $25300 | CT $24900

Round 7

T $25100 | CT $7800

Round 8

T $18950 | CT $25850

Round 9

T $18000 | CT $29850

Round 10

T $23750 | CT $6850

Round 11

T $24250 | CT $26050

Round 12

T $25200 | CT $26700

Round 13

T $25700 | CT $20300

Round 14

T $4400 | CT $4250

Round 15

T $1700 | CT $19800

Round 16

T $22300 | CT $24400

Round 17

T $17950 | CT $20600

Round 18

T $4150 | CT $28000

Round 19

T $24100 | CT $29650

Round 20

T $16000 | CT $30050

ESC Eco Rating: 12.2

Eco rounds

1/2 W (50%)

Force buy

1/4 W (25%)

Full buy

25 rounds

Avg Equip

$22470

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

52%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 38%

Headshot% 47%

TNL Eco Rating: 12.4

Eco rounds

1/7 W (14%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

15 rounds

Avg Equip

$17623

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

21%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 47%

Headshot% 60%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 31.8% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

33.3% vs 50.0%

WR 90d

31.4% vs 63.9%

Rating 30d

1.12 vs 1.16

Form Slope

↓-0.030 vs ↓-0.010

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

53.6% vs 61.2%

T WR 90d

53.4% vs 52.0%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs 7.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 1.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.39 vs 0.74

Elo Δ -148

Elo Win% 29.9%

ESC Eco Rating: 12.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

25%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

47%

Trade Rate

38%

Opening K/Rd

52%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 78

TNL Eco Rating: 12.4

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

14%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

60%

Trade Rate

47%

Opening K/Rd

21%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 72

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 31.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

TNL

1 – 1

ESC

Recent Meetings

TNL 0 – 2 ESC Sep 2025 TNL 3 – 0 ESC Sep 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

dust2 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $18650 | CT $12600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $5100 | CT $23300

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $1400 | CT $25350

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22400 | CT $25550

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $28600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $20050 | CT $28400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $3300 | CT $29250

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $26550 | CT $29950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26950 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $20100 | CT $31200

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $20150 | CT $34100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4300

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19650 | CT $12700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23500 | CT $14700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $12500 | CT $25150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $1000 | CT $26650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $23200 | CT $26850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $10050 | CT $30250

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $25500 | CT $30950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

nuke 20 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $15100 | CT $23150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25350 | CT $6800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $6100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $24900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25100 | CT $7800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $18950 | CT $25850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $18000 | CT $29850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $23750 | CT $6850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $24250 | CT $26050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $26700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25700 | CT $20300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1700 | CT $19800

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22300 | CT $24400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $17950 | CT $20600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $4150 | CT $28000

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $24100 | CT $29650

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $16000 | CT $30050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted