AaB vs MOUZ NXT — CounterQuant

Urban Riga Open Season 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 30 Sep 2025 20:25 UTC

AaB

Elo 1485

0 – 1

Winner: MOUZ NXT

MOUZ NXT

Elo 1449

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF CORRECT

AaB 42.5% 57.5% MOUZ NXT

Why this prediction?

+100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

+46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

+37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

opdust

kills

ADR 95.5

Top Assist

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

123.0

avg dmg/rd

19K 16D

Best KAST

xelex

95.0%

KAST

15K 14D

Most HS

headshots

63% HS rate

Best K/D

opdust

2.22

K/D ratio

20K 9D

nuke

6 – 13

4ct|2tvs5ct|8t

MOUZ NXT WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
opdust	20	9	3	2.22	55%	95.5	85.0%	0.75
Nikodeon	18	15	7	1.20	67%	111.7	90.0%	0.67
ay0k	16	17	4	0.94	62%	85.0	75.0%	0.51
xelex	15	14	7	1.07	60%	96.2	95.0%	0.6
Joey	14	15	2	0.93	71%	79.4	80.0%	0.52
CT SIDE
stesso	20	18	6	1.11	45%	119.0	85.0%	0.64
qx	19	16	9	1.19	63%	123.0	70.0%	0.64
Boye	13	17	4	0.76	23%	63.8	55.0%	0.31
SinK	8	14	1	0.57	38%	36.2	65.0%	0.24
Viggo	8	17	2	0.47	38%	48.2	60.0%	0.2

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
opdust	14	7	2	50%	101.4	76.9%	0.74
Nikodeon	15	10	4	67%	136.8	92.3%	0.82
ay0k	9	11	2	56%	66.0	76.9%	0.43
xelex	10	11	6	50%	102.2	92.3%	0.55
Joey	7	12	2	86%	69.8	84.6%	0.41
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
stesso	10	12	5	30%	101.1	76.9%	0.46
qx	16	10	7	69%	150.7	76.9%	0.84
Boye	11	12	3	18%	84.2	61.5%	0.41
SinK	6	9	1	33%	39.6	69.2%	0.28
Viggo	6	11	2	50%	53.3	61.5%	0.26

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
opdust	6	2	1	67%	84.7	100.0%	0.78
Nikodeon	3	5	3	67%	65.0	85.7%	0.39
ay0k	7	6	2	71%	120.1	71.4%	0.66
xelex	5	3	1	80%	85.0	100.0%	0.69
Joey	7	3	0	57%	97.1	71.4%	0.73
2ND HALF — T SIDE
stesso	10	6	1	60%	152.3	100.0%	0.95
qx	3	6	2	33%	71.6	57.1%	0.24
Boye	2	5	1	50%	25.7	42.9%	0.14
SinK	2	5	0	50%	29.9	57.1%	0.18
Viggo	2	6	0	0%	38.9	57.1%	0.07

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ opdust t2	20	9	3	2.22	55%	95.5	85.0%	20
stesso t1	20	18	6	1.11	45%	119.0	85.0%	20
qx t1	19	16	9	1.19	63%	123.0	70.0%	20
Nikodeon t2	18	15	7	1.20	67%	111.7	90.0%	20
ay0k t2	16	17	4	0.94	62%	85.0	75.0%	20
xelex t2	15	14	7	1.07	60%	96.2	95.0%	20
Joey t2	14	15	2	0.93	71%	79.4	80.0%	20
Boye t1	13	17	4	0.76	23%	63.8	55.0%	20
SinK t1	8	14	1	0.57	38%	36.2	65.0%	20
Viggo t1	8	17	2	0.47	38%	48.2	60.0%	20

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

opdust

20 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

opdust

55% HS

20K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

nuke 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ opdust	20	9	3	2.22	55%	95.5	85.0%	0.75
Nikodeon	18	15	7	1.20	67%	111.7	90.0%	0.67
ay0k	16	17	4	0.94	62%	85.0	75.0%	0.51
xelex	15	14	7	1.07	60%	96.2	95.0%	0.6
Joey	14	15	2	0.93	71%	79.4	80.0%	0.52
stesso	20	18	6	1.11	45%	119.0	85.0%	0.64
qx	19	16	9	1.19	63%	123.0	70.0%	0.64
Boye	13	17	4	0.76	23%	63.8	55.0%	0.31
SinK	8	14	1	0.57	38%	36.2	65.0%	0.24
Viggo	8	17	2	0.47	38%	48.2	60.0%	0.2

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 3

T $4850 | CT $4000

Round 4

T $18450 | CT $12850

Round 5

T $18050 | CT $4750

Round 6

T $20500 | CT $25600

Round 7

T $25500 | CT $27800

Round 8

T $24100 | CT $24350

Round 9

T $18050 | CT $24150

Round 10

T $23900 | CT $17150

Round 11

T $21550 | CT $24050

Round 12

T $23250 | CT $16150

Round 13

T $26000 | CT $1800

Round 14

T $26100 | CT $26900

Round 15

T $4300 | CT $4250

Round 16

T $14250 | CT $22850

Round 17

T $3600 | CT $26150

Round 18

T $24700 | CT $28300

Round 19

T $22600 | CT $30850

Round 20

T $27350 | CT $28000

Round 21

T $27750 | CT $9900

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 19.2

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

1/1 W (100%)

Full buy

11 rounds

Avg Equip

$18155

Util Dmg

0.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

65%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 36%

Headshot% 52%

AaB Eco Rating: 8.2

Eco rounds

1/4 W (25%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$18905

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

79%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 57%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 38.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

58.8% vs 83.3%

WR 90d

46.0% vs 85.7%

Rating 30d

0.93 vs 1.03

Form Slope

↑0.020 vs ↓-0.090

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

50.2% vs 43.3%

T WR 90d

42.2% vs 48.3%

Pool Depth

1.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

1.44 vs 1.46

Elo Δ +59

Elo Win% 58.4%

MOUZ NXT Eco Rating: 19.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

100%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

52%

Trade Rate

36%

Opening K/Rd

65%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 54

AaB Eco Rating: 8.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

25%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

57%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

79%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 54

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 38.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

AaB

1 – 3

MOUZ NXT

Recent Meetings

MOUZ NXT 3 – 0 AaB Jan 2026 AaB 2 – 0 MOUZ NXT Nov 2025 AaB 0 – 1 MOUZ NXT Sep 2025 MOUZ NXT 2 – 0 AaB Oct 2021

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

nuke 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $4850 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $18450 | CT $12850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $18050 | CT $4750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $20500 | CT $25600

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $27800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $24100 | CT $24350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $18050 | CT $24150

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $23900 | CT $17150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $21550 | CT $24050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $23250 | CT $16150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $26000 | CT $1800

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $26900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $4300 | CT $4250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $14250 | CT $22850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $3600 | CT $26150

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $24700 | CT $28300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $22600 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $27350 | CT $28000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $27750 | CT $9900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy