Nexus vs FORZE Reload — CounterQuant

NODWIN Clutch Series 1· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 10 Oct 2025 19:16 UTC

Nexus

Elo 1652

2 – 0

Winner: Nexus

FORZE Reload

Elo 1577

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 58% CONF WRONG

Nexus 42.5% 57.5% FORZE Reload

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

−29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

Blytz

kills

ADR 102.4

Top Assist

BTN

assists

2 flash

Best ADR

s0und

105.1

avg dmg/rd

29K 22D

Best KAST

Blytz

88.6%

KAST

34K 24D

Most HS

fnl

headshots

61% HS rate

Best K/D

fnl

1.82

K/D ratio

31K 17D

mirage

13 – 7

7ct|6tvs6ct|1t

Nexus WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
Blytz	19	15	6	1.27	68%	110.5	80.0%	0.67
xellow	16	12	5	1.33	38%	85.8	85.0%	0.58
fnl	16	12	1	1.33	69%	82.0	75.0%	0.59
s0und	16	13	4	1.23	56%	96.7	70.0%	0.57
BTN	10	14	7	0.71	30%	66.1	70.0%	0.33
CT SIDE
rikon	19	17	4	1.12	53%	102.7	85.0%	0.62
spirit	18	15	2	1.20	67%	103.5	60.0%	0.59
Something	11	15	6	0.73	55%	79.2	80.0%	0.42
swetsi	11	16	3	0.69	9%	63.1	60.0%	0.27
KusMe	7	14	8	0.50	71%	55.0	70.0%	0.31

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
Blytz	9	10	3	89%	89.4	66.7%	0.52
xellow	12	8	1	42%	99.2	83.3%	0.67
fnl	13	10	1	62%	109.7	75.0%	0.68
s0und	7	8	4	86%	80.4	75.0%	0.5
BTN	1	10	3	100%	29.2	50.0%	0.11
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
rikon	10	11	3	30%	89.8	75.0%	0.47
spirit	15	7	1	67%	132.0	75.0%	0.87
Something	11	8	3	55%	108.2	91.7%	0.69
swetsi	7	9	2	14%	75.5	66.7%	0.34
KusMe	3	7	7	67%	50.6	66.7%	0.28

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
Blytz	10	5	3	50%	142.0	100.0%	0.91
xellow	4	4	4	25%	65.8	87.5%	0.43
fnl	3	2	0	100%	40.4	75.0%	0.49
s0und	9	5	0	33%	121.0	62.5%	0.71
BTN	9	4	4	22%	121.5	100.0%	0.82
2ND HALF — T SIDE
rikon	9	6	1	78%	122.0	100.0%	0.83
spirit	3	8	1	67%	60.9	37.5%	0.15
Something	0	7	3	0%	35.8	62.5%	-0.05
swetsi	4	7	1	0%	44.6	50.0%	0.15
KusMe	4	7	1	75%	61.5	75.0%	0.35

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

ancient

13 – 2

Nexus WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
KusMe	12	14	1	0.86	50%	83.3	73.3%	0.46
Something	10	14	7	0.71	80%	105.8	80.0%	0.5
rikon	9	14	4	0.64	67%	82.1	53.3%	0.35
swetsi	6	15	1	0.40	33%	43.9	60.0%	0.15
spirit	4	15	3	0.27	50%	42.0	53.3%	0.09
CT SIDE
fnl	15	5	4	3.00	53%	116.5	93.3%	0.84
BTN	15	11	9	1.36	67%	113.7	86.7%	0.72
Blytz	15	9	5	1.67	33%	91.7	100.0%	0.71
s0und	13	9	7	1.44	62%	116.5	86.7%	0.69
xellow	11	7	2	1.57	18%	86.9	93.3%	0.58

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
KusMe	10	10	1	50%	86.4	66.7%	0.5
Something	8	11	6	75%	107.7	75.0%	0.49
rikon	9	11	4	67%	100.5	58.3%	0.46
swetsi	5	11	0	40%	48.2	58.3%	0.19
spirit	3	11	3	33%	37.8	58.3%	0.09
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
fnl	12	3	2	42%	116.8	91.7%	0.84
BTN	13	9	7	69%	129.7	91.7%	0.79
Blytz	9	7	4	33%	61.4	100.0%	0.55
s0und	10	9	6	50%	116.2	83.3%	0.61
xellow	10	7	2	10%	98.5	91.7%	0.59

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
KusMe	2	4	0	50%	71.0	100.0%	0.33
Something	2	3	1	100%	98.3	100.0%	0.55
rikon	0	3	0	0%	8.7	33.3%	-0.2
swetsi	1	4	1	0%	26.7	66.7%	-0.04
spirit	1	4	0	100%	58.7	33.3%	0.07
2ND HALF — T SIDE
fnl	3	2	2	100%	115.3	100.0%	0.82
BTN	2	2	2	50%	50.0	66.7%	0.42
Blytz	6	2	1	33%	213.0	100.0%	1.32
s0und	3	0	1	100%	117.7	100.0%	1.03
xellow	1	0	0	100%	40.7	100.0%	0.61

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ Blytz t2	34	24	11	1.42	53%	102.4	88.6%	35
fnl t2	31	17	5	1.82	61%	96.8	82.9%	35
s0und t2	29	22	11	1.32	59%	105.1	77.1%	35
rikon t1	28	31	8	0.90	57%	93.9	71.4%	35
xellow t2	27	19	7	1.42	30%	86.3	88.6%	35
BTN t2	25	25	16	1.00	52%	86.5	77.1%	35
spirit t1	22	30	5	0.73	64%	77.2	57.1%	35
Something t1	21	29	13	0.72	67%	90.6	80.0%	35
KusMe t1	19	28	9	0.68	58%	67.1	71.4%	35
swetsi t1	17	31	4	0.55	18%	54.9	60.0%	35

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

Blytz

34 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

Blytz

53% HS

34K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ Blytz	19	15	6	1.27	68%	110.5	80.0%	0.67
xellow	16	12	5	1.33	38%	85.8	85.0%	0.58
fnl	16	12	1	1.33	69%	82.0	75.0%	0.59
s0und	16	13	4	1.23	56%	96.7	70.0%	0.57
BTN	10	14	7	0.71	30%	66.1	70.0%	0.33
rikon	19	17	4	1.12	53%	102.7	85.0%	0.62
spirit	18	15	2	1.20	67%	103.5	60.0%	0.59
Something	11	15	6	0.73	55%	79.2	80.0%	0.42
swetsi	11	16	3	0.69	9%	63.1	60.0%	0.27
KusMe	7	14	8	0.50	71%	55.0	70.0%	0.31

ancient 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ KusMe	12	14	1	0.86	50%	83.3	73.3%	0.46
Something	10	14	7	0.71	80%	105.8	80.0%	0.5
rikon	9	14	4	0.64	67%	82.1	53.3%	0.35
swetsi	6	15	1	0.40	33%	43.9	60.0%	0.15
spirit	4	15	3	0.27	50%	42.0	53.3%	0.09
fnl	15	5	4	3.00	53%	116.5	93.3%	0.84
BTN	15	11	9	1.36	67%	113.7	86.7%	0.72
Blytz	15	9	5	1.67	33%	91.7	100.0%	0.71
s0und	13	9	7	1.44	62%	116.5	86.7%	0.69
xellow	11	7	2	1.57	18%	86.9	93.3%	0.58

ancient 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $4400 | CT $4000

Round 3

T $10750 | CT $21200

Round 4

T $1800 | CT $23300

Round 5

T $26650 | CT $28750

Round 6

T $25500 | CT $27200

Round 7

T $6900 | CT $28600

Round 8

T $27250 | CT $29600

Round 9

T $23500 | CT $29950

Round 10

T $22750 | CT $29750

Round 11

T $18000 | CT $29750

Round 12

T $20900 | CT $29650

Round 13

T $22550 | CT $31150

Round 14

T $4750 | CT $3750

Round 15

T $19450 | CT $9800

Round 16

T $22750 | CT $13900

mirage 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $0 | CT $0

Round 2

T $5050 | CT $3800

Round 3

T $1600 | CT $20900

Round 4

T $25050 | CT $7150

Round 5

T $26100 | CT $3000

Round 6

T $27550 | CT $25250

Round 7

T $26050 | CT $26500

Round 8

T $27150 | CT $2750

Round 9

T $26050 | CT $26850

Round 10

T $16550 | CT $25400

Round 11

T $1000 | CT $28600

Round 12

T $22400 | CT $29850

Round 13

T $24650 | CT $29900

Round 14

T $4450 | CT $4000

Round 15

T $1500 | CT $21400

Round 16

T $23100 | CT $28950

Round 17

T $10600 | CT $28500

Round 18

T $25000 | CT $30300

Round 19

T $10150 | CT $30150

Round 20

T $28550 | CT $29600

Round 21

T $26350 | CT $30350

Nexus Eco Rating: 9.3

Eco rounds

1/3 W (33%)

Force buy

0/2 W (0%)

Full buy

7 rounds

Avg Equip

$17193

Util Dmg

3.00

0.2/rd

Opening K

58%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 52%

Headshot% 60%

FORZE Reload Eco Rating: 9.5

Eco rounds

1/2 W (50%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

10 rounds

Avg Equip

$22690

Util Dmg

1.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

62%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 42%

Headshot% 45%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 40.8% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

27.3% vs 62.5%

WR 90d

23.9% vs 61.7%

Rating 30d

1.05 vs —

Form Slope

↑0.010 vs ↓-0.020

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

49.9% vs 51.9%

T WR 90d

41.7% vs 48.0%

Pool Depth

— vs 2.0

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

—d vs —d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Synergy

0.38 vs —

Elo Δ -47

Elo Win% 43.3%

Nexus Eco Rating: 9.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

33%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

60%

Trade Rate

52%

Opening K/Rd

58%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.2

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 36

FORZE Reload Eco Rating: 9.5

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

50%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

45%

Trade Rate

42%

Opening K/Rd

62%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 45

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 40.8% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

Nexus

2 – 2

FORZE Reload

Recent Meetings

Nexus 0 – 3 FORZE Reload Dec 2025 Nexus 0 – 2 FORZE Reload Nov 2025 Nexus 2 – 0 FORZE Reload Oct 2025 Nexus 3 – 0 FORZE Reload Mar 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

ancient 16 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4400 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $10750 | CT $21200

T buy: force_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $1800 | CT $23300

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $26650 | CT $28750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $25500 | CT $27200

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $6900 | CT $28600

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27250 | CT $29600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $23500 | CT $29950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $22750 | CT $29750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $18000 | CT $29750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $20900 | CT $29650

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $22550 | CT $31150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4750 | CT $3750

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19450 | CT $9800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $22750 | CT $13900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

mirage 21 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $0 | CT $0

T buy: — CT buy: —

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $5050 | CT $3800

T buy: force_buy CT buy: eco

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $1600 | CT $20900

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $25050 | CT $7150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $26100 | CT $3000

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $27550 | CT $25250

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $26050 | CT $26500

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $27150 | CT $2750

T buy: full_buy CT buy: eco

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $26050 | CT $26850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $16550 | CT $25400

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $1000 | CT $28600

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $22400 | CT $29850

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $24650 | CT $29900

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4450 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $1500 | CT $21400

T buy: eco CT buy: half_buy

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23100 | CT $28950

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $10600 | CT $28500

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25000 | CT $30300

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $10150 | CT $30150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $28550 | CT $29600

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $26350 | CT $30350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy