hindsight vs confidence

ELITE FE Cup 6· T3 ONLINE BO3

FINAL 12 Oct 2025 20:24 UTC

hindsight

Elo 1497

0 – 1

Winner: confidence

confidence

Elo 1499

CS2

CQ-GESUS CS2-APEX SHAP

AUC 0.702 54% CONF WRONG

hindsight 53.5% 46.5% confidence

Why this prediction?

−100.0 Elo advantage

+84.2 Elo implied probability

+75.5 Elo win probability

−46.2 Schedule difficulty edge

−37.7 Avg opponent quality diff

+32.5 Consensus Win Prob Team1

+29.3 Days since last match (T1)

+26.6 Glicko2 rating (T2)

+25.2 Elo (T1)

+24.7 Glicko2 rating (T1)

Match Highlights Demo parsed

Top Performers

Top Fragger

jenkon

kills

ADR 124.9

Top Assist

Ann4

assists

0 flash

Best ADR

jenkon

124.9

avg dmg/rd

28K 16D

Best KAST

donotbesadd

92.0%

KAST

23K 15D

Most HS

jenkon

headshots

61% HS rate

Best K/D

jenkon

1.75

K/D ratio

28K 16D

mirage

11 – 13

8ct|3tvs9ct|4t

confidence WON

Round Timeline

CT win T win Hover or click a round for details

Round — Player Stats

Player	K	D	A	HS	ADR	KAST

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
T SIDE
donotbesadd	23	15	7	1.53	22%	102.1	92.0%	0.65
metori	19	21	9	0.90	68%	95.0	76.0%	0.52
Averona	17	19	5	0.89	47%	74.4	80.0%	0.46
icytears	16	15	7	1.07	62%	81.8	88.0%	0.54
Stormyo-	11	16	3	0.69	45%	58.4	76.0%	0.35
CT SIDE
jenkon	28	16	7	1.75	61%	124.9	84.0%	0.8
Madam	17	16	8	1.06	41%	87.6	68.0%	0.48
mikeri	16	19	9	0.84	62%	90.8	80.0%	0.49
pullox	13	20	3	0.65	77%	57.9	68.0%	0.37
Ann4	12	15	12	0.80	25%	67.5	76.0%	0.36

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
1ST HALF — T SIDE
donotbesadd	12	10	4	42%	103.2	92.3%	0.63
metori	4	12	4	100%	50.3	69.2%	0.26
Averona	8	11	1	50%	60.9	69.2%	0.36
icytears	8	11	4	50%	78.0	84.6%	0.43
Stormyo-	5	11	1	60%	54.0	61.5%	0.24
1ST HALF — CT SIDE
jenkon	18	7	5	56%	140.8	92.3%	0.99
Madam	13	6	6	38%	121.7	92.3%	0.78
mikeri	8	10	7	38%	91.4	84.6%	0.45
pullox	7	9	3	71%	63.5	76.9%	0.43
Ann4	9	5	9	11%	97.9	92.3%	0.59

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
2ND HALF — CT SIDE
donotbesadd	11	5	3	0%	101.0	91.7%	0.67
metori	15	9	5	60%	143.5	83.3%	0.85
Averona	9	8	4	44%	88.9	91.7%	0.57
icytears	8	4	3	75%	85.8	91.7%	0.67
Stormyo-	6	5	2	33%	63.1	91.7%	0.47
2ND HALF — T SIDE
jenkon	10	9	2	70%	107.8	75.0%	0.6
Madam	4	10	2	50%	50.6	41.7%	0.16
mikeri	8	9	2	88%	90.2	75.0%	0.53
pullox	6	11	0	83%	51.8	58.3%	0.3
Ann4	3	10	3	67%	34.5	58.3%	0.16

Highlights available for subscribers Sign in

Match Stats — All Players Combined DEMO PARSED

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Rds
⭐ jenkon t1	28	16	7	1.75	61%	124.9	84.0%	25
donotbesadd t2	23	15	7	1.53	22%	102.1	92.0%	25
metori t2	19	21	9	0.90	68%	95.0	76.0%	25
Averona t2	17	19	5	0.89	47%	74.4	80.0%	25
Madam t1	17	16	8	1.06	41%	87.6	68.0%	25
icytears t2	16	15	7	1.07	62%	81.8	88.0%	25
mikeri t1	16	19	9	0.84	62%	90.8	80.0%	25
pullox t1	13	20	3	0.65	77%	57.9	68.0%	25
Ann4 t1	12	15	12	0.80	25%	67.5	76.0%	25
Stormyo- t2	11	16	3	0.69	45%	58.4	76.0%	25

Player Awards

🔫

Top Fragger

jenkon

28 kills

🎯

Headshot Machine

jenkon

61% HS

28K

Per-Map Player Stats per map · sorted by kills

mirage 10 players

Player	K	D	A	K/D	HS%	ADR	KAST%	Impact
⭐ donotbesadd	23	15	7	1.53	22%	102.1	92.0%	0.65
metori	19	21	9	0.90	68%	95.0	76.0%	0.52
Averona	17	19	5	0.89	47%	74.4	80.0%	0.46
icytears	16	15	7	1.07	62%	81.8	88.0%	0.54
Stormyo-	11	16	3	0.69	45%	58.4	76.0%	0.35
jenkon	28	16	7	1.75	61%	124.9	84.0%	0.8
Madam	17	16	8	1.06	41%	87.6	68.0%	0.48
mikeri	16	19	9	0.84	62%	90.8	80.0%	0.49
pullox	13	20	3	0.65	77%	57.9	68.0%	0.37
Ann4	12	15	12	0.80	25%	67.5	76.0%	0.36

mirage 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1

T $3250 | CT $3250

Round 2

T $4550 | CT $4200

Round 3

T $17850 | CT $8700

Round 4

T $19150 | CT $4750

Round 5

T $23300 | CT $26350

Round 6

T $15700 | CT $24300

Round 7

T $2300 | CT $28100

Round 8

T $21800 | CT $28700

Round 9

T $25300 | CT $29700

Round 10

T $7900 | CT $30150

Round 11

T $24850 | CT $31150

Round 12

T $11400 | CT $30350

Round 13

T $26550 | CT $31450

Round 14

T $4150 | CT $4000

Round 15

T $19200 | CT $1100

Round 16

T $23700 | CT $23850

Round 17

T $17750 | CT $26800

Round 18

T $25400 | CT $21350

Round 19

T $13350 | CT $29250

Round 20

T $3700 | CT $30650

Round 21

T $23700 | CT $31150

Round 22

T $8400 | CT $31150

Round 23

T $24800 | CT $31350

Round 24

T $23200 | CT $30850

Round 25

T $21300 | CT $31050

hindsight Eco Rating: 10.3

Eco rounds

2/5 W (40%)

Force buy

0/3 W (0%)

Full buy

9 rounds

Avg Equip

$16502

Util Dmg

2.00

0.1/rd

Opening K

76%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 44%

Headshot% 63%

confidence Eco Rating: 6.2

Eco rounds

1/5 W (20%)

Force buy

0/1 W (0%)

Full buy

18 rounds

Avg Equip

$22948

Util Dmg

1.00

0.0/rd

Opening K

54%/rd

Trade Kill Rate 31%

Headshot% 42%

CQ Feature Intelligence 534 features

null: 66.1% ⬡ Gold

Form (30d / 90d)

WR 30d

100.0% vs —

WR 90d

100.0% vs —

Rating 30d

1.08 vs —

Map Intelligence

CT WR 90d

44.0% vs —

T WR 90d

59.8% vs —

Pool Depth

1.0 vs —

Team Dynamics

Days Rest

10.0d vs 30.0d

Roster Stab

— vs —

Elo Δ -3

Elo Win% 49.5%

hindsight Eco Rating: 10.3

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

40%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

63%

Trade Rate

44%

Opening K/Rd

76%

Util Dmg/Rd

0.1

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 44

confidence Eco Rating: 6.2

Economy Mastery

Eco Win%

20%

Force Win%

Kill Quality

Headshot%

42%

Trade Rate

31%

Opening K/Rd

54%

Util Dmg/Rd

—

Multi-Kill Rounds

Multi-Kill Score: 81

Quantum Locked

Quantum signals require Uranium-tier data: <10% null features.

Current: 66.1% null Target: <10%

More features will unlock as demo parsing progresses

hindsight

1 – 1

confidence

Recent Meetings

confidence 0 – 3 hindsight Feb 2026 hindsight 0 – 1 confidence Oct 2025

Player Performance

DEMO PARSED sorted by Impact

Impact = KPR×0.45 − DPR×0.30 + KAST×0.25 + HS%×0.15 + ADR/100×0.15 | KAST = Kill/Assist/Survived/Traded per round | Source: awpy + demoparser2

mirage 25 rounds

■ CT Win ■ T Win B Bomb planted Buy: Eco Force Buy Click a round to see kill feed

Round 1 1 — 1st half

T $3250 | CT $3250

T buy: eco CT buy: eco

Round 2 2 — 1st half

T $4550 | CT $4200

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 3 3 — 1st half

T $17850 | CT $8700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: force_buy Bomb planted

Round 4 4 — 1st half

T $19150 | CT $4750

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 5 5 — 1st half

T $23300 | CT $26350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 6 6 — 1st half

T $15700 | CT $24300

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 7 7 — 1st half

T $2300 | CT $28100

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy

Round 8 8 — 1st half

T $21800 | CT $28700

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 9 9 — 1st half

T $25300 | CT $29700

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 10 10 — 1st half

T $7900 | CT $30150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 11 11 — 1st half

T $24850 | CT $31150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 12 12 — 1st half

T $11400 | CT $30350

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 13 13 — 1st half

T $26550 | CT $31450

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 14 14 — 1st half

T $4150 | CT $4000

T buy: eco CT buy: eco Bomb planted

Round 15 15 — 1st half

T $19200 | CT $1100

T buy: half_buy CT buy: eco

Round 16 16 — 2nd half

T $23700 | CT $23850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 17 17 — 2nd half

T $17750 | CT $26800

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 18 18 — 2nd half

T $25400 | CT $21350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: half_buy

Round 19 19 — 2nd half

T $13350 | CT $29250

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 20 20 — 2nd half

T $3700 | CT $30650

T buy: eco CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 21 21 — 2nd half

T $23700 | CT $31150

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 22 22 — 2nd half

T $8400 | CT $31150

T buy: force_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 23 23 — 2nd half

T $24800 | CT $31350

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy Bomb planted

Round 24 24 — 2nd half

T $23200 | CT $30850

T buy: full_buy CT buy: full_buy

Round 25 25 — 2nd half

T $21300 | CT $31050

T buy: half_buy CT buy: full_buy