Wildcard vs MOUZ NXT — CounterQuant

Birch Cup 2025· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 26 Sep 2025 11:33 UTC

Wildcard

Elo 1417

1 – 0

Winner: Wildcard

MOUZ NXT

Elo 1449

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 79% CONF WRONG

Wildcard 21.2% 78.8% MOUZ NXT

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Nikodeon

kills

ADR 113.9

Top Assist

phzy

assists

1 flash

Best ADR

Nikodeon

113.9

avg dmg/rd

22K 15D

Best KAST

JBa

81.0%

KAST

16K 13D

Most HS

Nikodeon

headshots

50% HS rate

Best K/D

Nikodeon

1.47

K/D ratio

22K 15D

nuke

13 – 10

8ct|5tvs6ct|4t

Wildcard WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Nikodeon	22	15	3	1.47	50%	113.9	76.2%	0.69
Joey	18	16	3	1.12	39%	84.9	71.4%	0.52
xelex	12	16	5	0.75	33%	74.6	71.4%	0.37
opdust	10	17	2	0.59	40%	52.0	66.7%	0.28
ay0k	9	18	5	0.50	22%	50.0	81.0%	0.25
CT SIDE
F1KU	20	14	2	1.43	50%	102.3	76.2%	0.65
JBa	16	13	1	1.23	31%	70.7	81.0%	0.51
phzy	16	13	9	1.23	25%	106.9	76.2%	0.55
Peeping	15	16	2	0.94	53%	71.0	76.2%	0.47
stanislaw	14	15	1	0.93	64%	76.9	61.9%	0.45

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Nikodeon	14	9	1	43%	114.6	66.7%	0.7
Joey	11	10	2	55%	92.8	75.0%	0.57
xelex	6	10	5	17%	72.5	83.3%	0.32
opdust	2	11	1	0%	26.5	58.3%	-0.01
ay0k	2	12	3	0%	24.6	66.7%	-0.02
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
F1KU	13	6	2	46%	112.6	83.3%	0.78
JBa	10	6	0	40%	74.1	83.3%	0.6
phzy	10	5	5	10%	110.8	83.3%	0.64
Peeping	10	8	0	60%	78.1	83.3%	0.59
stanislaw	6	8	1	67%	64.1	58.3%	0.37

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Nikodeon	8	6	2	62%	113.0	88.9%	0.68
Joey	7	6	1	14%	74.3	66.7%	0.45
xelex	6	6	0	50%	77.4	55.6%	0.43
opdust	8	6	1	50%	86.0	77.8%	0.6
ay0k	7	6	2	29%	83.9	100.0%	0.57
2ND HALF — T SIDE
F1KU	7	8	0	57%	88.7	66.7%	0.47
JBa	6	7	1	17%	66.1	77.8%	0.39
phzy	6	8	4	50%	101.7	66.7%	0.43
Peeping	5	8	2	40%	61.6	66.7%	0.3
stanislaw	8	7	0	62%	94.0	66.7%	0.57

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Nikodeon t2	22	15	3	1.47	50%	113.9	76.2%	21
F1KU t1	20	14	2	1.43	50%	102.3	76.2%	21
Joey t2	18	16	3	1.12	39%	84.9	71.4%	21
JBa t1	16	13	1	1.23	31%	70.7	81.0%	21
phzy t1	16	13	9	1.23	25%	106.9	76.2%	21
Peeping t1	15	16	2	0.94	53%	71.0	76.2%	21
stanislaw t1	14	15	1	0.93	64%	76.9	61.9%	21
xelex t2	12	16	5	0.75	33%	74.6	71.4%	21
opdust t2	10	17	2	0.59	40%	52.0	66.7%	21
ay0k t2	9	18	5	0.50	22%	50.0	81.0%	21

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Nikodeon

22 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Nikodeon

50% HS

22K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Nikodeon	22	15	3	1.47	50%	113.9	76.2%	0.69
Joey	18	16	3	1.12	39%	84.9	71.4%	0.52
xelex	12	16	5	0.75	33%	74.6	71.4%	0.37
opdust	10	17	2	0.59	40%	52.0	66.7%	0.28
ay0k	9	18	5	0.50	22%	50.0	81.0%	0.25
F1KU	20	14	2	1.43	50%	102.3	76.2%	0.65
JBa	16	13	1	1.23	31%	70.7	81.0%	0.51
phzy	16	13	9	1.23	25%	106.9	76.2%	0.55
Peeping	15	16	2	0.94	53%	71.0	76.2%	0.47
stanislaw	14	15	1	0.93	64%	76.9	61.9%	0.45

nuke 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $0 | CT $0

Round 3

T $1500 | CT $19400

Round 4

T $26200 | CT $13100

Round 5

T $17350 | CT $27500

Round 6

T $1500 | CT $26350

Round 7

T $22400 | CT $31350

Round 8

T $9300 | CT $31150

Round 9

T $26900 | CT $30850

Round 10

T $21200 | CT $30050

Round 11

T $26750 | CT $27450

Round 12

T $14850 | CT $30350

Round 13

T $25200 | CT $29150

Round 14

T $25200 | CT $29150

Round 15

T $4250 | CT $4000

Round 16

T $19650 | CT $10850

Round 17

T $21750 | CT $2600

Round 18

T $23800 | CT $29350

Round 19

T $22100 | CT $19100

Round 20

T $22100 | CT $19100

Round 21

T $22400 | CT $18700

Round 22

T $9450 | CT $28700

Round 23

T $2200 | CT $30000

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 9.2

Eco rounds

1/2 W (50%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$23250

Util Dmg

101.00

6.3/rd

Opening K

100%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 26%

Headshot% 42%

Wildcard Eco Rating: 13.9

Eco rounds

2/4 W (50%)

Force buy

1/2 W (50%)

Full buy

6 rounds

Avg Equip

$17431

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

58%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 49%

Headshot% 39%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 43.1% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

25.0% vs 100.0%

WR 90d

29.0% vs 100.0%

Rating 30d

1.25 vs 1.08

Form Slope

↑0.020 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

56.2% vs 45.1%

T WR 90d

49.2% vs 45.5%

Pool Depth

5.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

2.0d vs 2.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.31 vs —

Elo Δ -29

Elo Win% 45.9%

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 9.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

42%

Trade Rate

26%

Opening K/Rd

100%

Util Dmg/Rd

6.3

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 69

Wildcard Eco Rating: 13.9

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

39%

Trade Rate

49%

Opening K/Rd

58%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 52

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 43.1% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Wildcard

1 – 0

MOUZ NXT

Recent Meetings

Wildcard 1 – 0 MOUZ NXT Sep 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 23 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $19400

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $26200 | CT $13100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $17350 | CT $27500

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $26350

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $22400 | CT $31350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $9300 | CT $31150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26900 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $21200 | CT $30050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $26750 | CT $27450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $14850 | CT $30350

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $29150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $25200 | CT $29150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $19650 | CT $10850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $21750 | CT $2600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $23800 | CT $29350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $22100 | CT $19100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $22100 | CT $19100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $22400 | CT $18700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $9450 | CT $28700

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $2200 | CT $30000

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy