OG vs Alliance — CounterQuant

Urban Riga Open Season 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 30 Sep 2025 14:00 UTC

Elo 1534

1 – 0

Winner: OG

Alliance

Elo 1428

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

OG 46.0% 54.0% Alliance

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

overpass

13 – 9

7|6vs4|5

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

adamb

kills

ADR 105.6

Top Assist

twist

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

spooke

111.8

avg dmg/rd

23K 12D

Best KAST

spooke

87.0%

KAST

23K 12D

Most HS

poiii

headshots

62% HS rate

Best K/D

adamb

1.92

K/D ratio

23K 12D

overpass

13 – 9

7ct|6tvs4ct|5t

OG WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
poiii	21	19	6	1.11	62%	107.5	73.9%	0.6
eraa	16	20	2	0.80	19%	66.9	73.9%	0.37
avid	15	17	4	0.88	47%	77.7	65.2%	0.42
twist	10	17	11	0.59	70%	74.8	73.9%	0.38
upE	9	19	5	0.47	44%	52.0	56.5%	0.21
CT SIDE
adamb	23	12	7	1.92	52%	105.6	82.6%	0.74
spooke	23	12	6	1.92	52%	111.8	87.0%	0.76
nicoodoz	17	14	7	1.21	35%	91.3	87.0%	0.56
arrozdoce	14	15	3	0.93	29%	63.9	78.3%	0.41
Chr1zN	13	18	8	0.72	46%	74.3	87.0%	0.42

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
poiii	13	10	2	54%	104.1	69.2%	0.63
eraa	9	11	2	11%	66.2	69.2%	0.35
avid	8	10	2	50%	78.7	53.8%	0.37
twist	2	9	4	100%	34.1	69.2%	0.24
upE	4	11	4	50%	47.5	53.8%	0.17
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
adamb	12	6	4	50%	94.6	84.6%	0.71
spooke	12	6	4	33%	106.5	76.9%	0.68
nicoodoz	8	8	3	25%	77.1	76.9%	0.44
arrozdoce	9	7	3	22%	81.8	84.6%	0.52
Chr1zN	10	9	5	40%	98.1	84.6%	0.56

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
poiii	8	9	4	75%	111.9	80.0%	0.57
eraa	7	9	0	29%	67.8	80.0%	0.39
avid	7	7	2	43%	76.4	80.0%	0.48
twist	8	8	7	62%	127.7	80.0%	0.6
upE	5	8	1	40%	57.8	60.0%	0.28
2ND HALF — T SIDE
adamb	11	6	3	55%	119.8	80.0%	0.78
spooke	11	6	2	73%	118.8	100.0%	0.85
nicoodoz	9	6	4	44%	109.7	100.0%	0.71
arrozdoce	5	8	0	40%	40.6	70.0%	0.28
Chr1zN	3	9	3	67%	43.4	90.0%	0.26

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ adamb t1	23	12	7	1.92	52%	105.6	82.6%	23
spooke t1	23	12	6	1.92	52%	111.8	87.0%	23
poiii t2	21	19	6	1.11	62%	107.5	73.9%	23
nicoodoz t1	17	14	7	1.21	35%	91.3	87.0%	23
eraa t2	16	20	2	0.80	19%	66.9	73.9%	23
avid t2	15	17	4	0.88	47%	77.7	65.2%	23
arrozdoce t1	14	15	3	0.93	29%	63.9	78.3%	23
Chr1zN t1	13	18	8	0.72	46%	74.3	87.0%	23
twist t2	10	17	11	0.59	70%	74.8	73.9%	23
upE t2	9	19	5	0.47	44%	52.0	56.5%	23

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

adamb

23 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

adamb

52% HS

23K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

overpass 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ poiii	21	19	6	1.11	62%	107.5	73.9%	0.6
eraa	16	20	2	0.80	19%	66.9	73.9%	0.37
avid	15	17	4	0.88	47%	77.7	65.2%	0.42
twist	10	17	11	0.59	70%	74.8	73.9%	0.38
upE	9	19	5	0.47	44%	52.0	56.5%	0.21
adamb	23	12	7	1.92	52%	105.6	82.6%	0.74
spooke	23	12	6	1.92	52%	111.8	87.0%	0.76
nicoodoz	17	14	7	1.21	35%	91.3	87.0%	0.56
arrozdoce	14	15	3	0.93	29%	63.9	78.3%	0.41
Chr1zN	13	18	8	0.72	46%	74.3	87.0%	0.42

overpass 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 3

T $4200 | CT $4200

Round 4

T $20250 | CT $6300

Round 5

T $21050 | CT $21750

Round 6

T $22700 | CT $27300

Round 7

T $1200 | CT $28000

Round 8

T $22500 | CT $29850

Round 9

T $26350 | CT $28500

Round 10

T $24150 | CT $5550

Round 11

T $1000 | CT $29500

Round 12

T $21950 | CT $31150

Round 13

T $4250 | CT $30750

Round 14

T $23600 | CT $32050

Round 15

T $4300 | CT $3600

Round 16

T $21350 | CT $10050

Round 17

T $24350 | CT $3100

Round 18

T $25900 | CT $27400

Round 19

T $22950 | CT $25450

Round 20

T $3000 | CT $25950

Round 21

T $23100 | CT $30450

Round 22

T $21950 | CT $19100

Round 23

T $25300 | CT $11800

Round 24

T $10550 | CT $25800

OG Eco Rating: 18.2

Eco rounds

2/7 W (29%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$16487

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

67%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 47%

Headshot% 53%

Alliance Eco Rating: 11.8

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Force buy

2/4 W (50%)

Full buy

13 rounds

Avg Equip

$20037

Util Dmg

4.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

62%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 27%

Headshot% 43%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 32.4% ◆ Platinum

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

61.5% vs 23.5%

WR 90d

55.0% vs 39.2%

Rating 30d

1.13 vs 1.16

Form Slope

↑0.040 vs ↓-0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

58.6% vs 56.4%

T WR 90d

47.7% vs 49.2%

Pool Depth

4.0 vs 3.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

1.0d vs 2.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.67 vs 0.45

Elo Δ +50

Elo Win% 57.2%

OG Eco Rating: 18.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

29%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

53%

Trade Rate

47%

Opening K/Rd

67%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 58

Alliance Eco Rating: 11.8

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

50%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

43%

Trade Rate

27%

Opening K/Rd

62%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 68

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 32.4% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

1 – 3

Alliance

Recent Meetings

Alliance 1 – 0 OG Mar 2026 Alliance 3 – 0 OG Feb 2026 OG 1 – 0 Alliance Sep 2025 OG 0 – 1 Alliance Feb 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

overpass 24 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4200 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $20250 | CT $6300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $21050 | CT $21750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $22700 | CT $27300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $1200 | CT $28000

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $22500 | CT $29850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26350 | CT $28500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $24150 | CT $5550

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $29500

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $21950 | CT $31150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $4250 | CT $30750

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $23600 | CT $32050

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $3600

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $21350 | CT $10050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $24350 | CT $3100

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25900 | CT $27400

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $22950 | CT $25450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $3000 | CT $25950

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $23100 | CT $30450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $21950 | CT $19100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $25300 | CT $11800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $10550 | CT $25800

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted